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Old 01-26-10, 02:12 PM   #1
bobby heenan
 
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Default kentucky/usc

i want to drop a g or so on the kentucky ml....the reward isnt all that great as you know...young team...on the road...just took over the #1 spot...sounds like a recipe for disaster....should i be scared off? i just dont know if s carolina has anything besides downey though....
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Old 01-26-10, 02:14 PM   #2
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First L to SC is highly unlikely...
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Old 01-26-10, 02:17 PM   #3
bobby heenan
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RetardStrength View Post
First L to SC is highly unlikely...
thats what im thinking....
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Old 01-26-10, 02:18 PM   #4
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ML not the correct play IMO. They may lose outright or cover but your odds suck on moneyline. I'm probably going to take them at -7. The only way I would moneyline is in a parlay
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Old 01-26-10, 02:21 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by southpaw74 View Post
ML not the correct play IMO. They may lose outright or cover but your odds suck on moneyline. I'm probably going to take them at -7. The only way I would moneyline is in a parlay
i know the odds on the ml are what they are...at the same time...im really getting sick of spreads...and bad beats on covers....id much rather know that if the team i like loses the game...they lost...even if i have to pay for it....dont really love playing these big ml favorites on the road...but im thinking this may be free money
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Old 01-26-10, 02:50 PM   #6
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The problem is, you don't have much to compare quite yet for these two teams so far this season... Some of the teams that Kentucky has handled will run into this South Car team within the next few games. Honestly, I smell a blowout, but the spread is at 7 cause the bookies have nothing to compare to, and Kentucky is on the road... Like I stated, I am doubting their first L to South Carolina, even on the road. I agree with the southpaw though, ML may be a little too risky... Best bet is go big on the spread, maybe not as big as you were planning, but 1/2 that unit...
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Old 01-26-10, 02:54 PM   #7
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for 300 bones profit I would take them ML for sure...
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Old 01-26-10, 04:28 PM   #8
johnnyswami
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i would be real careful with that moneyline
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Old 01-26-10, 04:54 PM   #9
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Can USC win outright? The line certainly seems to say the book thinks so - I just don't see how SC doesn't lose by at least 10, even at home. They look like a very mediocre team that will be outmatched under the bright lights of ESPN tonight..
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Old 01-26-10, 04:59 PM   #10
Unchained
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Good Luck tonight Mr. Hennan.
You were great with Gorilla Monsoon.
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Old 01-26-10, 04:59 PM   #11
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almost 70% on KY line is still climbing to 8 at some places. Where does the value of ky end. This is their first game as#1 those SC boys will be pumped on their home court. I haven't seen them much this year but they were predicted to be a powerhouse in the SEC in preseason. Do they have anything for UK?
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Old 01-26-10, 05:00 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobby heenan View Post
i know the odds on the ml are what they are...at the same time...im really getting sick of spreads...and bad beats on covers....id much rather know that if the team i like loses the game...they lost...even if i have to pay for it....dont really love playing these big ml favorites on the road...but im thinking this may be free money

I understand where you are coming from. you may be better off with lakers ML and Kentucky ML patlay then. at least there is a little return there
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Old 01-26-10, 05:23 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobby heenan View Post
i want to drop a g or so on the kentucky ml....the reward isnt all that great as you know...young team...on the road...just took over the #1 spot...sounds like a recipe for disaster....should i be scared off? i just dont know if s carolina has anything besides downey though....

BOL but if I may ask you a question...Why so much? You a this confident in Kentucky on the road tonight?
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Old 01-26-10, 05:29 PM   #14
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The Over might be the better play as it's hit 16-3 last 19.
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Old 01-26-10, 05:37 PM   #15
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kentucky wildcat ml
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Old 01-26-10, 05:44 PM   #16
bobby heenan
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by THE PROFIT View Post
almost 70% on KY line is still climbing to 8 at some places. Where does the value of ky end. This is their first game as#1 those SC boys will be pumped on their home court. I haven't seen them much this year but they were predicted to be a powerhouse in the SEC in preseason. Do they have anything for UK?
they were predicted to be one of the better teams in the SEC...they have downey who is a star....but they dismissed a key guy holmes...not sure if he was a starter or not...and lost a starter archie....so they are kind of depleted
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Old 01-26-10, 05:46 PM   #17
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No Play for me bad spot for the wildcats
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