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Old 04-24-2007, 10:14 AM   #1 (permalink)
Willie Bee
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Default Raptors -5½ to even series with Nets

Raptors -5½ to even series with Nets

Game Time: 4/24/2007 7:00:00 PM -
By: John Ryan
http://www.sportspic.com


Look for the Raptors to bounce back from their Game 1 defeat and treat their fans in Toronto to a big win tonight over the New Jersey Nets to even up their playoff series.

AiS shows a 75% probability that Toronto will win this game by six or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 28-5 against the spread over the past five seasons. Play on any team after failing to cover the spread in five or more consecutive games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.

New Jersey is 7-18 against the spread versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds per game on the season over the last two seasons. Toronto is 21-7 against the spread versus good passing teams, averaging at least 23 assists per game over the last three seasons. New Jersey is not an aggressive type of defensive team getting less than seven steals a game on the season. Note that Toronto does well against this conservative style of defense posting a 24-13 against the spread versus teams who average seven or less steals per game in the second half of the last two seasons.

Toronto is 15-5 against the spread when playing six or fewer games in 14 days this season. Toronto wins big.

Play: Raptors -5½
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Old 04-24-2007, 10:18 AM   #2 (permalink)
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rollin' w/ the nets ML again tonight, gents
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Old 04-24-2007, 11:02 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I too am gonna roll with the Nets once again tonight tevari.
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Old 04-24-2007, 11:39 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Nets
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Old 04-24-2007, 12:14 PM   #5 (permalink)
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The Raptors are a great play. They needed to get that first playoff game out of their system, but they'll win this one by double digits.
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Old 04-24-2007, 12:22 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Agree with the Raps pick here. Bosh won't be getting two quick fouls tonite and missing almost all of the 1st half which was the Raps downfall on the weekend. Also after game one played the Raps to win the series at +182.
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Old 04-24-2007, 12:22 PM   #7 (permalink)
tevari
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Razz View Post
The Raptors are a great play. They needed to get that first playoff game out of their system, but they'll win this one by double digits.
I dunno Razz, when both Carter and Kidd shoot horribly from the field as they did in game 1, and the Nets still win...it's hard to lay points with TOR...
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Old 04-24-2007, 02:46 PM   #8 (permalink)
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With you and Razz on this one Willie Bee.
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Old 04-24-2007, 03:59 PM   #9 (permalink)
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I've got a funny feeling about the over in this one tonight.
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Old 04-24-2007, 04:07 PM   #10 (permalink)
Crayzee
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i would have to go with the nets here
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Old 04-24-2007, 04:14 PM   #11 (permalink)
buztah
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Default Took the points

Nets look better plus they get a 5 1/2 point head start so I had to take em.
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