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  1. #1

    Lightbulb NCAAB "System Plays"

    In my "Best Bet" Plays thread i started record for 2 "systems" that i have tracked since the beginning of the year which have done quit well in the past and also this year thus far. Last night i posted the first play for "System #1 (Wichita State -3) and it was a WIN. That being said "System #1 will have a record of 1-0 in this thread. I also decided i would post the rules for each "System" so others will understand where the plays are comming from and if they want to track it themselves they can or they can simply just look at this thread for the plays, whichever is easier for you.

    We are all here to make money not to compare ourselves with each other. Some have been critical of me in the present and in the past for creating different threads with different wagering styles and posting a record for each post accusing me of re-starting me records. Some of you who read my posts know i usually have a detailed explanation and write-up for my plays and i do quit well with my posted plays.

    A little about myself...I am retired at age 39....I was blessed to be retired at such a young age...and wagering on sports is my 2nd income. I spend alot of time handicapping all major sports excluding the NHL. I take great pride in cashing my ticktets at the window after my play wins knowing that my hard work and time spent handicapping games payed off. I dont claim to know everything and i know, after being in this buisness for many years (Full time as of 2 years ago), we all can learn new things from other.

    Alot of people/posters here at SBR (including myself) get caught up in posting plays with no write-up or explanation. All others see is a play and no reasoning behind the plays. What the posters here need to realize is we all don't know each other on a personal basis and to expect other people to place a wager on a posted play with no reasoning behind the play is alot to expect, especially when its their hard earned dollar at risk. This is the reason for this post. I have decided to take the 2 "Systems" i started last night in my "Best Bet" Play thread and post them here...describing in detail what each "System" is and how the plays are determined. I will post each "System" and the rules that govern the plays so everyone knows exactly what the system is and how it works.

    You can agree and tail or you can disagree and fade. There is no handicapping using stats, ect. with these "Systems" so i dont really care if one team has better stats than the other. I dont really care if one team is "Battle tested" or "Road tested" or not. These are 2 "Systems" that have been around for a while which not to many people pay much attention to but as i stated previously are quit successfull over the entire season. The great thing about these 2 "Systems" is you dont have to spend 5 hours a day handicapping games getting you spouse or significant other pissed at you. This, at the most takes 15 minutes out of your day...and if you decide to just read this thread to get the plays it will only take you about 2 minutes out of your day. I hope i can help others make money using my suggestions and information. I enjoy doing this for others and as i said earlier we all can learn from each other.

    I will work on getting the specifics about each "System" written out and have all the information posted within the hour if you are interested. Hope everyone had a successfull night and of course anyone is welcome in this thread and all comments and questions are always welcome.


  2. #2

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    "System" #1

    One of the oldest NCAAB systems around happens to be one of the most successful. It's one that most experienced sports bettors have heard of, but possibly didn't realize its success.

    "System" #1 is simply wager on any unranked team that is favored at home over a ranked team. That's all there is to it. An example of this would be my posted play last night with #20 Northern Iowa @ (unranked) Wichita State. Unranked Wichita State was the favored (-3) home team vs. a ranked opponent. RESULT: Wichita State 60, #20 ranked Northern Iowa 51.

    The rationale behind the system makes sense, as you're taking a good team, as evident by the fact that they are favored over one of the top 25 teams in the country, who is playing in front of the home fans. The team, along with its fans, tend to get up for these games, wanting to prove they are just as good than the ranked team. You can expect the home team to give its best effort.

    Thats all there is to "System" #1, pretty simple.


    "System" #2

    The second part of the system, or "System" #2, that isn't as widely known, is to wager against these home teams in their next game if they did cover the point spread against the ranked team.

    Unranked teams that do knock-off the ranked teams (Such as Wichita State as mentioned above) are ripe for a letdown in their next game, and are often spent emotionally, as well as physically, and many times have trouble getting up for its next opponent.

    Thats as simple as it gets for the novice bettor or the experienced bettor who doesnt want to spend alot of time capping games or doesnt feel comfortable tailing others. This also gives you a set of guidlines to follow that have been around for a long time and is successfull year in and year out.
    Points Awarded:

    Glitch gave snapstick 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    natelli1 gave snapstick 9 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  3. #3

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    So, with that said, i will post the play that i posted in my "Best Bet" Play thread here to start us off and i will do the legwork to keep the plays posted for each "System".

  4. #4

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    01/19/2010

    "System" #1

    Wichita State -3 vs. #20 Northern Iowa (WIN)60-51


    "System" #2

    No Plays


    Year To Date Record:
    "System" #1: 1-0
    "System" #2: 0-0

  5. #5

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    As a example of "System" #2 since Wichita State was a "System" #1 winner we will fade them ATS in their next game which is on 01/23/2010 @ Drake. ( I will post that play the day of the game)

  6. #6

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    01/20/2010

    No Plays


    Year To Date Record:
    "System" #1: 1-0
    "System" #2: 0-0

  7. #7

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    Snaps i won alot of $ following Hammew picks, even beat him in contest b4. R u the real deal or just a fake?

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by CarolinaDaze View Post
    Snaps i won alot of $ following Hammew picks, even beat him in contest b4. R u the real deal or just a fake?

    I'm not sure what that comment has to do with this thread but i will simply answer by saying i don't compare myself with or against others. We are all here for the same reason...to make money and learn from each other. I'm not sure what you mean by a fake. As i stated earlier i spend alot of time handicapping sports and every play i post i wager. I also enjoy trying to help others make money and i try to provide ideas i have learned over the years to help others. GL to you and you are aways welcome here to post your thoughts.

  9. #9

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    I like Wichita State to lose to Drake on the 23rd! I've actually heard of both systems and they seem legit and make sense. Best of luck to you!

  10. #10

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by peterpan19 View Post
    so... do you have any past records ?

    GL
    I will look it up and see what i can find.

  12. #12

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    I will also be adding a NBA TOTALS "System" in the NBA forum for the remainder of the season to see how it does. It's in the "trial" stages so tail with caution but i was told it also does quit well. I will post the simple NBA TOTALS "System" later today.

  13. #13
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by snapstick View Post
    01/19/2010

    "System" #1

    Wichita State -3 vs. #20 Northern Iowa (WIN)60-51


    "System" #2

    No Plays


    Year To Date Record:
    "System" #1: 1-0
    "System" #2: 0-0
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  14. #14

  15. #15

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    Thanks for doing this snap. Tough loss on clemson last night, they had alot of chances to win at the end

  16. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by CLASSIC ROCK View Post
    Thanks for doing this snap. Tough loss on clemson last night, they had alot of chances to win at the end
    I really like this system. It does not have plays every day but this is a good formula to follow and back tracking the 2 systems the records are pretty good. It looks like these 2 systems should produce about 100 plays during the entire NCAAB season. We will see how it does the remainder of the season.

  17. #17

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    Quote Originally Posted by snapstick View Post
    I will look it up and see what i can find.

    and could you find something ???

  18. #18

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    Im still trying to find or backtrack Peter

  19. #19

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    Once i locate the past results from previous seasons i will gladly post them. Again there are no plays today.


    01/20/2010

    No Plays


    Year To Date Record:
    "System" #1: 1-0
    "System" #2: 0-0

  20. #20

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    What about a lower ranked home team vs a higher ranked away team?

    For example: #19 Georgia Tech yesterday was favored (-1) at home against #17 Clemson and won 66-64.

    Next game for Georgia Tech is at Florida State on Sunday the 24th. I could see GT losing that for sure. I doubt I'll play that (at least not without seeing the matchup on the day of) but it'll be interesting to keep an eye on this too!

  21. #21

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    Come to think of it... If Florida State is favored in this matchup (which they could be) we could see a system 1-system 2 overlap!

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by DuncHen22 View Post
    Come to think of it... If Florida State is favored in this matchup (which they could be) we could see a system 1-system 2 overlap!
    The 2 systems i posted can in no way overlap if thats what you are making a reference to.

  23. #23

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    FYI: There are 3 unranked teams playing at home tonight vs. ranked teams but all of the unranked home teams are dogs so they are all no plays. Remember to fit System #1 the unranked home team MUST be the favorite.

  24. #24

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by DuncHen22 View Post
    What about a lower ranked home team vs a higher ranked away team?

    For example: #19 Georgia Tech yesterday was favored (-1) at home against #17 Clemson and won 66-64.

    Next game for Georgia Tech is at Florida State on Sunday the 24th. I could see GT losing that for sure. I doubt I'll play that (at least not without seeing the matchup on the day of) but it'll be interesting to keep an eye on this too!
    I'm sure there are many different systems or styles of wagering you can develope but what you mentioned is not apart of these 2 systems.

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  27. #27

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    Quote Originally Posted by icsky3 View Post
    We shalllllll seeeee
    Quote Originally Posted by man3645 View Post
    Texas wins the national championship

  28. #28

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    glgl Snap. I like this methodology.

    Will certainly be keeping an eye on this thread. Keep up the great work.

  29. #29

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pensinger1 View Post
    glgl Snap. I like this methodology.

    Will certainly be keeping an eye on this thread. Keep up the great work.
    GL bro.


  30. #30

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    Quote Originally Posted by snapstick View Post
    The 2 systems i posted can in no way overlap if thats what you are making a reference to.
    Well first of all, i was referring to my potential amendment o system 1, in which i considered looking at a lower ranked home team against a visiting higher ranked team.

    Secondly, it is still possible for systems 1 and 2 to overlap as is. An unranked team beats a ranked team at home, becomes ranked before their next game, then plays against an unranked team on the road and is the underdog.

    Here is a possible (but unlikely) senario: UNC becomes unranked and Duke starts to fade. UNC becomes the favored team at home when Duke comes to town Wednesday Feb 10th. UNC wins, which convinces enough people to put them back in the rankings. Then the following game (on tuesday), they play a surging North Carolina State team on the road (they play NC State at home this year but bear with me) and are considered underdogs. That would be an overlap.

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  33. #33

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    thank you for taking the time to educate us on your findings.. will be following this thread for sure!

  34. #34

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    Quote Originally Posted by ol'Tex View Post
    thank you for taking the time to educate us on your findings.. will be following this thread for sure!

  35. #35

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    Reminder: We will have a "System" #2 play on the 23rd in the Wichita State/Drake game. There might be a "System" #1 play before that play but i will have to check the schedule and odds to see.


    01/21/2010

    No Plays



    Year To Date Record:
    "System" #1: 1-0
    "System" #2: 0-0

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