03-13-07, 04:00 AM
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#1
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Basketball Parlay of the Day - Tuesday, 3/13/07
SBR will give the winner of the March Basketball Parlay of the Day Contest a sparkling new 19-inch LCD DVI Monitor! For those of you unfamiliar with the contest, here are the rules:
Post your 2 best basketball plays each day, NBA and CBB full-game Sides & Totals allowed only, no halves. Same game Side/Total parlays are ok. You have until five minutes before tip time of your first game to post the selections. Also note that all plays will now be graded against a uniform line! I will post the lines from Pinnacle at approximately 11 AM ET each day. Those of you wishing to make selections before then may do so without posting your lines, and they will be graded against my posted lines.
All parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00, and I will keep two sets of standings: the Official Standings will be based on parlay units won/lost, and the secondary standings will be on a game-by-game basis ranked by winning percentage.
The Catch: You must have SOME ANALYSIS for each play. Only needs to be one sentence, no big deal, although full paragraphs are ok too. Plays submitted with no analysis will NOT COUNT toward standings.
The player with the most units won after the games of March 31 will win the winner-take-all grand prize. Note that you must play at least 15 days (30 plays) during the month to qualify for the prize! In case of a tie in units, the tiebreaker will be the better winning percentage. If still tied, the contest will be extended with the tied players making one parlay selection per day at the start of April until the tie is broken. NO PASSES will be allowed during this extension period, and any of the tied players doing so will be eliminated regardless of the other player(s) results for that day.
Good Luck to All!
Quote:
Fine Print:
1 entry per household and IP address.
Must use lines posted in daily thread by LT Profits
Tie breakers:
Will be decided by win % of individual parlay legs. 2nd tiebreaker is based on additional daily parlays until one person breaks tie.
15 parlays must be made in the month.
All decisions made by SBR with regards to this contest are final.
SBR will pick a DVI LCD monitor that is features on this page when winner is decided.
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03-13-07, 04:01 AM
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#2
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Code:
STANDINGS
Name W L W/P Units
Pegasus 5 6 1 79
AC1318 3 1 0 68
woodyb97 3 3 2 66
Wassymac 4 5 1 63
rjt721 3 4 1 47
stump 3 4 1 47
tevari 3 4 1 47
Ganchrow HG 3 5 1 37
nevadaside 3 5 0 28
DoctorJ 2 3 0 22
babaoriley 3 7 0 8
bside 2 5 0 2
BigDaddy 1 3 0 -4
Hulu 1 3 0 -4
Willie Bee 1 3 0 -4
durito 2 7 1 -9
BuddyBear 0 1 0 -10
Dave11486 0 1 0 -10
DrSlam 0 1 0 -10
Filthyness 0 1 0 -10
framboise 0 1 0 -10
HDTIVO0309 0 1 0 -10
imgv94 0 1 0 -10
laclippers504 0 1 0 -10
phillyfan20 0 1 0 -10
remaxagnt 0 1 0 -10
rmcaj 0 1 0 -10
xxx 0 1 0 -10
marke4 0 2 1 -11
dirtyjock 1 4 0 -14
Peyton2Marvin 1 5 1 -15
JDK192 2 7 0 -18
4thegreenman 0 2 0 -20
cobra king 0 2 0 -20
DarkProdigy 0 2 0 -20
MickChunky 0 2 0 -20
milton50 0 2 0 -20
OWNED 0 2 0 -20
wtt0315 0 2 0 -20
goldengoat 1 5 0 -24
seaborneq 1 5 0 -24
Art Vandeleigh 2 8 0 -28
NEP Dynasty 0 3 0 -30
sabe 0 3 0 -30
ShamsWolf10 0 3 0 -30
Jay Edgar 1 6 0 -34
Razz 1 7 1 -35
EaglesPhan36 0 4 0 -40
Dark Horse 0 5 0 -50
jhippe77 0 5 0 -50
Ira Wilton 0 6 0 -60
LT Profits 0 12 0 -120
GAME-BY-GAME
Name W L P Pct
AC1318 6 2 0 75.0%
stump 11 4 1 73.3%
tevari 11 4 1 73.3%
woodyb97 10 4 2 71.4%
Ganchrow HG 11 6 1 64.7%
bside 9 5 0 64.3%
Pegasus 14 9 1 60.9%
DoctorJ 6 4 0 60.0%
seaborneq 7 5 0 58.3%
Wassymac 11 8 1 57.9%
rjt721 8 6 2 57.1%
nevadaside 9 7 0 56.3%
babaoriley 10 10 0 50.0%
durito 9 9 2 50.0%
JDK192 9 9 0 50.0%
dirtyjock 5 5 0 50.0%
BigDaddy 4 4 0 50.0%
Hulu 4 4 0 50.0%
Willie Bee 4 4 0 50.0%
ShamsWolf10 3 3 0 50.0%
DarkProdigy 2 2 0 50.0%
wtt0315 2 2 0 50.0%
BuddyBear 1 1 0 50.0%
Dave11486 1 1 0 50.0%
DrSlam 1 1 0 50.0%
Filthyness 1 1 0 50.0%
framboise 1 1 0 50.0%
HDTIVO0309 1 1 0 50.0%
imgv94 1 1 0 50.0%
laclippers504 1 1 0 50.0%
remaxagnt 1 1 0 50.0%
rmcaj 1 1 0 50.0%
xxx 1 1 0 50.0%
Peyton2Marvin 6 7 1 46.2%
Art Vandeleigh 9 11 0 45.0%
goldengoat 5 7 0 41.7%
Razz 7 10 1 41.2%
Dark Horse 4 6 0 40.0%
jhippe77 4 6 0 40.0%
marke4 2 3 1 40.0%
Jay Edgar 5 9 0 35.7%
NEP Dynasty 2 4 0 33.3%
sabe 2 4 0 33.3%
4thegreenman 1 2 1 33.3%
Ira Wilton 3 8 1 27.3%
LT Profits 6 18 0 25.0%
EaglesPhan36 2 6 0 25.0%
MickChunky 1 3 0 25.0%
milton50 1 3 0 25.0%
OWNED 1 3 0 25.0%
cobra king 0 4 0 0.0%
phillyfan20 0 2 0 0.0%
Last edited by LT Profits; 03-13-07 at 04:04 AM..
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03-13-07, 09:58 AM
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#3
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seattle SEA are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Tue. games
detroit@seattle under Under is 9-3 in SEA last 12 overall Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings
__________________
Handling the luck through adjustments in your play, is one of the great arts in gambling.
BOBBY BALDWIN
Luck! There is such a thing, and i know that there is, because it comes in two kinds. Good and bad.
NICK "THE GREEK" DANDALOS
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03-13-07, 10:41 AM
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#4
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SAC+7
SAC avg enough pts on rd & over last 5 games to cover with an extra 7.
UTAH/MIAMI Over191.5
Both teams avg high enough percentages to send this one Over. Also both teams on winning streaks & should be high in confidence & performance on both sides tonight.
Last edited by nevadaside; 03-13-07 at 02:07 PM..
Reason: entering actual contest lines
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03-13-07, 12:05 PM
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#5
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These are the Official Grading Lines for today, with the starting times in PACIFIC Time. Please disregard the juice attached to each Side & Total as ALL parlays will be graded as 10.00 to win 26.00.
Code:
Time Rot Teams Spread Total
Tue 3/13 751 Philadelphia 76ers **-1*-104* *OVER 184.5*-101*
*04:05 PM 752 Atlanta Hawks **+1*-106* *UNDER 184.5*-109*
*Tue 3/13 753 Sacramento Kings **+7*-104* *OVER 196*-108*
*04:05 PM 754 Cleveland Cavaliers **-7*-106* *UNDER 196*-102*
*Tue 3/13 755 Utah Jazz **-1.5*-111* *OVER 191.5*-104*
*04:35 PM 756 Miami Heat **+1.5*+101* *UNDER 191.5*-106*
*Tue 3/13 757 Los Angeles Clippers **+12.5*-105* *OVER 177*-109*
*05:05 PM 758 San Antonio Spurs **-12.5*-105* *UNDER 177*-101*
*Tue 3/13 759 Indiana Pacers **+5.5*+101* *OVER 189.5*-106*
*05:05 PM 760 Minnesota Timberwolves **-5.5*-111* *UNDER 189.5*-104*
*Tue 3/13 761 New Jersey Nets **+5*-106* *OVER 191*+100*
*05:05 PM 762 New Orleans Hornets **-5*-104* *UNDER 191*-110*
*Tue 3/13 763 Boston Celtics **+10*-109* *OVER 189.5*-104*
*05:35 PM 764 Chicago Bulls **-10*-101* *UNDER 189.5*-106*
*Tue 3/13 765 Portland Trail Blazers* **+7.5*-109* *OVER 202.5*-102*
*06:05 PM 766 Denver Nuggets **-7.5*-101* *UNDER 202.5*-108*
*Tue 3/13 767 Detroit Pistons **-3.5*-102* *OVER 190*-105*
*07:05 PM 768 Seattle Supersonics **+3.5*-108* *UNDER 190*-105*
Time Rot Teams Spread Total
Tue 3/13 769 Florida A & M **+8.5*+101* *OVER 150*-110*
*04:30 PM 770 Niagara **-8.5*-111* *UNDER 150*+100*
*Tue 3/13 771 Toledo **+11*-101* *OVER 138*-106*
*03:00 PM 772 Florida State **-11*-109* *UNDER 138*-104*
*Tue 3/13 773 Utah State **+7.5*-105* *OVER 126.5*-106*
*04:00 PM 774 Michigan **-7.5*-105* *UNDER 126.5*-104*
*Tue 3/13 775 Delaware State **+17*-108* *OVER 116.5*-105*
*04:00 PM 776 West Virginia **-17*-102* *UNDER 116.5*-105*
*Tue 3/13 777 NC State **+5.5*-101* *OVER 129*-110*
*05:00 PM 778 Drexel **-5.5*-109* *UNDER 129*+100*
*Tue 3/13 779 Miss Valley State **+23*-108* *OVER 131.5*-109*
*05:00 PM 780 Mississippi State **-23*-102* *UNDER 131.5*-101*
*Tue 3/13 781 Alabama **+6.5*-104* *OVER 144*-107*
*06:30 PM 782 Massachusetts **-6.5*-106* *UNDER 144*-103*
*Tue 3/13 783 Marist **+10*-105* *OVER 141.5*-111*
*07:00 PM 784 Oklahoma State **-10*-105* *UNDER 141.5*+101*
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03-13-07, 12:05 PM
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#6
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Delaware State +17
Delaware State is a fantastic defensive team and should hold WVU to around 55-60 here. We'll see what effort WVU brings after bubbling out, but we know Delaware State will relish this game.
UMASS -6.5
When Alabama was #3 in the nation earlier this year, I kind of doubt they thought they would end up here. Thousands of miles from home, they might get totally blown out by a UMASS team that has gone under the radar all season, and is better than several of the at-large teams in the big tournament.
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03-13-07, 01:00 PM
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#7
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Oklahoma St. -10
OSU finally got their act together but it was too late. They gave UT all they could handle in the Big XII Tourney, beat A&M, and made splash. Boggan and Curry will want to go out on a high note and this team could very well win the NIT.
Deleware St. +17
Completely agree with Razz here. While I don't expect WVU to lose this game, I expect Deleware St. to bring their A-game to WVU's C+. I love situations like this. Del St.'s biggest game of the season coupled with a "we don't even want to be here" WVU mindset. Plus, you have a total that suggests a 67-50 game. A lot of wiggle room for Deleware St.
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03-13-07, 01:30 PM
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#8
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SBR File Clerk
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Well, hell. I like the same plays as Baba, and with Razz also on Delaware St plus the bushel of points, that's gotta' be a solid play. But I don't want to pick the same plays as them, so I'll go with a couple of totals in the same games...
Delaware State/West Virginny Under 116½
Am banking on the combination of the Hornets' defense and WVU coming out a bit cold to keep this one under. A little worried about it being at WVU and the Mountaineers fueling off their fans to spoil this under. But I'm thinking 60-52 for the final.
Marist/OK State Under 141½
Actually wouldn't mind seeing Jared Jordan and Mario Boggan get into a shooting match, but I'm playing it on the under instead.
__________________
But you have to remember that a worm...with very few exceptions...is not a human being.
- - - Dr. Frederick Frankenstein
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03-13-07, 02:06 PM
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#9
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Heat +1.5 - Miami is certainly getting the job done at the moment. I was expecting an off game vs. Minn, but they stayed focused and slowly pulled away (despite being down 4-0 in the 1st quarter!!) against a team they could easily have been looking past, then against Wash they had an awful 3rd quarter, but came back strong to win a close one. They are taking the title Defending NBA Champs seriously at the moment.
Detroit -3.5 - Pistons have started this road trip with a vengance, double digit wins at Denver and Clippers following back to back home losses. Get the feeling they'll be playing with more focus now that Cleveland and Miami have started to rise.
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03-13-07, 02:09 PM
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#10
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Clippers/Spurs Over 177: Yes the Under is 13-3 in the last 16 San Antonio home games and 11-1 in the last 12 Clipper road contests, but that fact gives us value on the Over at this deflated total. After all, Spurs games are still averaging a combined 188.3 points in this building this season, while Clipper road games are averaging 189.5 points. Also while the recent success for San Antonio has been keyed by great defense, do not lose site of the fact that the offense is averaging 95.4 points in the last five games. That means that the Clippers would only need to exceed 82 points or so for this game to go Over, which certainly seems attainable.
Pistons/Sonics Under 190: After a recent stretch where the Pistons seemed very indifferent, especially on the defensive end, they have turned up the intensity on this Western trip, limiting the Nuggets and Clippers to 80 and 82 points in the last two games respectively. This brings the record for the Detroit Under to a lucrative 19-11 on the road this season. Somewhat surprisingly, the Under is also over .500 at 16-15 in all Seattle home games. The Pistons have done an outstanding job of controlling the tempo whenever these clubs have gotten together, as the Under is now 8-1 in the last nine head-to-head meetings, so expect the same here.
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03-13-07, 02:18 PM
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#11
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766 Denver Nuggets **-7.5*-101* - Portland is a different team on the road, Nuggets need to start push for playoffs
767 Detroit Pistons *OVER 190*-105*
Feel both teams shoot well tonight
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03-13-07, 02:20 PM
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#12
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Detroit -3.5 - Been playing hot of late taking out teams like the clip show and lakers. I'm gonna take a hot Piston squad not laying much to take the win tonight.
Minnesota -5.5 - Easy winner here, Pacers are horrid! and without there only stud athlete jermaine oneal, I see a pacer group getting up ended tonight badly on the road.
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03-13-07, 02:29 PM
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#13
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Play Massachusetts
My system says has them at -19.5 and the line is -6.5 so a huge diff makes for a good play
Play Det Pistons
Dont think Ray Allen will be able to shoot them out of this one look for Pistions to win by 8-10
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03-13-07, 02:39 PM
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#14
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Deleware St. +17
West Virginia very disappointed to miss the big dance, WV may win but 17 is way to many points.
Drexel -5.5
NC State is emotionally and physically drained. Drexel motivated to prove the NCAA committee wrong.
GTLA  |
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03-13-07, 03:11 PM
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#15
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sac +7
nets +5.5
nets play alright in NO, played very well last night and owe the hornets a game from last time out, I think nets can cover the +5 maybe get back to the early season style of play coming down to the last basket.
kings straight up own cleveland in cleveland at plus 7 I feel they are worth the play, question why should anything change now??, kings are all healthy and although cleveland is very good at home I am only looking for sac to lose by less than 7 but I think it could be a lot closer.
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03-13-07, 04:12 PM
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#16
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Steelers Over
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MIA +1.5
Don't ever tell the champs at home they're dogs.
SA -12.5
Two teams going in opposite directions.
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03-13-07, 04:18 PM
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#17
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Miami +1.5 +101
They have this guy Shaq who finally decided to start playing. Also champs at home getting points.
Minnesota -5.5 -111
Indiana is in a freefall. Minnesota plays well against the central.
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03-13-07, 04:58 PM
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#18
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Umass- Huge disparity in line value on this play
Niagara- better athletes, less travel
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03-13-07, 05:14 PM
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#19
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?
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Utah St. +7.5: Michigan has no motivation to play well here. This is their fourth trip to the NIT in the last five years. They are still not over blowing a six point lead at home against OSU, which likely cost them an NCAA bid. Their coach is on the hot seat, and the team just isn't very good. Meanwhile, Utah St. is an underrated team who nearly beat New Mexico St. in the WAC championship for an automatic bid to the NCAA tourney. The Aggies have two wins over Nevada this year, and will have the best player on the floor tonight in Jaycee Carrol. Even playing at home, the 7.5 points is just too much to lay for a Wolverine team that has difficulty scoring. Utah St. has a great shot at winning this one outright.
Blazers/Nuggets Over 202.5: Denver has put up 110+ points in three of their last seven games and allowed 100+ eleven of the last sixteen. Portland head coach Nate McMillan always has his team playing hard, and they have played decent ball of late. They should keep this game close throughout, while also scoring at a nice rate on the Nugget's poor defense.
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03-13-07, 05:15 PM
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#20
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escarbajo negro
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Boston Celtics +10: Chicago is very good at home, but Boston has been great ATS on the road this year and is a much better team with Pierce in the lineup. I'll take the points.
Michigan -7.5: Michigan has played well in the NIT the last few years and should get a blowout win tonight over a Utah St. team that should letdown after losing a close game in the WAC tournament final.
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03-13-07, 05:38 PM
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#21
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Niagara -8.5 Take the team from the better conference with more rest. 9 is a big number but this is a mismatch.
Miami +1.5 This team is beginning to come around so I can't pass up the points at home.
__________________
Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities -Voltaire
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03-13-07, 06:03 PM
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#22
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NC State +5.5
NC State is a scrappy bunch, they were supposed to be to tired to upset Virginia and Virginia Tech. Then they were supposed to not have a chance against UNC, but they competed the entire game. NC State comes out sharp tonight, while Drexel feels sorry for themselves.
Pacers/Twolves over 189.5
Minnesota is 22-9 against the over in home games and 20-8 against the over in games where theyre the favorite.
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03-13-07, 06:03 PM
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#23
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Philadelphia/Atlanta over 184.5 - No real reason for this line to be this low. Sure Johnson is out for Atlanta, but these are still reasonable teams who will play a reasonable game, and getting a lowish total.
Massachusetts -6.5 - UMass is a quality team, and Alabama is banged up. Hard to imagine Davidson and Steele, playing injured, giving it the extra effort on the road in the NIT. Much more likely they'll just pack it in and call it a season, UMass should win by double digits.
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03-13-07, 06:19 PM
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#24
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Maybe I can pick 1 of 2 right for once. Sheesh.
Drexel -5.5
Despite their disappointment over not making the Big Dance, I think the Dragons will be on a mission to prove to everyone that they got jobbed. I think fatigue finally catches up with a thin NC State team that played 4 days in a row in the ACC tourny.
Heat +1.5
Miami has won 6 straight in this series & appears to be peaking despite their own injuries. In a way, they mirror what the Jazz did earlier in the season without their own key players. Favorite is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two teams.
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03-13-07, 06:25 PM
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#25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AC1318
sac +7
nets +5.5
nets play alright in NO, played very well last night and owe the hornets a game from last time out, I think nets can cover the +5 maybe get back to the early season style of play coming down to the last basket.
kings straight up own cleveland in cleveland at plus 7 I feel they are worth the play, question why should anything change now??, kings are all healthy and although cleveland is very good at home I am only looking for sac to lose by less than 7 but I think it could be a lot closer.
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since lebron out and sac off the board
I would replace with jazz -2
jazz 5-0 in miami vs miami as a favorite |
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03-13-07, 06:30 PM
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#26
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San Antonio Spurs -12.5
LA Clippers: 4-20 ATS as an underdog
San Antonio: 27-13 ATS playing with 2 days rest
Chicago Bulls -10
Chicago: 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings
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03-13-07, 06:52 PM
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#27
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UMASS
Fading an awful Alabama team who can't play good even when they actually care.
DREXEL
NC State isn't that good, and Drexel has more to play for plus a good road record.
Last edited by dave11486; 03-13-07 at 06:58 PM..
Reason: Nevermind
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03-13-07, 07:00 PM
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#28
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Detroit Pistons -3.5: Feeling that the Pistons are playing great ball, their frontcourt will dominate Seattle's for an 8 or 9 point win.
Chicago Bulls -10: Won last week in Boston by 16, tonight they're at home and I expect a similar effort from them.
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