UNC -3 = Square.com?

remmy358 · 04-05-2008, 08:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Weezy F.

No doubt KU is making it rain, but UNC doing everything they can to play like a high school team = fix.

lol get real with the "FIX"...first off, games are fixed by the ref's, and they fix totals....players dont fix the game unless they are meaningless games in small conferences...

unde0087 · 04-05-2008, 08:37 PM

wow, it is a quite the route going on right now, bookies dancing in the streets

raiders72002 · 04-05-2008, 08:37 PM

Great call BOT

Quote:

But if you look at games in the national spotlight, with traditional basketball names(UNC/duke/etc), and with line movement in the favorites favor or no line movement at all, you will see your % rises WELL above 50%

Don't teach those that think they know it all. It can be frustrating.

Weezy F. · 04-05-2008, 08:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by remmy358

lol get real with the "FIX"...first off, games are fixed by the ref's, and they fix totals....players dont fix the game unless they are meaningless games in small conferences...

What? You think players don't throw games? Get real..

BigOrangeTitans · 04-05-2008, 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by imgv94

wasn't a trap or fix.. But nonetheless

Traps are in the bettor's mind, you are correct IMGV. What you follow here is this: KU was the best team comin into the tourney (Favorite to win in biggest % of brackets.) As i said a hundred times, phuckin DAVIDSON was legit phuckin ELITE team. Davidson would have SMOKED UCLA. KU/Memphis been top 2 all year. That Davidson game was a blessing, as if that was nonexistent, the line would have been KU -3 or more. North carolina has been getting patted on the back all tourney, sleepin in their own beds and

. Maybe they did so well cus they were like phuckin 20-1 in tourney games in charlotte?

Homefield adv in a NCAA tourney is a huge phuckin advantage.

BigOrangeTitans · 04-05-2008, 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by raiders72002

Great call BOT

Don't teach those that think they know it all. It can be frustrating.

Yeah, but I dont like goin to the phucken window by myself sometimes

That jersey UNC wears costs you a few points by itself every game...

imgv94 · 04-05-2008, 09:02 PM

Davidson was for real.. This game is even proving it more.

awhitejackson · 04-05-2008, 09:03 PM

I agree on your Davidson thoughts completely...just took a while to come around (like most people)

goldengoat · 04-05-2008, 09:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by imgv94

Davidson was for real.. This game is even proving it more.

davidson was definitely for real but I think NC would beat them

davidson was refreshing for the tourney though

supershark · 04-05-2008, 09:15 PM

davidson is for real
louisville is for real
north carolina is for real
just because they came out flat shooting under 30% and turning the ball over on every second possesion has little to nothing to do with davidson. You guys gotta watch more games and make judgments on how good a team is off that rather than trying to some ncaamath

BigOrangeTitans · 04-05-2008, 10:10 PM

Easiest MFing win ever. Didnt need the generous points that the UNC jerseys gave me

Grats to all tha followed!

Trap plays brought to you by BetOnTargetBOTsports.com

frostno98 · 04-05-2008, 10:13 PM

Bookies desperately needed this win, after the public went heavy on memphis earlier.

hi-rez · 04-05-2008, 10:17 PM

Is there a rough figure for what is expected percentage-wise for money on the favorite versus the dog? I guess it would be easy to calculate the mean if you have the data.

BigOrangeTitans · 04-05-2008, 10:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi-rez

Is there a rough figure for what is expected percentage-wise for money on the favorite versus the dog? I guess it would be easy to calculate the mean if you have the data.

theres a lot of screens. Its based on my thread "Fading the public... MArch madness" in the think tank. People will laugh about how fadin the public's been around forever, its barely 50%, etc,etc. But when you filter it using the right stipulations (i.e National exposure, so call "americas" teams(north car, duke, kentucky, etc, in which public opinion may be higher than say, the same amount of talent at a school such as Davidson.)

So they set "america's" team at a small line, something between a 2 and 5 point line in most cases, in which your average bettor is going to just take the favorite because thats the team thats hot. Thats the team that won by 25+ppg margin in the tourney.

They dont realize that they had a cakewalk through their court to do that, and now they have to play on a real stage. Thats why the line was so low. Books usually have a good ideawhich side of the line is right(thats why they stay afloat) and they know that the folks that are going to hammer the bad line, are going to hammer it HARD, and Joe dumbass says "NC dropped to -3? Thats a lock!) Really? Thats your best bet? it should have been KU -3, but they know what theyre doing.

I would say, using my filter with so called "americas" team, its an easy 75%. With regular faves in national spotlight, its about 65%+. You can find the threads if you dig...

only thing is, these games are not up every night... sometimes only a select few a year, but traps exist, and its not due to fixes. Follow the stats...

chipski · 04-05-2008, 10:51 PM

wtf ? so if Unc had won then what ? Was simple 50/50 , because Kansas won there is all this bs talk .
Did Ucla win ?
The public was all over Memp just like they were on Unc .
So it turned out 50/50 . SPLIT !
Whenever a game comes out where someone can put logic to it there is talk like this . If the