I like Chicago +5 and Houston to win... - Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks

gridironguy · 05-05-2007, 05:04 PM

So I'm going with the Bulls +5 but not sure what to do about Houston. It's either -5.5 or a -265 ML. I'm still deciding on how to bet the Houston game...

Any ideas?

go pistons · 05-05-2007, 05:08 PM

If you are struggling between taking Houston on the ML then YOUR BET IS UTAH PLUS THE POINTS!!

gl

gridironguy · 05-05-2007, 05:11 PM

Pistons, I believe Houston will win. So if I take Utah plus the pts, there are only 5 scenarios that help me. Houston by 1,2,3,4, or 5.

Other than that I lose, because I really believe Houston will win, it's just a matter of how much they'll win by.

It's Houston -5.5 or Houston ML.

There is no other straight play imo. I could tease something, but that's not my style.

go pistons · 05-05-2007, 05:16 PM

However, your thinking the game is going to be close. My theory on that is to take the points. The odds are if it goes down to the wire you have a lot of room to work with. This is going to be a defensive game that goes down to the wire and I am taking the points. Utah has been right there in every game in Houston, I'd take the points, just my opionion like you asked for

Razz · 05-05-2007, 05:22 PM

Houston ML is a terrible play, IMO. The Rockets will either win convincingly or get beat.

babaoriley · 05-05-2007, 05:33 PM

Agree with Razz and pistons here. Don't play the Houston ML at -265. I understand that you don't like teasing, but teasing Houston down to -1 and Chicago to +9.5 wouldn't be a bad bet if you like those sides... At least you're getting both sides you like, with points, at waaaay better odds than -265.

gridironguy · 05-05-2007, 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by go pistons

However, your thinking the game is going to be close. My theory on that is to take the points. The odds are if it goes down to the wire you have a lot of room to work with. This is going to be a defensive game that goes down to the wire and I am taking the points. Utah has been right there in every game in Houston, I'd take the points, just my opionion like you asked for

You're right, Utah has been there in every game, but Game 7's have a funny way of avalanching in favor of the home team. in last season's playoffs, every Laker-Suns game was close, then in Game 7 the Suns smashed them.

Also in last year's playoff, every Cleveland-Detroit game was close, then in Game 7 Detroit smashed them at home. There is a pattern here.

If Utah is down by 3 or 4 late in the game, which I suspect will be the case, then Houston will likely pull away and win convincingly.

Thanks for the input guys. I've just answered my own question.
Houston -5.5 it is, I might even buy it to -5 just to be safe.

GL whichever side you all are on.