04-18-09, 11:29 AM
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#1
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Jmathes +30 Unit Playoff Guarantee!
I don't make alot of guarantees like some people on SBR but I can stand by my word on this one. Since basketball is my specialty I will make atleast 30 units over the NBA playoffs. Jump on board early because this money making will only last about 2 months until the playoffs are over.
My picks will be on a unit scale which will range from 1-5 units. Alot of people don't like the unit system but with proper money management and good discipline you can make a great deal of money. Please tail with caution...GOOD LUCK!!!
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04-18-09, 11:31 AM
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#2
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Today's picks:
chicago +9 4 units
detroit & cleveland over 175 2.5 units
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit
- cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- denver nuggets +1
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit
- cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- orlando -2.5
3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120)
- cleveland ml
- orlando ml
- denver ml
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04-18-09, 11:38 AM
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#3
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im sure you will make it J.
GL  |
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04-18-09, 05:43 PM
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#4
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23-1
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I'm in for the fun. Of course I missed the Chi game since I did not read your post until after it started but cashed in on the Over with Clev. I'm hoping you know what your doing with all these 3 teamers. Seems like a lot of what if's. Either way I look forward to my 30 units.
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04-18-09, 05:56 PM
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#5
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Looking good so far
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04-18-09, 05:58 PM
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#6
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Good Luck
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04-19-09, 10:33 AM
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#7
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Results from 4/18
chicago +9 4 units WIN
detroit & cleveland over 175 2.5 units WIN
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit PENDING
- cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- denver nuggets +1
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit PENDING - cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- orlando -2.5
3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120) PENDING - cleveland ml
- orlando ml
- denver ml
TODAY'S PICKS
utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units
los angeles -11 2.5 units
atlanta -4.5 3.5 units
miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units
new orleans +6 2.5 units
philly & orlando under 192 2 units
philly +10 .5 unit
OVERALL RECORD
2-0 (+5.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
PENDING
Last edited by jmathes; 04-19-09 at 11:22 AM..
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04-19-09, 10:46 AM
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#8
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23-1
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Does it make sense to buy points to equal your lines? I'm getting almost a half point higher or lower than your posted lines at my book right now.
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04-19-09, 10:50 AM
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#9
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philly & orlando under 192 2 units
what your insight on this one?
Both teams can rack up points, yesterdays games were overs
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04-19-09, 11:02 AM
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#10
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it depends on the game and how i feel. the only 2 games i would consider buying pts would be with atlanta and new orleans covering their respective spreads. i jumped on these games 2 days ago before the lines jumped and feel very strong about them. i would post these plays as soon as i see them but the thread gets faded and its pointless to post them here. if you want me to email you the plays earlier send me an email and let me know your email address. here are the games and the run down on what i think you should do:
utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units this will go over 220 so no pt buying should be needed
los angeles -11 2.5 units the lakers will probably win this game by 15+ points. its the jazz on the road
atlanta -4.5 3.5 units this game is questionable. i believe that you will be ok but ill leave it up to you
miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units dont think buying pts is needed. my spreadsheet simulates this at 197
new orleans +6 2.5 units this game is questionable and could come down to the wire so maybe buy half pt
philly & orlando under 192 2 units this isnt a terribly strong play but simulated total is 185
philly +10 .5 unit this is strictly an action play. only betting .5 unit and don't think a half pt buy is needed
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04-19-09, 11:13 AM
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#11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rcracer
philly & orlando under 192 2 units
what your insight on this one?
Both teams can rack up points, yesterdays games were overs
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i am trying to stay away from doing write-ups for this thread because i am giving these picks away for free. i will say that pubic perception isn't everything. even though all four games went over yesterday that doesn't mean anything today. 90% of the betting public bet the under on the cleveland & detroit game yesterday and lost. if you did your homework and looked at trends it appeared the game was going to be very low scoring-WRONG. the sharps and myself were on the over yesterday in that game and won it big. the nice thing about it is that i balanced my bookie on that game and he payed me +110 for the bet. im not always right but 65% for nba plays means plus units. please know that my games are on a 1-5 scale meaning 5 is the strongest. with that being said 2 units isn't terribly strong but at the same time, its a decent play. you can't win them all but you can you can definitely win most of em. good luck buddy! |
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04-19-09, 11:19 AM
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#12
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Jmathes:
Nice writeup!
I agree with you on the Utah and ATL overs......scary thing is if Utah tries to slow the pace.
Otherwise great info!
__________________
stay thirsty, my friends.
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04-19-09, 11:52 AM
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#13
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I hope your right on the Lakers over....
I just loaded up OVER 210...
__________________
stay thirsty, my friends.
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04-20-09, 08:33 AM
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#14
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a little dancing with the bookie yesterday but still came out on top. tonight's games are small action plays but take advantage of the future plays because those are going to cash big time. i found these on 2-3 different books all with the same price give or take a penny. good luck.
Results from 4/19
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit WIN
- cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- denver nuggets +1
3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit LOSS - cleveland -4.5
- la lakers -4
- orlando -2.5
3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120) LOSS - cleveland ml
- orlando ml
- denver ml
utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units WIN
los angeles -11 2.5 units WIN
atlanta -4.5 3.5 units WIN
miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units LOSS
new orleans +6 2.5 units LOSS
philly & orlando under 192 2 units LOSS
philly +10 .5 unit WIN
TODAY'S PICKS
san antonio -3 1st half 2 units
san antonio -6 1 units
chicago +8.5 1.50 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
6-3 (+6 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-2 (-2 UNITS) |
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04-20-09, 11:40 AM
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#15
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23-1
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My book has the Den series at -430? I also get the Lakers at -105 to win it all. Still worth going after in your opinion?
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04-20-09, 06:21 PM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GGPLAYER
My book has the Den series at -430? I also get the Lakers at -105 to win it all. Still worth going after in your opinion?
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I wouldn't jump on either one because of the risk/reward factor. I think that there is a very good chance the Lakers will beat the Cavs in the finals and Denver will win their series but the line has already moved way too much. The Nuggets will definitely win their series but -430 is a terrible reward so I wouldn't bet it. I caught it late last night and couldn't pass this up . The series will probably be done in 5 games and 6 at most. Sorry you caught it so late. Good luck! |
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04-21-09, 08:10 AM
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#17
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Results from 4/20
san antonio -3 1st half 2 units WIN
san antonio -6 1 units WIN
chicago +8.5 1.50 units WIN
FUTURES: PENDING
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
TODAY'S PICKS
Houston +6 4 units
Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units
Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units
Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
8-3 (+10.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-2 (-2 UNITS)
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04-22-09, 07:58 AM
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#18
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Just to let everyone know I am going for the homerun today. If I hit the big games I will automatically gain atleast 12.5 units. If I miss one of the 2 bigger games I will be down slightly in units for the day but the reward here is too good to pass up. I locked in this parlay last night with my bookie and also found it on several sites (5dimes, betjamaica,wagerweb,etc..)
Results from 4/21
Houston +6 4 units WIN
Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units WIN
Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units LOSS
Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units WIN
FUTURES: PENDING
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units LOSS
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
TODAY'S PICKS
denver -5.5 4 units
atlanta -5 3.5 units
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
11-4 (+17 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-2 (-2 UNITS)
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04-22-09, 08:29 AM
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#19
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now why would you do that parlay with 2 same plays + a play with opposite bets  ?!?! ´just parlay denver -5.5 and atlanta -5.
got about the same plays though with denver and atlanta. and sixers should cover, too.
BOL
__________________
Record:
NBA Season61-39-1
NBA Playoffs10-6-1
updated 04/24/09
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04-22-09, 08:36 AM
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#20
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JJGOLD -200
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I like Denver but am staying away from the Magic and Hawks game.
__________________
"Within each of us lies the power of our consent to health and sickness, to riches and poverty, to freedom and to slavery. It is we who control these, and not another." - Richard Bach
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04-22-09, 08:39 AM
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#21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dennisback
now why would you do that parlay with 2 same plays + a play with opposite bets ?!?! ´just parlay denver -5.5 and atlanta -5.
got about the same plays though with denver and atlanta. and sixers should cover, too.
BOL |
because one unit pays out +600. denver and atlanta are very solid picks and if i win those first 2 games i can't lose the parlay. you will see my friend. |
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04-22-09, 09:07 AM
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#22
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yeah you could put 2 units on atlanta -5 and denver -5.5 that would pay about +250 and u get same amount of units won........
__________________
Record:
NBA Season61-39-1
NBA Playoffs10-6-1
updated 04/24/09
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04-22-09, 01:19 PM
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#23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmathes
because one unit pays out +600. denver and atlanta are very solid picks and if i win those first 2 games i can't lose the parlay. you will see my friend.
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If Denver and Atlanta are solid picks then you might as well do a 2 team parlay for 200 winning $520 instead of two 3 team parlay which in your case one will lose and winnning you only $500. This way you win $20 more and if either Denver or Atlanta loses then the results would've been the same regardless whether you played a 2 or 3 team parlay -200 dollars. |
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04-22-09, 01:31 PM
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#24
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yeah that was what i was writing... you are just paying more juice. you could donate that juice aswell^^
__________________
Record:
NBA Season61-39-1
NBA Playoffs10-6-1
updated 04/24/09
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04-22-09, 06:56 PM
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#25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmathes
Just to let everyone know I am going for the homerun today. If I hit the big games I will automatically gain atleast 12.5 units. If I miss one of the 2 bigger games I will be down slightly in units for the day but the reward here is too good to pass up. I locked in this parlay last night with my bookie and also found it on several sites (5dimes, betjamaica,wagerweb,etc..)
Results from 4/21
Houston +6 4 units WIN
Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units WIN
Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units LOSS
Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units WIN
FUTURES: PENDING
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units LOSS
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
TODAY'S PICKS
denver -5.5 4 units
atlanta -5 3.5 units
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
11-4 (+17 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-2 (-2 UNITS)
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adding a game last minute.
miami & atlanta under 184.5 3.5 units |
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04-23-09, 08:04 AM
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#26
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the lakers haven't had success in utah but i am taking them 1st half because i think that they will be up to the challenge. good luck!
Results from 4/22
denver -5.5 4 units WIN
atlanta -5 3.5 units LOSS
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quart+600 1 unit LOSS
3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quart +600 1 unit LOSS
miami & atlanta under 184.5 3.5 units LOSS
TODAY'S PICKS
chicago -1.5 1st half 4.5 units
chicago -2.5 game 3 units
dallas -4 2.5 units
la lakers -.5 1st half 2 units
please note i am adding 2.5 units on houston winning the series. the line went down to -160 and i see great value here. this means i now have a total of 6.5 units invested in houston.
odds to win series
houston -160 2.5 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
12-6 (+12 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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04-23-09, 09:04 PM
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#27
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23-1
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 Bulls |
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04-24-09, 07:27 AM
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#28
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will be out of town until sunday
my next bet will be:
houston -2.5 1 st half 4 units
houston -5 5 units
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04-27-09, 06:04 PM
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#29
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Results from 4/23 & 4/24
chicago -1.5 1st half 4.5 units LOSS
chicago -2.5 game 3 units LOSS
dallas -4 2.5 units WIN
la lakers -.5 1st half 2 units LOSS
houston -2.5 1 st half 4 units WIN
houston -5 5 units LOSS
TODAY'S PICKS
miami -4.5 4 units
denver +2.5 1 unit
lakers -6 1st half 2.5 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
14-10 (+4 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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04-27-09, 06:56 PM
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#30
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hey man which sportbook is giving you even money lines ?
i see your record is
14-10 (+4 UNITS)
__________________
*** 08/09 NBA PLAYOFFS ***
RECORD: 15-16
UNITS: -5.35
"fade me to win money"
- the bettor himself
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04-28-09, 07:16 PM
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#31
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Results from 4/27
miami -4.5 4 units LOSS
denver +2.5 1 unit WIN
lakers -6 1st half 2.5 units WIN
TODAY'S PICKS
san antonio -2.5 1st half 3 units
portland -5.5 3.5 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
16-11 (+3.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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04-29-09, 07:04 PM
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#32
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Results from 4/28
san antonio -2.5 1st half 3 units LOSS
portland -5.5 3.5 units WIN
TODAY'S PICKS
miami & atlanta under 180 3.5 units
denver -10 4 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
17-12 (+4 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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04-30-09, 07:22 AM
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#33
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picked up 3 units on my future bet with denver winning their series last night and looking to scoop up more today with houston. if houston and philly can cover tonight i will be raking in 11 units on the day and will be sitting pretty once again. good luck!
Results from 4/29
miami & atlanta under 180 3.5 units LOSS
denver -10 4 units WIN
denver -215 to win series 3 units WIN
TODAY'S PICKS
philly -4 2.5 units
houston -2.5 1st half 2 units
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
19-13 (+7.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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05-01-09, 06:52 PM
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#34
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Results from 4/30
philly -4 2.5 units LOSS
houston -2.5 1st half 2 units WIN
future bets to win series:
houston -195 4 units WIN
houston -160 2.5 units WIN
TODAY'S PICKS
atlanta & miami over 182 1 unit
FUTURES:
odds to win series
houston -195 4 units
houston -160 2.5 units
denver -215 3 units
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
22-14 (+13.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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05-02-09, 08:19 AM
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#35
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Results from 5/1
atlanta & miami over 182 1 unit LOSS
TODAY'S PICKS
chicago & boston under 197 2.5 unit
FUTURES:
lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units
OVERALL RECORD
22-15 (+12.5 UNITS)
TEASER/PARLAY RECORD
1-4
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