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Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > NCAA Basketball Handicapping

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Old 11-13-2007, 02:35 PM   #1 (permalink)
GitRDone
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Looking to continue the solid start to the week after going 4-1 yesterday. Here is what I'll be playing for today......

Vanderbilt -4

Vanderbilt is a solid team that will give their SEC opponents fits this year. They beat a good Austin Peay team in their opener. Shan Foster is one of the better players in the SEC that you probably don't know much about. Meanwhile, Toledo still has a lot of work to do. Although they did squeak out a 4 point home win against Missouri St, they only managed 57 points and 1 player scored 27 of them. They were outrebounded by 12 including 11 on the offensive glass. Also another disturbing stat, they turned the ball over 18 times while registering only 8 assists. I'll take the much more balanced Vandy team even if it is on the road. Vandy wins by 12 points.

Wyoming -8

Another road favorite that I'll be playing. Wyoming has a real solid team led by the dynamic guard duo of Brandon Ewing and Brad Jones. The two combined to score 38 PPG last year and didn't disappoint in the opener as they combined to score 35 points. They are a solid, veteran team that will surprise people in the MWC this year. Meanwhile, Denver is picked last to finish in the Sun Belt this year and after their 2 games this year that they have played, I can see why. They struggled mightily to beat a D2 school on a neutral court by 1 and then got hammered by 30 to a decent but not great Oklahoma team on the road. Denver is bad, real bad and Wyoming should cruise in this one. Wyoming by 17 points.

Missouri -9

Missouri is much more talented than Fordham and playing on their homecourt, they'll prevail behind solid play from Carroll, Lyons, Hannah and Lawrence. Fordham is a 2 man show and if you shut either one down, they'll struggle to score. Missu wins by 15 points.

Weber St -4

This is a perfect situational play for me as a much better Weber St team was embarrassed yesterday in their loss to D2 CS San Bernardino. This was a perfect let down game as Weber St defeated their rivals Utah St in the opener and came out and went through the motions expecting to defeat a much weaker team. After watching Youngstown St against UCLA, they are a work in progress with few proven playmakers on the team. Losing the top 2 players from last year will hurt them for awhile until they can get some more time under their belt. If Weber St had won yesterday, they would have been favored by 8 or 9 points today. Weber St will rebound and defeat Youngstown St by 10 points.

Eastern Illinois +3.5

I'll take the home dog in this one as E Illinois is actually a better team this year than Loyola. Last year I couldn't make this statement but Loyola lost some really good players and are in a rebuilding mode this year. Eastern Illinois is one of my surprise teams in the OVC this year and look for them to start 2-0 by beating Loyola on their home floor. Eastern Illinois by 6.
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Old 11-13-2007, 02:57 PM   #2 (permalink)
regularguy
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Thanks for the good writeups. I especially like your Wyoming and Weber State picks. I will have plays on those.

Have you looked at Nevada at UC Irvine? Wondering what your thoughts are. I have a play on Nevada (ML -135). I posted some thoughts about this game on imgv's thread.
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Old 11-13-2007, 03:06 PM   #3 (permalink)
GitRDone
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Yea I like Nevada in this one. Kemp should rebound with a solid game and they have some good players supporting him. Irvine did beat a terrible Marymount team but I'm not buying into them yet. They would be a much better team if stud big man Darren Fells was playing but he won't be because he was suspended indefinitely. Nevada should win this game as they played poorly vs a good UCF team and still had a chance to win. Best of luck with Nevada tonight.
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Old 11-13-2007, 04:54 PM   #4 (permalink)
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GL gitrdone...
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Old 11-13-2007, 10:22 PM   #5 (permalink)
GitRDone
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Not how I expected tonight to go but adding 1 late play.

Nevada -1

If Irvine had their center Darren Fells for this game I would have a tough time backing Nevada but without him, I like Nevada tonight. Marcellus Kemp for Nevada will be the best player on the floor tonight and he'll lead Nevada to the victory. Nevada wins by 7.
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Old 11-14-2007, 12:54 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Nevada!!! Saved me, tonight. I came out a bit ahead thanks to that game.

The big sophomore --Javale McGee -- is going to be awesome for Nevada. 20 points tonight. He has 9 blocked shots in their first two games.

I like Nevada with lower expectations this year. They may be good for some covers.
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