[naslax13]

....Thread continued from : The Sports Investor

Current Record: 22-16-1 (+48 units)

Stay posted for some winners. Will be posting plays in all sports.

[Ab34]

Waiting for some winners Billy! BOL!!

[naslax13]

Lets kick it off with an nhl total bet...

Under 5.5 Bruins/Senators

5 units

[naslax13]

I will be making a lot of nhl total plays on here, I will be running a new system which is confidential, but will supply the picks.

Also have a thread dedicated to just nhl totals in hockey section

[naslax13]

Oh well, can't win em' all.

22-17-1

[naslax13]

My colleague has advised me not to post my nhl total system plays so I will try to stick with football and ncaab for now... leaning towards the bears again this week.

[schism79]

My colleague has advised me not to post my nhl total system plays so I will try to stick with football and ncaab for now... leaning towards the bears again this week.

Just curious....when you say "colleague," are you referring to a wise guy? Do you actually have ties to Billy Walters, or is that just an avatar? For whatever reason, when I see his picture there, it makes the plays seem more valuable...LOL

[naslax13]

my colleague is my business partner. the rest is confidential

[naslax13]

PICK :

Lock in broncos +7.5 at Sportsbook.com (5 units)

[schism79]

PICK :

Lock in broncos +7.5 at Sportsbook.com (5 units)

Well, I certainly don't like being on the opposite side of your play, but I think Tebow magic ends this week. Maybe the Broncos can hang within that number, but if Denver does the usual routine where they don't do anything for the first 3 Quarters, the hole will be too big to dig out of.

BOL with the Denver play! How do you feel about the Patriots in a teaser at -1 or -1.5? On that note, how do you feel about teasers in general? I read a book about capping last year (The Smart Money by Michael Konik) and it basically said that even with the sophisticated computer prediction systems that the so-called wise guys were using, the NFL point spreads got to be so accurate, that teasers were eventually the only way they could get an edge. I would think that someone with your background/sources might be able to clean up on some 2-team 6-point teasers, or especially the 3-team 10-pointers. Care to offer any advice/opinion on teaser bets?

[19th Hole]

My associate saw your colleague having a confidential
tryst with Jerry Sandusky. He told your colleague
to watch his mouth.
What a crock.

[Dutchie]

not sure what to make of that Denver line. prob gonna stay away or take NE first half

[Lucky1g]

nasty nas was around last year..lost more than he won. not trying to talk shit naslax, i wish u the best, just dont pretend to be somebody ur not. tell billy walters i said hello

[Sunde91]

haha you know a legit "investor" when he plays at sportsbook.com and has a billy walters avatar

[chopperocker]

Well, I certainly don't like being on the opposite side of your play, but I think Tebow magic ends this week. Maybe the Broncos can hang within that number, but if Denver does the usual routine where they don't do anything for the first 3 Quarters, the hole will be too big to dig out of.

BOL with the Denver play! How do you feel about the Patriots in a teaser at -1 or -1.5? On that note, how do you feel about teasers in general? I read a book about capping last year (The Smart Money by Michael Konik) and it basically said that even with the sophisticated computer prediction systems that the so-called wise guys were using, the NFL point spreads got to be so accurate, that teasers were eventually the only way they could get an edge. I would think that someone with your background/sources might be able to clean up on some 2-team 6-point teasers, or especially the 3-team 10-pointers. Care to offer any advice/opinion on teaser bets?

the 80/20 rule says broncos are the play, but its a pass for me.

[naslax13]

Ok first off, a friend of mine and I are running some sophisticated models to generate point spreads similar to the ones that vegas uses and other betting groups, they pretty much give you the "true" line, where as vegas accounts for the public opinion which distorts the true line. Second off, no I am not in contact, nor do I work for billy walters- he is just someone that I have a lot of respect for. Third, you can fade all you want, I am just posting my picks here. take them or leave them. Broncos will slow the game down and keep it out of bradys hands, their defense will play hard at home, I just like the points in this situation. I think last week was the week for the tebow train wreck, and I was right in betting against them as the bears covered, and should have won straight up if it wasn't for the two most humiliating blunders Iv seen by a rb all season. Bears were a different caliber defense hungry to shut him down, pats just don't have the talent on D.

[naslax13]

Pick : Bears -3.5 (5 units)

Bears are still in the playoff picture, they have a great home field advantage, their organization is embarrassed after last week and marion barber will need to redeem himself, seattle sucks on the road.

[naslax13]

for the true action junkies, leaning towards vikings +8.. saints have trouble stopping the run on the road, and playing on the road for that matter... without the home field advantage of their dome (which is ridiculous), their defense is not the same squad.. they lost to rams and bucs on the road and almost lost to panthers and titans on the road... vikings have won last 5 meetings at home vs saints... however i won't make it an official bet bc it doesn't fit all of my criteria.

[schism79]

Pick : Bears -3.5 (5 units)

Bears are still in the playoff picture, they have a great home field advantage, their organization is embarrassed after last week and marion barber will need to redeem himself, seattle sucks on the road.

Nice picks today! Not even close....even the lean on the Vikings got blown out. Back to the drawing board for you and your "colleague." Billy Walters would sue you for impersonation if he saw those picks.

Go PATS!!! Serves you right for going against the best in the business! You've been Belichicked

[LP™]

Nice picks today! Not even close....even the lean on the Vikings got blown out. Back to the drawing board for you and your "colleague." Billy Walters would sue you for impersonation if he saw those picks.

Go PATS!!! Serves you right for going against the best in the business! You've been Belichicked

[naslax13]

22-19-1 (33 units)

[naslax13]

Thursdays cbb plays:

5 units on st marys +4 vs baylor
5 units on n texas +3.5 vs lsu
1 unit moneyline parlay to win 6 units

[naslax13]

22-21-1 (+21 Units)

Train wreck lately, sorry guys. Still up on the year due to the betting patterns. I will continue to bet this out, hopefully turn things around.

[naslax13]

pick: 5 units on rhode island +5.5

[naslax13]

Picks:
10 units
Gmen +3
Lions -1

This is not a chase bet.This is a statistical play. With my strategy when I have had this many losses in a row these are the best times to push hard, because I know that this streak will end soon. Hence why my record is 22-21, yet I'm up 21 units on the season

[naslax13]

looks like 20 units won so far , pressed at just the right time.

Christmas pick:

Under 42.5 greenbay/bears [10 units]
Parlay: bears moneyline (+425) and under 42 (-110) [1 unit to win 10]

[naslax13]

2011 season: 24-23-1 (+23.5 units)

Spurs -4.5 (5 units)

[Lucky1g]

just picking up from 12.23 when u were up 21unit. since then u r up 2.5units. your current units should be 23.5. i think u forget to subtract the vig sometimes. i like the spurs tonight as well

[naslax13]

just picking up from 12.23 when u were up 21unit. since then u r up 2.5units. your current units should be 23.5. i think u forget to subtract the vig sometimes. i like the spurs tonight as well

yea i do forget sometimes, sorry about that.. will fix it now. Im looking forward to the nba season, feeling confident.

[naslax13]

Winner on the spurs, i doubled my bet for the second half as well but forgot to post it.

2011 season: 25-23 (+28.5 units)

[naslax13]

forgot to post my seton hall pick tonight...

leaning towards texas a+m tomorrow vs northwestern, will wait to see if line drops lower. aggies have been underachievers all season, they are primed for a blowout vs northwestern, lost a bunch of heartbreakers vs very good teams, were ranked 8th pre-season .. much better program than northwestern

[Glitch]

why do you like seton hall tonight? that probably shouldnt be a strong play the way wvu is capable of performing at their best. im likely going to try to stay away from it tonight but i imagine the majority will be on wvu.

washington should destroy oregon state (cbb)- i expect that line to move 2 points unfavorably from right now.

[Glitch]

why do you like seton hall tonight? that probably shouldnt be a strong play the way wvu is capable of performing at their best. im likely going to try to stay away from it tonight but i imagine the majority will be on wvu.

washington should destroy oregon state (cbb)- i expect that line to move 2 points unfavorably from right now.

nevermind, thats washington state playing oregon state. not even close to the same.

-i like all of these plays a lot for tonight. cincinatti, gonzaga, st. johns much less than the others.

Dec 31 CFB [245] VIRGINIA +130
Dec 31 CBB [543] ST. JOHNS +14-110
Dec 31 CBB [553] TOTAL o137½-110 (PROVIDENCE vrs GEORGETOWN)
Dec 31 CBB [577] SOUTH ALABAMA +12-110
Dec 31 CBB [583] ST. JOSEPHS +6-110
Dec 31 CBB [595] SAINT LOUIS +6½-110
Dec 31 CBB [619] TOTAL o141½-110 (GONZAGA vrs XAVIER)
Dec 31 NHL [59] MONTREAL +120
Dec 31 NHL [64] WINNIPEG -130
Dec 31 NHL [69] COLORADO EV