1. #106
    kobstopa
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    NHL

    WASHINGTON CAPITALS at NEW JERSEY
    Two very solid defensive teams is at it. NJ is the least offensive of the two, this pointing toward a low scoring game.

    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
    Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games on the road

    New Jersey is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
    New Jersey is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    New Jersey is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
    New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

    New Jersey is the worst offensive team in the league averaging just 2.2 goals per game.
    New Jersey has the fewest power play chances in the league with just 2.9 per game.
    New Jersey is last in the league scoring power play goals with 0.5 per game.
    New Jersey has the best shots against in the league allowing 26.3 per game.
    New Jersey gives up the fewest power plays in the league allowing 3.1 per game.

    Prediction: Was 1 NJ 2
    Play total under 5.5
    ATS (47-39) - NBA (29-25) NHL(18-16)

    ________________________________________
    NY Islanders at Carolina

    A high scoring almost a requirement for any game involve NYI these day. Carolina is still seeking a bottom 8th in the east.

    The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games
    NY Islanders are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of the NY Islanders last 11 games when playing Carolina
    NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Carolina
    NY Islanders are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina


    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games when playing NY Islanders
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

    NY Islanders:
    NYI are 26-81 in their last 107 road games.
    Over is 5-2-1 in NYI last 8 road games.
    NYI are 18-40 in their last 58 vs. Southeast.

    Carolina:
    Under is 6-2 in CAR last 8 Fri. games.
    Under is 18-7-1 in CAR last 26 overall.

    Head to Head:
    Over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.

    Prediction: NYI 4 Car 2
    Play total over 5.5
    ATS (47-40) - NBA (29-25) NHL(18-17)


    ________________________________________
    Canadiens at Rangers
    The Canadian is in New York, two eastern teams is neck and neck 6th & 7th rank. The better team will prevail,
    Canadian with a win in this one.

    Montreal is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games on the road
    Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Montreal is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Montreal's last 17 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
    Montreal is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers

    NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of the NY Rangers last 12 games at home
    NY Rangers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
    NY Rangers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the NY Rangers last 17 games when playing at home against Montreal
    NY Rangers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal

    Montreal:
    MON are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
    MON are 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
    Under is 14-5-2 in MON last 21 Fri. games.

    NY Rangers:
    Under is 8-2-3 in NYR last 13 vs. Northeast.
    Over is 8-3-1 in NYR last 12 home games.
    Over is 5-2-1 in NYR last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.

    Head to Head:
    Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

    Prediction: Can 2 Rangers 1
    Play total under 5.5
    ATS (45-39) - NBA (28-25) NHL(17-16)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-18-11 at 11:43 PM.

  2. #107
    kobstopa
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    Philadelphia @Sacramento

    Philadelphia:
    Over is 10-3 in PHI last 13 road games.
    Over is 6-2 in PHI last 8 overall.
    Sacramento:
    Over is 19-7 in SAC last 26 overall.

    Play total Over 207.5
    ATS (47-41) - NBA (29-26) NHL(18-17)


    Golden State at Phoenix
    These are two upper tempo teams with improved defensive ends, both is still aiming for a playoff spot and time is running out. The suns will have a limited minutes with Steve Nash, they will need 110% effort from the rest of their starters to close out this game, and from the bench; particularly Pietrus, Hakim Warrick and Jared Dudley.

    The Warriors will have Step Curry, Ellis and Dorell Wright to knock down a few 3's from outside, but will be difficult to drive in the lane without draw a charge by Gortat and Grant Hills.

    Golden State:
    GS are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Fri. games.
    GS are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. NBA Pacific.
    Under is 27-13-1 in GS last 41 road games.

    Phoenix:
    Under is 21-7 in PHO last 28 Fri. games.

    Head to Head:
    Underdog is 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
    GS are 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix.

    Play total under 217.5
    ATS (48-41) - NBA (30-26) NHL(18-17)
    result GSW 97 PHx 108


    Charlotte at Oklahoma City
    Play Oklahoma -9.5 ATS (49-41) - NBA (31-26) NHL(18-17)
    result Char 82 Okc 99
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-18-11 at 11:47 PM.

  3. #108
    kobstopa
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    Minnesota at LA Lakers
    Play total Under 201.5
    ATS (49-41) - NBA (31-26) NHL(18-17)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-18-11 at 11:59 PM.

  4. #109
    kobstopa
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    over by 2 buckets & i think its 80%-90% to go under 201.5
    shit happened

  5. #110
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post


    ATS (45-37) - NBA (28-24) NHL(17-15)

    18 March 2011: Raw Projection.

    1. Chicago at Indiana 95 84 x
    2. Denver at Orlando 104 96 x
    3. Washington at Toronto 95 104
    4. Miami at Atlanta 102 88
    5. New York at Detroit 112 101 x
    6. Charlotte at Oklahoma City 87 105
    7. San Antonio at Dallas 105 99
    8. Boston at Houston 96 107
    9. New Jersey at Milwaukee 91 94
    10. Golden State at Phoenix 100 106
    11. Philadelphia at Sacramento 110 98
    12. Minnesota at LA Lakers 88 96

    __________________________________9/12 correct pick____
    updated: very surprised to see the Bulls loss at Pacers & Knicks drop one at Detroit, after a solid result in their last game.

  6. #111
    kobstopa
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    Standing ATS (49-41) - NBA (31-26) NHL(18-17)

    Projection for 19 March 2011
    1. Cleveland at LA Clippers 94 106
    2. Denver at Miami 95 106
    3. Boston at New Orleans 92 87
    4. Indiana at Memphis 97 104
    5. Charlotte at San Antonio 92 108
    6. Philadelphia at Portland 93 99

    ________________________________________ _________________

    NHL

    Columbus at Minnesota
    Two of the worst teams in the west have not hope for a post season opportunity, at this point nothing but a lottery bound.
    last 10 Min(3-6-1) Col(1-5-4).

    Columbus:
    CLB are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
    CLB are 1-9 in their last 10 overall.
    CLB are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. Northwest.

    Minnesota:
    Under is 10-3 in MIN last 13 home games.
    Under is 5-2-1 in MIN last 8 overall.

    Head to Head:
    Home team is 23-7 in the last 30 meetings.

    Minnesota vs east 6-7-2
    Columbus vs east 10-2-2


    Prediction: Min 1 Column 3

    play total under 5.5

    ________________________________________ _________________
    NY Islanders at Florida
    Two of the worst teams in the east. Florida is still have a chance to play in a post season, but time is running out. Last 10 NYI 4-2-4 Florida 3-5-2. The Islanders has lost their sixth straight away from home and dropped to 0-1-2 on this five-game road trip with a 3-2 overtime loss to Carolina in their last game.

    NY Islanders:
    NYI are 26-82 in their last 108 road games.
    Over is 12-4-1 in NYI last 17 Sat. games.
    NYI are 18-41 in their last 59 vs. Southeast.

    Florida:
    Under is 12-3-3 in FLA last 18 home games.
    Under is 8-2 in FLA last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
    FLA are 4-12 in their last 16 home games.

    Prediction: NYI 4 Flo 2

    play total over 5.5


    ________________________________________ _________________
    Tampa Bay at Ottawa
    Tampa Bay is in fifth place in the East and seems to be in good shape to earn its playoff berth, they have comfortable lead over the teams just outside the top eight. Ottawa however is already out of the playoff picture and planning for a lottery pick. But Canadian loves their hockey, they will play just for their national pride.

    Tampa Bay:
    TB are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
    TB are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
    Under is 6-2 in TB last 8 road games.

    Ottawa:
    Under is 7-1 in OTT last 8 vs. Southeast.
    Under is 7-2-1 in OTT last 10 overall.
    OTT are 6-20 in their last 26 home games.

    Head to Head:
    TB are 5-22 in the last 27 meetings in Ottawa.
    TB are 13-38-2 in the last 53 meetings.

    Prediction: Tampa 1 OTT 3

    play total under 5.5


    ________________________________________ _________________
    Detroit at Nashville
    Detroit:
    DET are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.
    DET are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
    Under is 7-3 in DET last 10 Sat. games.

    Nashville:
    Under is 21-8-3 in NAS last 32 vs. Central.
    Under is 30-14-11 in NAS last 55 overall.

    Prediction: Det 2 Nash 0

    play Detroit/under 5.5


    ________________________________________ _________________
    Colorado at Edmonton
    Col is 0-10 last 10 and 1-20 in their last 20. as bad as Edmonton is, they still can win this one with their eyes shut.

    Colorado:
    COL are 0-8 in their last 8 Sat. games.
    COL are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.
    COL are 15-36 in their last 51 overall.

    Edmonton:
    EDM are 6-21 in their last 27 Sat. games.
    Under is 9-3 in EDM last 12 vs. Western Conference.
    EDM are 35-86 in their last 121 overall.

    Colorado has the worst defence in the league allowing 3.5 goals per game.
    Colorado allows the most power play goals in the league with 0.9 per game.
    Colorado has the worst penalty killing in the league 76.6%.

    Prediction: Col 2 Ed 5

    play Edm/Over 5.5



  7. #112
    kobstopa
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    Denver at Miami
    At ATL Bron went off 43 points with a 16-21 shooting FG. The whole team shoot 53% FG overall, but keep in mind, James had score 40% of the team's total points, also Miami out rebounded the Hawks 50-27. So these are excellent nos for them to build on when return home to face Denver and Birdman.

    Denver:
    Under is 7-2 in DEN last 9 overall.

    Miami:
    Under is 6-2 in MIA last 8 home games.
    Over is 10-4 in MIA last 14 vs. Western Conference.
    Over is 37-16-1 in MIA last 54 vs. NBA Northwest.

    Head to Head:
    Home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

    Playing hoops is fun again, we can expect El Heats to come out dominates Denver and go off to a fast start. Either Bron or Wade will have a big game.


    Play Miami -4 at the half. Standing ATS (51-43) - NBA (33-26) NHL(18-17)
    result nuggets 47 heats 56


    Charlotte at San Antonio
    Charlotte is a team ready to toss the tower, against the Spurs at home that is almost certain. Parker and Manu will drive in the lane at will, while Jefferson and Bonner will drop a few 3's from downtown. Since the trade the Cate had loss its physical size and offensive rhythm, they will heavily depend of Capt Jack. They may still have a good show effort from Boris Diaw and Livingston.

    CHAR are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
    CHAR are 3-8-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

    Play Spurs -11.5 Standing ATS (54-46) - NBA (34-27) NHL(20-19)
    result spurs 109 char 98

    Cleveland at LA Clippers
    BD, the former Clipper's convict is returning home. The real bad news for him is, he's still doing time with the Calveliar. The good news is, it's only about 14 games till the end of the season.

    Blake will take a good look at Daniel Gison's hair, no not the style, the color !!, as it is turning white. After that loss at Portland and just one more bad season like this, Gison will have every reason to feel like a 50 years old pensioner playing hoops. Now we all know the real reason why Ricky Rubio held out on the Wolves and stay in Europe instead.

    Play Clip win by 7 Standing ATS (52-43) - NBA (34-26) NHL(18-17)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-19-11 at 10:10 PM.

  8. #113
    DemoralizdDreamr
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    great analysis, picks are ight

  9. #114
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by DemoralizdDreamr View Post
    great analysis, picks are ight

  10. #115
    GTS925
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    I love the humor you put in your writeups! Best of luck!

  11. #116
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by GTS925 View Post
    I love the humor you put in your writeups! Best of luck!
    thx man, i like to have some fun out of it. and i enjoy doing these analysis.

  12. #117
    kobstopa
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    76ers at Trail Blazers

    These are two excellent defensive teams. In their last game against Cleveland, Portland played some of the best hi-lo set of plays, held Cleveland to a record 13 points first quarter, while Philly held sac to a low 80 points total on their home court.

    Take total under 188.5 Standing ATS (54-47) - NBA (34-27) NHL(20-20)


    Cleveland at LA Clippers
    The Clip will impose some physical on the Clev in the middle. Blake, Kaman and Jordan will have an excellent match up vs Hickson and S. Samuels.

    Take total under 200.5 Standing ATS (50-43) - NBA (32-26) NHL(18-17)
    result Cle 92 Clip 100
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-19-11 at 11:45 PM.

  13. #118
    TrafalgarLaw
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    Hi! I take S-A -8.5 and Bos/NO under 180. What do you thin abot under in NO/BOS?
    Big thanks for yours pics!

  14. #119
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TrafalgarLaw View Post
    Hi! I take S-A -8.5 and Bos/NO under 180. What do you thin abot under in NO/BOS?
    Big thanks for yours pics!
    excellent chance to go under. gl

  15. #120
    TrafalgarLaw
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    Thanks. Gl

  16. #121
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post
    NHL

    Columbus at Minnesota
    Two of the worst teams in the west have not hope for a post season opportunity, at this point nothing but a lottery bound.
    last 10 Min(3-6-1) Col(1-5-4).

    Columbus:
    CLB are 0-8 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
    CLB are 1-9 in their last 10 overall.
    CLB are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. Northwest.

    Minnesota:
    Under is 10-3 in MIN last 13 home games.
    Under is 5-2-1 in MIN last 8 overall.

    Head to Head:
    Home team is 23-7 in the last 30 meetings.

    Minnesota vs east 6-7-2
    Columbus vs east 10-2-2


    Prediction: Min 1 Column 3

    play total under 5.5
    Standing ATS (54-44) - NBA (34-26) NHL(20-18)

    ________________________________________ _________________
    NY Islanders at Florida
    Two of the worst teams in the east. Florida is still have a chance to play in a post season, but time is running out. Last 10 NYI 4-2-4 Florida 3-5-2. The Islanders has lost their sixth straight away from home and dropped to 0-1-2 on this five-game road trip with a 3-2 overtime loss to Carolina in their last game.

    NY Islanders:
    NYI are 26-82 in their last 108 road games.
    Over is 12-4-1 in NYI last 17 Sat. games.
    NYI are 18-41 in their last 59 vs. Southeast.

    Florida:
    Under is 12-3-3 in FLA last 18 home games.
    Under is 8-2 in FLA last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
    FLA are 4-12 in their last 16 home games.

    Prediction: NYI 4 Flo 2

    play total over 5.5
    Standing ATS (53-43) - NBA (34-26) NHL(19-17)
    result NYI 4 Flo 3
    ________________________________________ _________________
    Tampa Bay at Ottawa
    Tampa Bay is in fifth place in the East and seems to be in good shape to earn its playoff berth, they have comfortable lead over the teams just outside the top eight. Ottawa however is already out of the playoff picture and planning for a lottery pick. But Canadian loves their hockey, they will play just for their national pride.

    Tampa Bay:
    TB are 1-7 in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
    TB are 2-7 in their last 9 overall.
    Under is 6-2 in TB last 8 road games.

    Ottawa:
    Under is 7-1 in OTT last 8 vs. Southeast.
    Under is 7-2-1 in OTT last 10 overall.
    OTT are 6-20 in their last 26 home games.

    Head to Head:
    TB are 5-22 in the last 27 meetings in Ottawa.
    TB are 13-38-2 in the last 53 meetings.

    Prediction: Tampa 1 OTT 3

    play total under 5.5
    Standing ATS (54-43) - NBA (34-26) NHL(20-17)
    result tam 2 ott 3
    ________________________________________ _________________
    Detroit at Nashville
    Detroit:
    DET are 8-2 in their last 10 games following a win.
    DET are 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
    Under is 7-3 in DET last 10 Sat. games.

    Nashville:
    Under is 21-8-3 in NAS last 32 vs. Central.
    Under is 30-14-11 in NAS last 55 overall.

    Prediction: Det 2 Nash 0

    play Detroit/under 5.5
    Standing ATS (54-45) - NBA (34-26) NHL(20-19)

    ________________________________________ _________________
    Colorado at Edmonton
    Col is 0-10 last 10 and 1-20 in their last 20. as bad as Edmonton is, they still can win this one with their eyes shut.

    Colorado:
    COL are 0-8 in their last 8 Sat. games.
    COL are 7-20 in their last 27 road games.
    COL are 15-36 in their last 51 overall.

    Edmonton:
    EDM are 6-21 in their last 27 Sat. games.
    Under is 9-3 in EDM last 12 vs. Western Conference.
    EDM are 35-86 in their last 121 overall.

    Colorado has the worst defence in the league allowing 3.5 goals per game.
    Colorado allows the most power play goals in the league with 0.9 per game.
    Colorado has the worst penalty killing in the league 76.6%.

    Prediction: Col 2 Ed 5

    play Edm/Over 5.5
    Standing ATS (54-46) - NBA (34-26) NHL(20-20)
    updated
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-19-11 at 11:44 PM.

  17. #122
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post

    Projection for 19 March 2011
    1. Cleveland at LA Clippers 94 106
    2. Denver at Miami 95 106
    3. Boston at New Orleans 92 87
    4. Indiana at Memphis 97 104
    5. Charlotte at San Antonio 92 108
    6. Philadelphia at Portland 93 99

    _______________________________________6/6 correct today with basic pick________
    update

  18. #123
    Avenger
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    This thread rocks. Keep it up!

  19. #124
    Avenger
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post

    Charlotte at San Antonio
    Charlotte is a team ready to toss the tower, against the Spurs at home that is almost certain. Parker and Manu will drive in the lane at will, while Jefferson and Bonner will drop a few 3's from downtown. Since the trade the Cate had loss its physical size and offensive rhythm, they will heavily depend of Capt Jack. They may still have a good show effort from Boris Diaw and Livingston.

    CHAR are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
    CHAR are 3-8-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

    Play Spurs -11.5 Standing ATS (54-46) - NBA (34-27) NHL(20-19)
    result spurs 109 char 98

    What the hell happened here? Here's the pitfalls of gambling... had no idea TD was going to be out entire game (he's resting, no injuries) ... which resulted in a lot of Spur's bench play... which resulted in mediocre-good defense and lots 3 point shooting. Blew the under straight out, grrr....

    I agree with you, intelligent choice was the Spurs, but the +12 was too tempting, as Spurs are not sadists and have allowed teams "mercy" 4Q points to catch up. Took the Bobcats, but made no $$ because of the 1H loss and the under loss. Good thing I parlayed the Bobcats with the Heat and minimized my losses from the under.

    In other words, it was a good loss, it was a good call, even though it lost.

  20. #125
    Avenger
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    What do you think of tomorrow's Pistons V. Hawks game?

  21. #126
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Avenger View Post
    What do you think of tomorrow's Pistons V. Hawks game?
    tx
    i am still working on it, will post the estimate shortly, regards

  22. #127
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Avenger View Post
    What the hell happened here? Here's the pitfalls of gambling... had no idea TD was going to be out entire game (he's resting, no injuries) ... which resulted in a lot of Spur's bench play... which resulted in mediocre-good defense and lots 3 point shooting. Blew the under straight out, grrr....

    I agree with you, intelligent choice was the Spurs, but the +12 was too tempting, as Spurs are not sadists and have allowed teams "mercy" 4Q points to catch up. Took the Bobcats, but made no $$ because of the 1H loss and the under loss. Good thing I parlayed the Bobcats with the Heat and minimized my losses from the under.

    In other words, it was a good loss, it was a good call, even though it lost.
    I know, what a way to screw my pick, but these thing happen. Good thing worked in my favor too, like Cav@Lac , the first 3 quarters was on-track to above 200.5 for sure but the 4th saved it. This is the thing, we can only put the numbers, go with instinct & things that we can control, but what happen during the game such as its dynamic & unknown factors we can't control it; it's like cards deal out in poker, you like your AA vs KK with all your chips in the middle, but you still can get beaten by the turn or on the river still.

  23. #128
    kobstopa
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    Standing ATS (54-47) - NBA (34-27) NHL(20-20)


    Projection for 20 March 2011:

    1. New Jersey at Washington 100 92
    2. Detroit at Atlanta 85 96
    3. New York at Milwaukee 103 100
    4. Phoenix at LA Clippers 106 102
    5. Sacramento at Minnesota 96 107
    6. Utah at Houston 96 110
    7. Toronto at Oklahoma City 93 110
    8. Golden State at Dallas 102 109
    9. Portland at LA Lakers 88 97
    ________________________________________ _______
    Points Awarded:

    TrafalgarLaw gave kobstopa 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Avenger gave kobstopa 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Demoneyes gave kobstopa 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Avenger, and Demoneyes

  24. #129
    TrafalgarLaw
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    Hi
    What do you think about:
    Atlanta -5
    Oklahoma -10.5
    Houston -5

    I like this pick and i want this. What do you say aboit this?
    Big thaks and goodluck today.

  25. #130
    Avenger
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    Good call, good luck.

    Definitely going for OKC under.

    Smaller bets on Hawks and Lakers, maybe Suns.

    Tempted to take the Knicks +1 but instinct tells me something is fishy...

  26. #131
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TrafalgarLaw View Post
    Hi
    What do you think about:
    Atlanta -5
    Oklahoma -10.5
    Houston -5

    I like this pick and i want this. What do you say aboit this?
    Big thaks and goodluck today.
    If you buy it, hell ya, I like it.

  27. #132
    TrafalgarLaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post

    If you buy it, hell ya, I like it.
    Thanks, i take this picks.

  28. #133
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Avenger View Post
    Good call, good luck.

    Definitely going for OKC under.

    Smaller bets on Hawks and Lakers, maybe Suns.

    Tempted to take the Knicks +1 but instinct tells me something is fishy...

    OKC under 210.5 is about right. Most of tomorrow's lines are not straight forward, they are tricky.

  29. #134
    GarbageMan
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    Quote Originally Posted by kobstopa View Post
    OKC under 210.5 is about right. Most of tomorrow's lines are not straight forward, they are tricky.
    Did you calculate the total including the Durantula? He's been upgraded to probable now....


    Oklahoma City Thunder

    Name
    POS Status Date Injury Returns

    Kevin Durant shoulder

    Kevin Durant left late with what is being called a bruised left shoulder, but hit 9-of-18 shots and two threes for 25 points, two rebounds, four assists and four steals in a win over the Bobcats.
    Probable for Sunday
    Mar 19

    F Sidelined Mar 18 shoulder Probable for Sunday

  30. #135
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by GarbageMan View Post
    Did you calculate the total including the Durantula? He's been upgraded to probable now....


    Oklahoma City Thunder

    Name
    POS Status Date Injury Returns

    Kevin Durant shoulder

    Kevin Durant left late with what is being called a bruised left shoulder, but hit 9-of-18 shots and two threes for 25 points, two rebounds, four assists and four steals in a win over the Bobcats.
    Probable for Sunday
    Mar 19

    F Sidelined Mar 18 shoulder Probable for Sunday
    tx man,
    the injured was against Bobcat last game.
    Durant is a factor, but the focus is defensive stop at this point. The core guys are still around, mainly role players like Sefolosha, and Collison. They will move James Harden to a 3. We'll see Westbrook fill in the offensive end before nicely, Harden will put 20 points. They are playing at home, we're still on track.

  31. #136
    kobstopa
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    Toronto at Oklahoma City

    Lottery bound raptors is at OKC less KD. With or without their top scorer, OKC had been preached the important of playing the D first, forcing turn over and convert into transition points to follow. Zone defense is about forcing opponents to take a hasty shots, out of their comfort spots, out of rhythm, turn these error into a low FG %. Ideally range .400 to .300 and so forth. But playing defense is easy said than done, cause it takes a mountain of efforts, focus and tape study. That's why Carmelo & his lazy ass try to shoot their way to victory. But hey, it's a not a bad thing for us capper, as long as it's a consistent pattern in some shape or form to predict, that's what we like.

    If we examine last 6 games below, we can see OKC had kept foe's to average 85 points per game. Add these two guys in the middle, Nazr and Perkins will certain to disrupt scoring in the post and stop a few layups, and don't worry about them doing the scoring.

    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    Toronto is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games on the road
    Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Toronto is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Toronto

    OKC's last 6 games
    Date vs Score Line ATS Mar OKC FG Opp FG Reb
    3/18/11 CHAR 99-82 (W) -11/193.5 ** 6.0 38/72 33/74 36-34
    3/16/11 @MIA 96-85 (W) 6/202.5 ** 17.0 35/88 30/78 51-40
    3/14/11 @WAS 116-89 (W) -8.5/208 ** 18.5 42/86 37/94 42-49
    3/13/11 @CLE 95-75 (W) -9.5/210 ** 10.5 38/84 27/80 44-54
    3/11/11 DET 104-94 (W) -9/209 ** 1.0 36/72 38/78 34-38
    3/9/11 @PHI 110-105 (W) (OT) 1.5/206.5 WO 6.5 46/92 39/93 53-46

    Tor last 6 games
    Date vs Score Line ATS Mar TOR FG Opp FG Reb
    3/18/11 WAS 116-107 (W) -8.5/205.5 WO 0.5 38/76 41/86 37-46
    3/16/11 @DET 93-107 (L) 4.5/207 LU -9.5 39/78 42/81 38-42
    3/13/11 CHAR 90-95 (L) -2/198 LU -7.0 33/79 35/68 39-33
    3/11/11 IND 108-98 (W) 1/211 ** 11.0 43/81 35/78 46-34
    3/9/11 UTA 94-96 (L) -1.5/207.5 LU -3.5 36/79 40/85 41-33
    3/5/11 @NJ 136-137 (L) (OT) 2.5/205.5 WO 1.5 47/111 48/105 54-62

    Play total score under 210.5 Standing ATS (57-47) - NBA (35-27) NHL(22-20)
    result: Tor 95 OKC 93
    ________________________________________
    Golden State at Dallas
    We know Golden state is not gonna win this game in Dallas, unless Dirk & Mark Cuban step on a mine. But jump to a quick start right off the bat is what the Warriors is good at when playing on the road game. Curry and Ellis like to take it to the lane as well for a 3 points play & establish some shooting rhythms at the stripe. 5 excellent shooters will look to take a few from downtown is something they will try, idea of establish good over all confident in the game by build a good lead in the half or else the rest of the game playing a catch up, which is not a good thing against a deep bench like Dallas.

    Golden State:
    Under is 10-4 in GS last 14 Sun. games.
    Under is 28-13-1 in GS last 42 road games.

    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Golden State's last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Golden State's last 19 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Golden State is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas

    Dallas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    Dallas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Dallas is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Golden State
    Dallas is 6-13-2 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

    Play GSW +5 by the half
    Standing ATS (57-48) - NBA (35-28) NHL(22-20)

    ________________________________________
    Sacramento at Minnesota
    Play Minn win by 4.5 Standing ATS (57-49) - NBA (35-29) NHL(22-20)

    ________________________________________
    Utah at Houston
    Play Houston -3.5 at the half Standing ATS (58-49) - NBA (36-29) NHL(22-20)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-20-11 at 08:37 PM.

  32. #137
    kobstopa
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    NHL

    Devils at Blue Jackets
    Last 10 NJ (7-3-0) Blue (2-4-4).

    New Jersey is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Jersey's last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games on the road
    New Jersey is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus

    Columbus is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

    New Jersey is the worst offensive team in the league averaging just 2.1 goals per game.
    New Jersey has the fewest power play chances in the league with just 3.0 per game.
    New Jersey is last in the league scoring power play goals with 0.5 per game.

    Prediction
    NJ 3 Jackets 2

    result: NJ 3 Jackets 0

    Play under total 5.5 Standing ATS (55-47) - NBA (34-27) NHL(21-20)
    Play NJ to win Standing ATS (56-47) - NBA (34-27) NHL(22-20)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-20-11 at 08:34 PM.

  33. #138
    TrafalgarLaw
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    After sustaining a bruised left shoulder on Friday night, Oklahoma City forward Kevin Durant took part in the team's practice on Saturday. According to The Oklahoman Durant has been cleared to play for Sunday's contest versus the Raptors. "He's fine," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "Just a little sore, but he's fine." Durant said he "ran into one of the Bobcats' players pretty hard" but could have returned to the game.
    (Updated 03/19/2011)

    He is ok.
    kobstopa, I dont hova a HOU -5 at half, can i take the HOU -5 in full game? Good news:
    Luis Scola (knee) received positive feedback from coach Rick Adelman and teammates following practice on Saturday and appears ready to return to the Rockets' lineup on Sunday.
    "He came out in practice and he was the old Scola," Courtney Lee said. Apparently Scola was so anxious to get back into the lineup that he had been forcing things when his body needed to rest and relax. He still remains a game time decision but all signs point to him playing.
    Source: Houston Chronicle Mar 20, 10:09 AM.

  34. #139
    kobstopa
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    Quote Originally Posted by TrafalgarLaw View Post
    After sustaining a bruised left shoulder on Friday night, Oklahoma City forward Kevin Durant took part in the team's practice on Saturday. According to The Oklahoman Durant has been cleared to play for Sunday's contest versus the Raptors. "He's fine," Thunder coach Scott Brooks said. "Just a little sore, but he's fine." Durant said he "ran into one of the Bobcats' players pretty hard" but could have returned to the game.
    (Updated 03/19/2011)

    He is ok.
    kobstopa, I dont hova a HOU -5 at half, can i take the HOU -5 in full game? Good news:
    Luis Scola (knee) received positive feedback from coach Rick Adelman and teammates following practice on Saturday and appears ready to return to the Rockets' lineup on Sunday.
    "He came out in practice and he was the old Scola," Courtney Lee said. Apparently Scola was so anxious to get back into the lineup that he had been forcing things when his body needed to rest and relax. He still remains a game time decision but all signs point to him playing.
    Source: Houston Chronicle Mar 20, 10:09 AM.
    Hi there,
    that's a good update for us. Hou -5 is just an estimate cover up to, as the line is not out, but yes I think rockets should cover up to -7.5 for the 4 quarters. But I wouldn't be comfortable for Hou -10 though.

    What I am looking for is, the Rockets should go off to a quick start in the first half to build a good lead, then adjust to a grind slow down in the 2nd to protect that lead.

    Scola is best come off the bench, I seen so many time before a guy returned from injured into a winning line up can mug up the dynamic of players try to adjust to him. They would take like 10 hours of play set drill and practice to get conditioning back. But will see it go.

  35. #140
    kobstopa
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    add

    New Jersey at Washington
    Play NJ to win
    Standing ATS (58-50) - NBA (36-30) NHL(22-20)

    Phoenix at LA Clippers
    Play sun +1.5
    Standing ATS (59-50) - NBA (37-30) NHL(22-20)
    Last edited by kobstopa; 03-20-11 at 08:39 PM.

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