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Old 12-11-08, 02:46 AM   #1
mundane
 
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Exclamation "70% math play" system tracking

ok.. im gonna (try to) keep track of this "70% math plays". i dont think we missed anything so 0-0 right now. if we did, please let me know here so we can truly track this thing.

here are the 'rules' again:
The final number must be 10 or greater for a PLAY!
If the number is less than or equal to -1, then you play the other team ATS.
If the spread is 10 or greater , DO NOT PLAY!
Don't play if selected team played the night before. (No back to back games)
Don't play if one or more starters are OUT. Allow one week for return starters.
Don't play 1st 20 games of the season or 1st 3 games after all star break.

for reference:
NBA Math excel sheet (beta)
NBA Math
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Old 12-11-08, 02:47 AM   #2
mundane
 
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12/11 we have a play!



i think this one applies. no injuries on celtics. it's not b2b.


ytd: 0-0
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Old 12-11-08, 02:50 AM   #3
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celtics is the play ATS, right? Or is it the ML?
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Old 12-11-08, 02:59 AM   #4
mundane
 
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i believe this system is ATS betting since it takes into account the spread. no mention of ML whatsoever. but if u like (small) ML play, i dont see why not.

this is not my system btw. this has been brought up here saying it's a 70% winning system. i figured i make an excel sheet for it and created this thread to keep track of the PLAYS. time will tell!
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Old 12-11-08, 03:46 AM   #5
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how about por@utah? no play coz of the injuries? thanks
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Old 12-11-08, 04:55 AM   #6
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Yeah, I read the NBA MATH post...but I didn't see where it said definitively either way, concerning ATS/ML.

Theres no value in the Celtics ML, so I wouldn't bet that way anyway, just curious about the system.
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Old 12-11-08, 03:35 PM   #7
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Spread just moved to 10 so is it a no play then.
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Old 12-11-08, 03:50 PM   #8
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But the spread moved so if you buy it back to 9.5 it's still good? Is this based on opening lines?
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Old 12-11-08, 04:32 PM   #9
mundane
 
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idk.

please stop asking me! i dont have an all absolute answer for any inquiries about this 'system'. like i mentioned, im juzz gonna (try to) keep track of whatever game/s i see fit for this 'system'. that's all!

bet at ur own disgretion! as im not gonna take shit if this system doesnt pan out for anyone!
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Old 12-11-08, 05:54 PM   #10
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Oh ok, I thought it was yours, I was going to track it as well, hence the questions.
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Old 12-11-08, 06:13 PM   #11
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well iguess i hope its rong, i went on wash +10
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Old 12-11-08, 06:44 PM   #12
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I know it didn't say any specific rules as to opening lines or closing but i dont think this should really be a play seeing at the spread is 10 now, but i guess it doesn't matter cause its about the long term and i doubt anybodies tailing the system right now anyways
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Old 12-11-08, 07:26 PM   #13
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Yea, I thought mine was a pretty simple question. Don't worry, I'm not blindly betting on your system bud.
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Old 12-11-08, 08:04 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bostonbruins View Post
Yea, I thought mine was a pretty simple question. Don't worry, I'm not blindly betting on your system bud.
again not my system!
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Old 12-11-08, 08:06 PM   #15
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edit: let me just reiterate this, THIS IS NOT MY SYSTEM! im merely tracking how this system goes.

Last edited by mundane; 12-12-08 at 09:35 AM..
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Old 12-11-08, 08:55 PM   #16
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Why give up on this? It is one day of testing. See how everything works
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Old 12-11-08, 08:57 PM   #17
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boston up by only 14 now. might be close. i wish your system told me to take the 1st half.
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Old 12-11-08, 09:52 PM   #18
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good start.
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Old 12-11-08, 11:55 PM   #19
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tomorrow

SAS@MIN (619-190)/20=21.45-3(away)-7(spread)=11.45(final number) PICK SAS

LAC@POR (652-190)/20=23.1+3(home)-9.5(spread)=16.6(final number) PICK POR(back to back)

GL

Last edited by Mr.Bushido; 12-12-08 at 09:32 AM..
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Old 12-12-08, 08:30 AM   #20
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I tailed the Boston play. It worked well. I guess you have to catch it when the line first opens up. That would be my guess. it wouldn't make sense to use a line that moved pass ten.
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Old 12-12-08, 09:37 AM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MexicanStallion View Post
Why give up on this? It is one day of testing. See how everything works
idk. some things ^^^ bug me...
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Old 12-12-08, 10:06 AM   #22
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let me just reiterate this, THIS IS NOT MY SYSTEM! im merely tracking how this system goes.

PLAY ON SPURS -7 (UP TO -8)



POSSIBLE PLAY: MAGIC +3 OR HIGHER

IF CAVS LINE WENT DOWN TO -9.5, IT WOULD HAVE BEEN A PLAY BUT 1 STARTER IS MISSING (ILGAUSKAS). SO A NO PLAY!








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Old 12-12-08, 10:35 AM   #23
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good job mundane.......the spread on magic is -1......so should we play this or is it now a no play?
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Old 12-12-08, 10:46 AM   #24
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system says no play. so that doesn't count. only play today is spurs -7 (-8) accrdng to this system.

personally, id play magic on this spot. intact road warriors magic vs eclipsing suns? easy pick! hopefully these undermanned suns dont play out of their minds again (ie lakers game).
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Old 12-12-08, 02:19 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mundane View Post
system says no play. so that doesn't count. only play today is spurs -7 (-8) accrdng to this system.

personally, id play magic on this spot. intact road warriors magic vs eclipsing suns? easy pick! hopefully these undermanned suns dont play out of their minds again (ie lakers game).

You can play orlando in additional point spread. It pays a bit less.
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Old 12-12-08, 10:19 PM   #26
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yahoo! spur won the system is 2-0. nice work.
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Old 12-13-08, 04:54 AM   #27
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12/13



no lines yet but possible play on the @nuggs vs gsw. im not sure how to quantify kenyon martin though. we dont know who came up with this system so we cant really direct any question or inquiry about this but i believe if this system need a strict adherance to the 'rules', this is a no play. how sadd!

maybe i'll put an asterisk on my tracking if this so happen to be a play (<9.5 spread).

all other games are back to backs. equate to no play.

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Old 12-13-08, 06:00 AM   #28
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nice call on the spurs. no call yet for the day?

you do the math, har har, and wont get any comment from me
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Old 12-13-08, 06:59 AM   #29
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nice work. can u make available the excel file. thanks
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Old 12-13-08, 09:03 AM   #30
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can you post the plays that the system thinks should win/cover for the day?
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Old 12-13-08, 09:19 AM   #31
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.

Last edited by mundane; 12-14-08 at 03:38 PM..
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Old 12-13-08, 09:20 AM   #32
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.dead link

Last edited by mundane; 12-14-08 at 03:38 PM..
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Old 12-13-08, 10:53 AM   #33
losturmarbles
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File upload seems to be abandoned by sender :/
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Old 12-13-08, 11:05 AM   #34
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can't download the file?
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Old 12-13-08, 03:06 PM   #35
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me either???
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