1. #36
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by spargament View Post
    AMAZING value actually considering my a$$ got handed to me on the spread with that Hawaii freethrow debacle ending that game. Had -3.5 in a 69-67 game involving way too many missed freethrows, especially late.
    That sucks man. I looked at the ESPN play by play and it looked like they didn't want to win
    Quote Originally Posted by Godsmack View Post
    its your system bro, not sure why you are asking for anyones thoughts. gl tonight
    Their thoughts won't change the plays I have already bet, but if someone has some great insight into another game, I would consider betting it outside of the system plays... ya know... for my own benefit
    Quote Originally Posted by Ca$hfloW View Post
    I'm on northeastern ats, BOL
    BOL to you too

  2. #37
    spargament
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    That sucks man. I looked at the ESPN play by play and it looked like they didn't want to win

    Their thoughts won't change the plays I have already bet, but if someone has some great insight into another game, I would consider betting it outside of the system plays... ya know... for my own benefit

    BOL to you too
    i was on the exact same wavelength. I was shocked they won the game at all after the second half started, but both teams were awful at the stripe.

  3. #38
    slimpickins
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    nice start Romanov ; wishing you continued success

  4. #39
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by slimpickins View Post
    nice start Romanov ; wishing you continued success
    Thanks man. Are you still doing Cheme/chili's method?

    Also, here is bump from page 1 of today's plays:

    2/15/11 Picks played at 5dimes:

    Northeastern (-230) 2.3 to win 1
    Virginia Tech (-180) 1.8 to win 1
    Eastern Illinois (-245) 2.45 to win 1

  5. #40
    Romanov
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    RLM on all of my picks

  6. #41
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    Getting absolutely bent over tonight... christ. Best case secenario I only lose 3.7ish units. Fucc.... Lemme take a look at these late games

  7. #42
    Romanov
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    UNLV (-1600) 16 to win 1


    This isn't a stretch of the system by any means. This play has about .5 less confidence than my usual cut-off. I figure if V-tech can hold off Maryland and UNLV wins, tonight won't be so bad

    ***Changed system slightly after seeing tonights debacle. Jeez. 2 -200 faves lose in a row. The chance of that is like 1/9

  8. #43
    Romanov
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    Northeastern (-230) 2.3 to win 1
    Virginia Tech (-180) 1.8 to win 1
    Eastern Illinois (-245) 2.45 to win 1

    UNLV (-1600) 16 to win 1

    -2.75 units yesterday. Up 9.75 overall. Today is day 5. I will have picks later. Today, we make it back

  9. #44
    Romanov
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    Got some leans today. I'm going to go to class for the day and come back, run the numbers again and see if I get the same plays (lines are taken into account and lines can change). Not final plays, but leans for 2/16/11:

    Purdue
    Memphis
    Central Michigan
    Georgia
    Texas A&M

    5 games that look good to me. As always, insight is welcome here

    Edit: I am least excited about the Purdue play

  10. #45
    LockPickMaster
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    Can you run St Louis vs St Bonny
    St Louis will be without their top rebounder, Cody Ellis.

  11. #46
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by LockPickMaster View Post
    Can you run St Louis vs St Bonny St Louis will be without their top rebounder, Cody Ellis.
    No.
    Last edited by Romanov; 02-16-11 at 09:15 AM.

  12. #47
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    Memphis (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Central Michigan (-175) 1.75 to win 1
    Georgia (-145) 1.45 to win 1
    Texas A&M (-650) 6.5 to win 1

    All played at 5 dimes

    I am still eyeing Purdue.

  13. #48
    Romanov
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    2 more plays on the day:

    Purdue (-190) 1.9 to win 1
    Dayton (-130) 1.3 to win 1

  14. #49
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    Adding more plays:

    Southern Mississippi (-185) 1.85 to win 1
    Loyola Marymount (-2.65) 2.65 to win 1
    Siena (-165) 1.65 to win 1
    Loyola Maryland (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Murray St. (-700) 7 to win 1


    Over my 11 plays I have risked almost 29 units to win 11. BOL to all.
    Last edited by Romanov; 02-16-11 at 04:20 PM.

  15. #50
    slimpickins
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    Damn ; you must have been sweating out that UNLV game last night!
    At least it cashed on the ML.

    Stopped messing with Cheme's stuff a little while back, not that I found anything better just proved to be too inconsistant.
    But I still check on Pinny's leans daily.
    NCAA Basketball I have lost a ton on this sport this year and thinking of stopping entirely.
    NBA my own gut and also following some good cappers here like SweetJones has been doing quite well.
    Still searching for the answer in NCAA baskets but think the best answer is for me to stay far away and just play NBA until baseball season.

    Good luck tonite!

  16. #51
    Romanov
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    Ya I almost laid an egg. I think cheme's method works when the lines aren't as sharp- like at the beginning of the season. NBA is easier but I cut back to do just this system and these are pretty much my only plays. SJ is good, yes, and so is shivabowl.

    Im going to need luck tonight

  17. #52
    EasyHustlin
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    Bol man. I might do something like this for points, but I don't think I could ever lay -700 odds on any one game for real money.

  18. #53
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by EasyHustlin View Post
    Bol man. I might do something like this for points, but I don't think I could ever lay -700 odds on any one game for real money.
    A) Small unit sizes
    B) I've figured that the -700 bets I am betting will hit better than 7/8. That's why I am betting them

  19. #54
    Romanov
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    Memphis (-155) 1.55 to win 1
    Central Michigan (-175) 1.75 to win 1

    Georgia (-145) 1.45 to win 1
    Texas A&M (-650) 6.5 to win 1
    Purdue (-190) 1.9 to win 1
    Dayton (-130) 1.3 to win 1
    Southern Mississippi (-185) 1.85 to win 1

    Loyola Marymount (-2.65) 2.65 to win 1
    Siena (-165) 1.65 to win 1
    Loyola Maryland (-135) 1.35 to win 1
    Murray St. (-700) 7 to win 1


    Bad night. Lost 4.55 units. Overall still up 5.3 units.

  20. #55
    Romanov
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    I am going to be more selective but with a larger number of units on a play:

    Northwestern (-425) 17 units to win 4


  21. #56
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    Stickin to just one play tonight (Northwestern ML) at 5dimes. If someone put a gun to my head and told me to pick another ML I'd go with portland but I'm not playing it. I've been killed lately by small-time universities so I am going to only play bcs conferences for the most part. I will play MWC, CUSA, and the occasional tv game for the smaller conferences. I feel my strategies for picking plays works better for games with more action on them. The more action, the more accurate my plays (or so I think). A game like last night's Murray St. did not have a lot of action on it (and I lost it). We'll see how this plays out. A win from Northwestern would be a nice start. Best of luck to everyone playing tonight. Don't lose sleep

  22. #57
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    Beautiful. Plus 4 units on the night and plus 9.3 units overall. Let's kick some ass today

  23. #58
    Romanov
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    Strong leans: Penn and Harvard
    Weak leans: Princeton and Louisville

    If it was closer to gametime I would play the strong leans. The weak leans need to see some line movement in order for me to expect profitability and therefore plays.

  24. #59
    Romanov
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    Locked these babies in:

    Penn (-135) 5.24 to win 3.88 units
    Harvard (-220) 2.33 to win 1.06 units



  25. #60
    Godsmack
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    Gl man

  26. #61
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by Godsmack View Post
    Gl man
    Thanks. R u playing anything today?

  27. #62
    Romanov
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    Got a little afternoon special for any lurkers:

    Emmen /RKC Waalwick Over 3,3½ -112
    Veendam /AGOVV Over 3 -104

    Both in the Jupiler league


  28. #63
    jnsbanman
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    Already on those... Good picks!

  29. #64
    Romanov
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    Also laid a hefty sum on the Utrecht ML

  30. #65
    Godsmack
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    Quote Originally Posted by Romanov View Post
    Thanks. R u playing anything today?
    i will be on these

  31. #66
    spargament
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    At -2 is it worth paying -135 for penn?

  32. #67
    Romanov
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    Penn (-135) 5.24 to win 3.88 units
    Harvard (-220) 2.33 to win 1.06 units

    Easy money! I actually laid about 6% of my br on Harvard but I won't count that in the system. Good night. I can't wait for saturday!
    Up 4.94 units tonight.

    Overall +14.24 after week 1. Furk ye! I'm going to a funeral in the morning so expect plays around 9-9:30 cst. Till then my friends!

    Oh and root for Denver in college hockey. I have them -2.5 to Michigan tech but they seem to be slow tonight.

  33. #68
    Dutch
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  34. #69
    Romanov
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    On the 2h under 75.5 of the san jose st/weber game. Not a system play but just for fun since I won tonight

  35. #70
    Godsmack
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    sweet hits on penn and harvard

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