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Old 05-12-2008, 06:28 PM   #1
Illusion
 
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Default NBA Playoff Best Bets: Tuesday May 13th, 2008

Share your best bets for Tuesday

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:13 PM   #2
Illusion
 
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Default

Monday 05/12/08 Results:

mundane: 1-0 +10.00
Wilforth: 4-0 +4.00
Illusion: 1-0 +2.00
MMAJOE: 1-1 +2.00
mr. leisure: 1-0 +1.00
seaborneq: 1-0 +1.00
MakeMoney: 1-0 +1.00
playa420: 1-0 +1.00
Tchocky: 1-1 -0.10
capitalist pig: 1-1 -0.10
MiamiBoy86: 1-1 -0.10
JBC77: 0-1 -1.00
Junkyard Dog: 0-1 -1.00
junkman773: 0-1 -1.10
Big_Cheese: 0-1 -2.20
Shumakov: 0-1 -2.20
onlòóker: 0-1 -3.00
ryanXL977: 0-1 -3.00
pimike: 0-1 -5.00
chipski: 0-1 -5.50
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:29 PM   #3
Tchocky
 
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Default

1. Pistons -6.5, 5 units
2. Spurs +145, 1 unit

No thoughts on either Total.
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Old 05-12-2008, 10:46 PM   #4
playa420
 
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New Orleans -3

NBA Playoffs: 14-6
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Old 05-12-2008, 11:22 PM   #5
Wilforth
 
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Default

1. Pistons -6.5
2. Magic/Pistons u185.5

Rationale for under
The last time these teams met at Detroit the game went over (193, 100-93). The over won't cash in two consecutive matches in Detroit. The reason for the over then was that Magic got 29 and 36 in 1Q and 3Q, respectively. Recall that in that match, Magic scored 11 and 17 in the 2Q and 4Q, which means that their 1Q score was more than the sum of their 2Q and 4Q scores. Pistons will play the D from the word go to avoid the kind of humiliation they got at home in the first of their series against the 76ers.
Don't expect a 29 or a 36 from Magic in any quarter if Pistons turn on the D - as we expect from them at this stage of the series. One more reason is that Pistons only had a 3 digit score in two consecutive home games thrice all season. These were against teams with worse defenses than Magic. After a rigorous analysis of their scoring patterns, here are my predictions:
1) Pistons are likely to score at least 7 points less than their last home score.
2) They will win by 10+.
Also recall that the first match of this series in Detroit ended 91-72 (163)
On the basis of the above likely possibilities, I'm predicting:

93-83 (or less)= 176

If we keep Piston's maximum score at 93 and the winning margin is 10+, then there's no reason why the under shouldn't cash.
I'm planning on parlaying the handicap win with the under. If you plan on doing same, don't panic. My record in parlaying a handicap and a o/u for the same match is impressive. I haven't got that wrong in the playoffs.
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Last edited by Wilforth; 05-13-2008 at 01:46 AM.. Reason: To correct a typo
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Old 05-12-2008, 11:25 PM   #6
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NBA:

Hornets -3 -105
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Old 05-13-2008, 01:40 AM   #7
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Pistons/Magic UNDER 186.5

Hornets/Spurs OVER 186.5

Hornets 1H -1.5

Hornets -3.5
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Old 05-13-2008, 04:23 AM   #8
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Post

Pistons -5
Orlando/Detroit U 187.5
Spurs +3,5
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NBA 2007-08 record: +31=1-23
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Old 05-13-2008, 10:14 AM   #9
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Default

5-13-08

YTD: 17-21 -5.2 units

517 1* Orlando +6.5
520 1* N.O. -3

Good Luck
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Old 05-13-2008, 11:10 AM   #10
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okay , so all the favs keep winning and i keep playing an underdog to get a game .
so as soon as i take the home fav the dog will be good right ?
12 - 1 home teams right now in the 2nd round i think .
1 away dog that was $ was pistons .
well yeah , guess what , of course i like the hornets tonight and they are the home fav . does this mean anything ? if the spurs are good then it would do damage to my brain , so what do i do ? **** it .

hornets -2 -140 7 units
magic +7 -120 7 units

if these mugs are no good then i dont know what to say .

home court being so strong in 2nd round is a joke . these teams cant play in another gym , they are some sorry ..... i dont know what . true teams split . these teams this year are some ____ . just take the home fav thus far and you have a great run , no wisdom or capping involved .
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Old 05-13-2008, 01:12 PM   #11
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Orlando +6
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Old 05-13-2008, 01:46 PM   #12
Illusion
 
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Default

Orlando +235
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Old 05-13-2008, 03:39 PM   #13
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pistons -6.5 *5 units
magic/pistons under 186.5 *5 units

Last edited by mundane; 05-13-2008 at 05:16 PM..
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Old 05-13-2008, 04:02 PM   #14
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Orlando +7.0

later
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Old 05-13-2008, 04:26 PM   #15
FadeThePublic
 
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spurs - hornets UNDER 187
*10 units

Hornets - 3
*5 units

magic - pistons OVER 186
*5 units
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Old 05-13-2008, 04:32 PM   #16
Illusion
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Illusion View Post
Orlando +235
Orlando +6.5 (3 units)
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Old 05-13-2008, 04:54 PM   #17
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orlando +7
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Old 05-13-2008, 05:15 PM   #18
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Detroit -6 (5*)
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Old 05-13-2008, 05:36 PM   #19
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Pistons/Magic Under 186
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Old 05-13-2008, 05:51 PM   #20
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Spurs (+5 @ -120) for 4 Units
Pistons (-6 @ -110) for 2 Units
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2009 MLB Picks as of 7.1.09: 128-110 Record [54%] (+25.96 Units)
2008-09 FINAL NBA Record: 161-145 Record [53%] (+47.09 Units)
2008 FINAL NFL Record: 96-81 Record [54%] (+54.89 Units)
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Old 05-13-2008, 05:57 PM   #21
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Default

Hornets - 3 ( 8 units )
Det under 185.5 ( 6units )
Det -7 ( 3 units )
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2008 NBA playoffs 17-13 NBA Playoffs + 29 units ytd
25-20 UFC/MMA picks ( starting 7/19/08) + 17.49 units
7-24 UFC/MMA parlays + $884.00 dollars
0-1 Boxing (starting 7/26 ) -6 units
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Old 05-13-2008, 06:02 PM   #22
xstud
 
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Default

.75 unit Magic +235
.75 under 183
.50 under 93 1st half

Let's cash! (at least the unders)
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Old 05-13-2008, 06:08 PM   #23
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det -6
no -3

BOTH UNDER 186.5
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Old 05-13-2008, 07:21 PM   #24
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SPURS +4.5 10 units
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Quote:
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I am guilty of all the above. Well I don't pay for cuddling. That guys a fvcking idiot. Great post. Pimike :grrr:
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Quote:
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Bread, I think that Mike has learned the fine art of ignoring. It's pretty impressive since few are capable of doing it.
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Old 05-13-2008, 08:04 PM   #25
xstud
 
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Cool

1 unit spurs/hornets OVER 93.5 1st half
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Old 05-13-2008, 08:42 PM   #26
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Spurs +6 (-130)
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Old 05-14-2008, 04:40 PM   #27
Illusion
 
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Tuesday 05/13/08 Results:

chipski: 2-0 +14.00
MMAJOE: 2-1 +10.70
FadeThePublic: 2-1 +9.50
junkman773: 2-0 +2.00
Illusion: 1-1 +2.00
SportsLockPicks: 3-1 +1.90
capitalist pig: 1-0 +1.00
mr. leisure: 1-0 +1.00
playa420: 1-0 +1.00
Junkyard Dog: 1-0 +1.00
BrUno0: 1-0 +1.00
Rosa: 1-0 +1.00
Wilforth: 1-1 -0.10
Shumakov: 1-1-1 -0.10
The_Kid: 2-2 -0.20
mundane: 1-1 -0.50
xstud: 2-2 -0.60
Tchocky: 0-2 -6.50
Big_Cheese: 0-2 -6.80
ChuteBoxe: 0-2 -7.00
pimike: 0-1 -11.00
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