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  1. #1

    Default Umass -3

    DAYTON (13-14) at MASSACHUSETTS (11-13)

    Dayton has lost 7 straight on road.

    UMASS has won 8 of 11 @ home.

    Dayton when a dog SU 1-8
    UMASS when a favorite SU 7-2

    look at these stat

    Dayton in LINEDgames 9-14
    UMASS in LINEDgames 8-13

    There is not much difference in teams as I showed
    you. So this looks like a solid bet!!!

    What do you think?

    I love UMASS -3

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  2. #2

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    both teams suck thats for sure IMG.

    i too would play umass myself if i were to play it, because they are showing like they didn't pack it in just yet.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  3. #3

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    You know I like it buddy. UMASS has one of the best young coaches in the country in Ford, and I think he will have his team ready for this one.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/22/2005


  4. #4

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by imgv94
    DAYTON (13-14) at MASSACHUSETTS (11-13)

    Dayton has lost 7 straight on road.

    UMASS has won 8 of 11 @ home.

    Dayton when a dog SU 1-8
    UMASS when a favorite SU 7-2

    look at these stat

    Dayton in LINEDgames 9-14
    UMASS in LINEDgames 8-13

    There is not much difference in teams as I showed
    you. So this looks like a solid bet!!!

    What do you think?

    I love UMASS -3
    Here IMG, I will stick my neck out first.

    5* UMASS -3 (-110)

  5. #5

  6. #6

  7. #7

    Default

    WHY do you like Dayton?

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  8. #8

    Default

    -better record and would be even better had Scott been healthy all year
    -better defense
    -better free throw team
    -Brian Roberts against James Life
    -Roberts,Scott and Plummer are deadly 3 point shooters for Dayton.
    - Mass are 0-6 when their fg % is under 44%
    ....Dayton have only allowed the opposing team to shoot better than 44% 3 times in their last 12 games.

    2 of those 3 teams were 17-8 La Salle and 23-1 Georgia Washington and both away games.

    - Home court advantage is overrated here. Dayton has a winning record in the past at Mass being only slight favorites.
    - Dayton coming off a big confiden win at home against Xavier
    - Almost beat La Salle on the road with Scott's first game back. Lost on a final seconds 3 from La Salle when the game was tied.
    -Mass's best player Freeman has been having trouble scoring as of late.

    ...just a few thoughts...i'm waiting to get more points for dayton if i decide to play it

  9. #9

    Default

    I don't see Dayton being better. Dayton has lost 7 straight road games.

    All the stats I have read make these teams look very similar. I'll
    take similar and home court advantage..

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  10. #10

    Default

    I think Dayton is slightly better, I would rather have Dayton -3 at Daytonthan UMass -3 at home, but I still think this is the right play
    90pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/24/2012

    15,195

    SBR POKER TOP 100

    12th Place 11/1/2011

    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 4/30/2012

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/23/2012

    65pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/25/2012

    SBR Founder Join Date: 9/20/2005


  11. #11

    Default

    4 of those 7 were without one of their best players and 2 of those games were against Cincinatti and George Washington.

    Umass have dropped their last 2 home games, one to La Salle who beat them by 21 points at home. Dayton lost on a final shot at La Salle.

    If Dayton keeps Freeman offensively inconsistent...Dayton will win the game outright.

  12. #12

    Default

    PLUS! Dayton are *due* to win on the road!

    :P

  13. #13

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    You are making a great case for Dayton,, I still like UMass. But
    u have me thinkin.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  14. #14

    Default

    The stat that sticks out to me the most is that Umass are ***2-11*** when they shoot under --44%-- as a team.

    Dayton this season have held their opponents to a fg % of 40.1 %

    play Dayton shoots about 5%(and probably better with 83% ft shooter Scott back)
    better from the charity stripe.

  15. #15

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    63-44 3min left..

    UMASS crusing baby!!

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  16. #16

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    congrats. Dayton had the lead in the first half and then just started playing like stiffs i guess..

  17. #17

    Default

    66 -47 UMASS 19pt win. WINNER!!

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  18. #18

  19. #19

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Alamorich
    Nice one IMG.
    Didn't you have em bro?

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  20. #20

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    Great job im.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/9/2005


  21. #21

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    Thanks for the pick, guys! I just lurk around and scoop all of these nice picks. Hopefully I can return the favor next NFL season! (I hate BBall, but NFL is my passion.)

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005


  22. #22

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    NFL is my passion also. 6 unit bets all over the place. 20 unit teasers.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


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