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Old 02-04-09, 10:58 PM   #1
cocknocker
 
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Default CK's Carjacking the NCAA Threads Leans for Thursday 2/5/09

Ah yes, I will be back later to update the thread with write ups. Here's what i have on deck for tomorrow:

Michigan-2 (buying a point to get on key number)MEDIUM
St. Mary's-10 1st half (Secret Play)BIG
Davidson-12 1st half (Secret Play)BIG

Utah State-6 2nd half AVG

San Diego-2 2nd half AVG

I dropped St. John's from the card after further research showed me that they are not a good money team on the road. NO PLAY


I also dropped St. Mary's full game wager from my card as the line didn't do what I wanted it to do with a 50/50 consensus on the game. NO PLAY

Updated record for CK's Final Week on the NCAA threads 10-6

Last edited by cocknocker; 02-05-09 at 11:48 PM..
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Old 02-05-09, 12:24 AM   #2
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big bust on VA-Comm but i will keep following these secret plays!
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Old 02-05-09, 12:40 AM   #3
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I don't get all this buying a point stuff. That is just throwing money away it seems.
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Old 02-05-09, 12:42 AM   #4
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Awww secret plays. Lol. Lets do this!
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Old 02-05-09, 12:45 AM   #5
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if KG plays (which he should) this might be the biggest wager i make on the nba this year. the lakers will be playing on a back to back from toronto (off a hard fought win)to boston facing a rested celtics team. la will also be on their 3rd game in 4 nights. revenge angle at work here for a boston team that lost at staples earlier in the year. boston is 4-0 ats the last 4 meetings in boston, winning by an avg margin of 17ppg. celts should be laying about 5.5 in this one.

-celtics (big)
______________
the pacers flat out own the sixers in philly, and will no doubt be an underdog (around +4) in this game. indy has won 4 of their last 5 su in philly, and i look for them to bounce back off of their 4th qtr meltdown to the wolves.

-pacers
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dallas will be on a btb off a tough home win (and 3rd in 4) traveling to utah to face the rested jazz. utah is looking for revenge from a loss at dal mid Jan. jazz are 4-0 last 4 home games vs dallas, winning by an avg margin of 12ppg.

-jazz (big ~ pending deron williams)
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Last edited by Dexter; 02-05-09 at 12:53 AM..
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Old 02-05-09, 12:45 AM   #6
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Hey CK, out of those secret plays that were losses, do you know how many of them were for the road team?
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Old 02-05-09, 12:52 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cs11787 View Post
Hey CK, out of those secret plays that were losses, do you know how many of them were for the road team?
I was wondering the exact same thing.
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Old 02-05-09, 12:54 AM   #8
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So was i cs...good question.
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Old 02-05-09, 12:59 AM   #9
cocknocker
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Reggie Dunlop View Post
I don't get all this buying a point stuff. That is just throwing money away it seems.
Mr. Dunlop,

The spread for Villanova was 3 yesterday. I bought the line up to 4. Villanova won by 3. I cashed the ticket. Who did the money get thrown away to? It's just my style. I learned how to manipulate lines with a single hook or one point a long time ago.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:00 AM   #10
oBaMa_MaNiA
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Reggie Dunlop View Post
I don't get all this buying a point stuff. That is just throwing money away it seems.
I won the Cavs game today and Chicago game yesterday buying points.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:01 AM   #11
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how do u feel about davidson -22 for the game.. im surprised ur not playing that one big

in their last 4 games with a spread higher than 20, theyre 3-1 ATS:
beat WCAR by 24 (-19.5) who beat NCGB 85-70
beat WOFF by 23 (-20.5)
beat FURM by 40 (-26.5) who beat NCGB 59-54
beat ELCOL by only 15 (-22) who lots to NCGB 89-72


Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in NC-Greensboro (lines are all under 13 tho)
Wildcats are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings (last 9 lines under 13)
Favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. (won their last by 24)

last 6 davidson lines= -19.5, -15(ATS loss), -10.5, -20.5, -26.5, -13:
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite
Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater.

_____

NCGB:

Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

In their last 4 games being given 10 or more points, they are 4-0.. ATS wins:
10.5 CITDL
16.5 CHAR
13.5 APPST
16 WCAR

(still wanna play both davidson 1H and game big)

Last edited by lambogb; 02-05-09 at 01:04 AM.. Reason: added some NCGB stats
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Old 02-05-09, 01:04 AM   #12
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booked plays bos-5' gonz-10 davidson-12 1st 1/2 dime each GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

Last edited by nonsense48; 02-05-09 at 02:00 AM..
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Old 02-05-09, 01:06 AM   #13
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To be honest, gentlemen, I have no idea about the road record and all of that other bullbleep. And to be honest, I'm not going to look it up now or ever either. I have been rocking them for so many years that I stopped caring about those kind of things a long time ago. I never cared about where the game was played or any other circumstances. And I am playing these two today with the same exact wreckless abandon for $1500.00 apiece that I do ever time one comes up. Multiply 53 units times $1500.00 and you will see why I am not about to start looking up a thing, homies. And guess what? It's all on a seperate book so I see every penny. Shake off that loss gentlemen. I gave you a jewel that you can use for a lifetime. Can't trip off the imprfections when it's priceless.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:09 AM   #14
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Secret Plays have gone

39-9 NCAA football
29-7 NCAA basketball with today's loss included
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Old 02-05-09, 01:10 AM   #15
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i wish i had bought a .5 with cle tonite as a push is lots better than a loss. anywhere from 500.00-1000.00. ck, at the greek do you call them to buy points? i don't see where you can do it on line or am i not seeing something?
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Old 02-05-09, 01:11 AM   #16
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CK,

Just wondering what you think of the Celts minus 5 tomorrow at home against tired Lakers team???? Thanks.........
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Old 02-05-09, 01:12 AM   #17
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i have nothing but a pure gut feeling about the secret plays for tomorrow. they will be my two main plays. the secret play was dealt a crushing loss tonight, but i really like its chances to bounce back big in the back end of a back to back.

playing the celts as well. i've had a lean towards this play since dec 25th, as i'm sure most people did, but after reading dex's writeup i don't feel the need to do my own homework on this one. the stars are aligning on this one.

**PHOENIX BIG FOR ME ON FRIDAY**
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Old 02-05-09, 01:14 AM   #18
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dex, i'm with you on bos already and will be on pacers and jazz as i agree with you on all 3 for the same reasons. good luck brother
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Old 02-05-09, 01:18 AM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cocknocker View Post
To be honest, gentlemen, I have no idea about the road record and all of that other bullbleep. And to be honest, I'm not going to look it up now or ever either. I have been rocking them for so many years that I stopped caring about those kind of things a long time ago. I never cared about where the game was played or any other circumstances. And I am playing these two today with the same exact wreckless abandon for $1500.00 apiece that I do ever time one comes up. Multiply 53 units times $1500.00 and you will see why I am not about to start looking up a thing, homies. And guess what? It's all on a seperate book so I see every penny. Shake off that loss gentlemen. I gave you a jewel that you can use for a lifetime. Can't trip off the imprfections when it's priceless.
Good shit dude, I heard on here your from the bay is that right?
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Old 02-05-09, 01:19 AM   #20
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Rockets1Q(Houston) 31
Grizzlies1Q(Memphis) 31

Rockets1Q(Houston) -1.5
Result: Wager Lost

shouldn't that be push and I should get my money back ??
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Old 02-05-09, 01:20 AM   #21
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phoenix im lookin forward to another pick dood!

and google they have to win the 1Q by 2 or more
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Old 02-05-09, 01:21 AM   #22
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whoever asked for home/away for secret plays, went back and looked into it. Since money 1/25 when CK started in the ncaa section his posted secret plays are 6-2, when the team covers the secret play they are 1-4-1 covering the 2nd half. The other play, VA Common. when they lost both halves today. Home team secret play is 6-1 and away is 0-1 with the loss being VA commonwealth.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:28 AM   #23
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I'ma hammer Davidson, they seem to have covered every Secret Play they had.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:36 AM   #24
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Confident in Davidson first Half, they are a big first half team !!!
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Old 02-05-09, 01:38 AM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by google99 View Post
Rockets1Q(Houston) 31
Grizzlies1Q(Memphis) 31

Rockets1Q(Houston) -1.5
Result: Wager Lost

shouldn't that be push and I should get my money back ??
google, how long have you been gambling? your wager lost by 1.5 points and by 2 for you to get the win. for you to cash it would have to be 33-31 and by you giving 1.5 you couldn't get a push
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Old 02-05-09, 01:39 AM   #26
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Good little streak we got going here. Hope to add to it tomorrow:

line: lal@bc 204
pick: 204 under

Games are pretty much thin tomorrow. My pick tomorrow is more of a gut play than trend numbers. The Lakers are travelling on the road and at the end of a b2b. I'm assuming that KG will play tomorrow and will be very much well rested. He will be all over the court tomorrow defending people and this will rub-off on his teammates. Sure, Boston will run and control the pace but I think the travel weary Lakers won't be able to keep up. Expect the Celtics to romp the Lakers tomorrow big time but the total wont reach 200. Let's continue rollin my friends!
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Old 02-05-09, 01:41 AM   #27
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if it was a pick 'em spread you would have gotten your money back but you gave -1.5 so you lose
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Old 02-05-09, 01:49 AM   #28
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Love the Davidson pick, will definitley bet on it!!!

Can't bet on the St. Mary's game...they got destroyed at Gonzaga and Portland without their star...but they are playing an awful team so you might be on to something...Good luck to you!!!
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Old 02-05-09, 01:49 AM   #29
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gonzaga-10 looks like a nice little gift so get it before the line travels up up up as i think it will as gonz handles port by DD's on a regular basis and i see no reason for it to change here

Last edited by nonsense48; 02-05-09 at 02:00 AM..
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Old 02-05-09, 01:53 AM   #30
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best of luck, non!

Last edited by texhooper; 02-05-09 at 02:06 AM..
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Old 02-05-09, 01:55 AM   #31
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i played it as soon as the line hit the board as i was hawking it.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:56 AM   #32
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my apologies. i have gonz-10 my mistake
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Old 02-05-09, 01:58 AM   #33
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Is Patrick Mills playing for St Marys? If not might, might make a smaller play on that secret play.
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Old 02-05-09, 01:58 AM   #34
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gonz-10 is still a good play in my opinion. we shall see
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Old 02-05-09, 01:59 AM   #35
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Looking forward to bouncing back from the hideous loss on VAC with some more Secret Play action tomorrow! BOL everyone!
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