[jpstefan122]

I am a basketball handicapper all I do is research games especially college basketball and NBA. I am about 70% with my picks over the past three years. I have been doing this for over 20 years.

Tuesday Picks
Michigan State Money Line
Maryland +10.5 (Guaranteed)
Austin Peay -1
Philadelphia 76ers Money line

Good Luck and hopefully we will make some money together. Please let me know what you think.

[GreatDanes52]

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

I am a basketball handicapper all I do is research games especially college basketball and NBA. I am about 70% with my picks over the past three years. I have been doing this for over 20 years.

Tuesday Picks
Michigan State Money Line
Maryland +10.5 (Guaranteed)
Austin Peay -1
Philadelphia 76ers Money line

Good Luck and hopefully we will make some money together. Please let me know what you think.

Guaranteed lol I wish it was that easy... What's your reasoning on liking Maryland so much?.. Good Luck either way

[mcbaseball10]

Welcome to SBR and BOL with your pick:

Tommy Boy anyone?

Tommy: Let's think about this for a sec, Ted, why would somebody put a guarantee on a box? Hmmm, very interesting.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Go on, I'm listening.
Tommy: Here's the way I see it, Ted. Guy puts a fancy guarantee on a box 'cause he wants you to fell all warm and toasty inside.
Ted Nelson, Customer: Yeah, makes a man feel good.
Tommy: 'Course it does. Why shouldn't it? Ya figure you put that little box under your pillow at night, the Guarantee Fairy might come by and leave a quarter, am I right, Ted?
[chuckles until he sees that Ted is not laughing too]
Ted Nelson, Customer: [impatiently] What's your point?
Tommy: The point is, how do you know the fairy isn't a crazy glue sniffer? "Building model airplanes" says the little fairy; well, we're not buying it. He sneaks into your house once, that's all it takes. The next thing you know, there's money missing off the dresser, and your daughter's knocked up. I seen it a hundred times.
Ted Nelson, Customer: But why do they put a guarantee on the box?
Tommy: Because they know all they sold ya was a guaranteed piece of shit. That's all it is, isn't it? Hey, if you want me to take a dump in a box and mark it guaranteed, I will. I got spare time. But for now, for your customer's sake, for your daughter's sake, ya might wanna think about buying a quality product from me.
Ted Nelson, Customer: [pause] Okay, I'll buy from you.
Tommy: Well, that's...
Tommy, Richard Hayden: ...What?

[jpstefan122]

Ever since Gary Williams has been on the hot seat his team has responded with three consecutive victories. They completely outplayed out hustled a good Virginia Tech team who by the way beat than ranked #1 Wake Forest. i would not be suprised if Maryland won the game outright tonight. They have a lot to play for if they have a chance to go to the big dance. I expect Maryland to keep rolling and im GUARANTEEING they cover. Thats my opinion on it. Plus Clemson has lost 2 out of 3 games. Thanks and hope you guys are in with me.

[Godzilla]

Why 76ers? Indy plays tough at home

[jpstefan122]

They won four in a row and 14 of 18. Sixers are forcing turnovers, getting out on the fast-break, rebounding the ball and their half-court offense is better than it was earlier in the season. And they're getting contributions from everybody. Indiana I dont think can keep up with the Sixers in this game. Both teams are well rested and I like the Sixers a lot more when completely rested.

[GreatDanes52]

I did a little research on the Maryland game I think I'm going to play them too tonight. Lets cash it

[ACCBball]

Good home win vs tech, no doubt about that but MD on the road is a risky propisition. Clemson has a huge advantage inside..who is going to gaurd Booker and rebound with Sykes. Clemson just lost to a bad team in UVA, they are going to come out hungry..I can see this one getting ugly. Finally, Gary loves to foul to the bitter end. Even if he is down 12 with 22 seconds, his players foul..so if they dont hit a three or get junk, they wont cover.

I would play the over much stronger here..MD cant cover the inside game..if they double rivers and stitt should light it up from the outside. Clemson's press usually gives up 8-10 easy baskets a game and gets them a few easy baskets on TOs.

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

Ever since Gary Williams has been on the hot seat his team has responded with three consecutive victories. They completely outplayed out hustled a good Virginia Tech team who by the way beat than ranked #1 Wake Forest. i would not be suprised if Maryland won the game outright tonight. They have a lot to play for if they have a chance to go to the big dance. I expect Maryland to keep rolling and im GUARANTEEING they cover. Thats my opinion on it. Plus Clemson has lost 2 out of 3 games. Thanks and hope you guys are in with me.

[jpstefan122]

Thats a good argument but this game will be close all the way up until the end. Maryland is in survival mode right now they are fighting for a chance to go to the big dance and they are fighting for Gary Williams future. I expect Vasquez to have a strong game and Maryland to cover.

[spongerat]

wow 70% over 3 years? you must be a millionaire

[jpstefan122]

Close to it not bragging but its my job what can I say.

[spongerat]

well good luck.

what do you think of KY over vandy? I really like this pick

[jpstefan122]

Im staying away from that Patterson is most likely out and he is there second leading scorer plus he averages 10 boards a game thats a huge loss. Kentucky doesnt have the depth like we are used to seeing in the past. I would still lean to KY a little bit but im staying away from it.

[ScreaminPain]

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

Ever since Gary Williams has been on the hot seat his team has responded with three consecutive victories. They completely outplayed out hustled a good Virginia Tech team who by the way beat than ranked #1 Wake Forest. i would not be suprised if Maryland won the game outright tonight. They have a lot to play for if they have a chance to go to the big dance. I expect Maryland to keep rolling and im GUARANTEEING they cover. Thats my opinion on it. Plus Clemson has lost 2 out of 3 games. Thanks and hope you guys are in with me.

Interesting perspective.....although I'm still a little curious...

My model has this game being played at around 70 possessions. Seing that Maryland (on the road) is scoring slightly less than 1.0 pt/poss. and Clemson (at home) is averaging 1.07 pts/poss. the faster this game is played the better chance Clemson will win.

On defense, it gets worse. Using H/A numbers, the 'Terps are giving up 1.03 pts/poss and Clemson is allowing a paltry .83 pt/poss. (Clemson=top 24 in the Nation in this stat.)

After feeding this into my model (acually it's automatically computed), Clemson will win this matchup by 11. Of course, I'm using season long stats which may be skewed do to non-conference SOS games which are included.

Now, we all know "shit happens". It appears the best way for the 'Terps to pull this one out, is to slooow down the tempo....thus allowing fewer points and maybe take advantage of the FT advantage they will have. Also in Marylands favor is the fact they are a nice little 6-3 ATS on the road, so they can play "up" to competition.

I make this line too close to my forcast for me to play, much less call it a guarantee. I appreciate your post however, as it made me look a little deeper than normal. A 'Terp win, although not likely in my opinion, is certainly a possiblilty if everything goes their way.

Good luck on your action....

[awhitejackson]

Originally Posted by mcbaseball10

Welcome to SBR and BOL with your pick:
Hey, if you want me to take a dump in a box and mark it guaranteed, I will. I got spare time.
Ted Nelson, Customer: [pause] Okay, I'll buy from you.
Tommy: Well, that's...
Tommy, Richard Hayden: ...What?

I got spare time!

[Bob Roberts]

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

Ever since Gary Williams has been on the hot seat his team has responded with three consecutive victories. They completely outplayed out hustled a good Virginia Tech team who by the way beat than ranked #1 Wake Forest. i would not be suprised if Maryland won the game outright tonight. They have a lot to play for if they have a chance to go to the big dance. I expect Maryland to keep rolling and im GUARANTEEING they cover. Thats my opinion on it. Plus Clemson has lost 2 out of 3 games. Thanks and hope you guys are in with me.

I am looking forward to getting my refund cheque on my bet if maryland doesn't cover! .....lol...... WORDS ARE MEANINGLESS WITHOUT ACTION TO BACK UP THOSE WORDS!!!

That being said, if you are as good as you say, I am looking forward to following your picks and maybe i will learn a thing or two. I wish you the best and good luck!

P.S. - I already got maryland tonight....lol....

[jpstefan122]

well than good you will be a winner. My other picks im also very confident about. Best of luck and lets win some money.

[spongerat]

if you're so confident in maryland, are you putting like 25% of your BR on it?

[WestsidePete]

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

I am a basketball handicapper all I do is research games especially college basketball and NBA. I am about 70% with my picks over the past three years. I have been doing this for over 20 years.

Tuesday Picks
Michigan State Money Line
Maryland +10.5 (Guaranteed)
Austin Peay -1
Philadelphia 76ers Money line

Good Luck and hopefully we will make some money together. Please let me know what you think.

Well, I see a record of 0-0....but I do like Austin Peay on this list GL and welcome to the board

[jpstefan122]

I am betting $1,000 on MD to cover sponge. And yes your right my record is 0-0 we will see tonight. Gl every1 with your bets.

[spongerat]

a grand doesn't mean much in terms of proportion. and that doens't sound like a large % of your roll. regardless, i hope they win because i have them as well

[jpstefan122]

lol your funny just curious how much did you wager?

[LockPickMaster]

Is that you Machine?

[txsholdempro]

this guy must work for the books trying to get our money

[jpstefan122]

lol thats about the funniest thing i have heard all day today thanks for the good laugh txsholdempro

[jpstefan122]

i just placed a parley Michigan State ML, Austin Peay -1 $200 to win $640

[mrbig]

Originally Posted by jpstefan122

i just placed a parley Michigan State ML, Austin Peay -1 $200 to win $640

based on the above statement there is no way you do this for a living....

but GL.

[jpstefan122]

and u want to explain to me why??

[mrbig]

because anyone who makes a living at "this" knows there is no value in parlays.

[jpstefan122]

its 200 its not even anyhthing just a little play for a nice win

[mrbig]

another statement which clarifies my point.

[unde0087]

I was wondering the same thing. No offense jp but you know how many people come on here each month touting themselves and then they are no longer here after a month. It makes me also wonder when you throw out a parlay, not to mention the fact that if you are as rich as you claim then why are you betting $200 a play. I would say that someone with that much money would be throwing dimes per play not a hundred. If you are legit then congrads on your success and many degenerates on this site my be helped by your plays but why don't you just let your wins talk for you instead of just coming here and just posting that you are 70% winner. Sorry if I don't just believe you as there is less than 1% of gamblers that can say they can do that. Just a heads up for you, if you throw a number out like that and have 1 bad nice you will get drestroyed on this site, people at SBR are brutal!

[jpstefan122]

haha ok mr big what are your plays for tonight??

[jpstefan122]

good point unde but you will soon know that im not here just for fun im trying to help others win money also. You guys can think what you want but I will post my picks and those who choose to follow will win with me. Its as simple as that so thanks for all the haters out there its fine. lol

[Reggie Dunlop]

Welcome to the site.