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Old 02-10-07, 12:38 AM   #1
Jay Edgar
 
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Default Jay Edgar NBA, Saturday 02.10.07

MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Friday, 6-3, +11.27u
(ORL, DEN, PHI, BOS, MEM, CLE, HOU, ATL, GS)
YTD 202-342, +76.61u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Friday, 6-2-1, +3.90u
YTD 296-240 (.552) +44.00u


POWER RATINGS OVER LAST TEN GAMES)
1 CLE 66
2 DET 65
3 DAL 64
4 UTH 59
5 TOR 58
6 MIN 57
7 SAN 57
8 MIA 56
9 SAC 54
10 NY 54
11 LAX 53
12 PHX 53
13 NOK 52
14 CHI 52
15 LAC 50
16 ORL 50
17 POR 47
18 MEM 46
19 GS 46
20 PHI 45
21 DEN 44
22 HOU 44
23 SEA 43
24 ATL 43
25 NJ 41
26 CHA 40
27 IND 39
28 WAS 39
29 MIL 38
30 BOS 29


EDGAR LINES FOR 02.10.07
(favorite-spread/moneyline-dog)

DET 5.8/202 over TOR

NJ 2.9/134 over ORL

NOK 5.9/208 over MEM

MIL 5.7/198 over DEN

HOU 5.8/203 over CHA

UTH 5.4/187 over NY

SEA 2.9/135 over SAC

STRIKE PRICES (5%-OFF MARKER)
(At this moneyline or better, team is a play both SU and ATS under 5%-ML-OFF method.)

TOR +246, DET -168

ORL +159, NJ -113

MEM +253, NOK -172

DEN +241, MIL -165

CHA +247, HOU -169

NY +227, UTH -156

SAC +160, SEA -114


20%-OFF MARKER
(This moneyline is now 20% away from Edgar ML. Results this far out have been subpar.)

TOR +601, DET +108

ORL +317, NJ +160

MEM +629, NOK +105

DEN +579, MIL +110

CHA +602, HOU +108

NY +525, UTH +116

SAC +320, SEA +159

Last edited by Jay Edgar; 02-10-07 at 04:57 AM..
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Old 02-10-07, 08:07 AM   #2
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Jay Edgar,

Just a quick question. I was looking at your detailed explanation and you say

"where the closing Pinny* moneyline gives you a significantly better price on a team than the Edgar Line says you should get"

I am curious....does it have to be the closing line or if the line meets your criteria at any point during the day will you place the bet?

Thanks for all the hard work!
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Old 02-10-07, 09:51 AM   #3
bside
 
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He tracks the system with the closing lines at Pinny but you would place a bet at the best price you can get. 5% off is the strike price but 8,9,10% off is even better
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Old 02-10-07, 10:00 AM   #4
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Thanks
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Old 02-10-07, 12:20 PM   #5
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Lets get'um good tonight Jay
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Old 02-11-07, 02:40 AM   #6
Jay Edgar
 
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GAP TEAM ATS ML
7 NY WIN -100
8 MIL LOSS -145
9 TOR WIN -100
9 ORL LOSS -100
10 MEM LOSS -100
17 CHA LOSS -100

============================
MONEYLINE PLAYS (betting 1u on dogs; betting to win 1u on favorites)
Saturday, 0-6, -6.45u
(TOR, ORL, MEM, MIL, CHA, NY)
YTD 201-347, +68.71u

SAME TEAMS ATS (1.05u to win 1.00u)
Saturday, 2-4, -2.20u
YTD 297-243 (.550) +41.85u

Last edited by Jay Edgar; 02-11-07 at 03:45 AM..
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Old 02-11-07, 04:28 AM   #7
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lol i played denver on accident lucky me
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Old 02-11-07, 09:44 AM   #8
bigboydan
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DrSlamm View Post
lol i played denver on accident lucky me
Doesn't matter how you get the win Dr.Slamm, all that matters is you got it.

The Bucks continue there downward spiral without Redd. Whats there record without him in the lineup something like 3-15 now?
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