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Old 04-04-08, 11:48 AM   #1
LT Profits
 
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Default Am I the Only Person Bewildered by the Spurs/Jazz Total?

I bet the Under at 197.5, but I wonder if I am missing something.

The last 21 (count'em) head-to-head meetings in Utah have not surpassed 192 points, and in the only meeting here this season, they scored 188.
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Old 04-04-08, 11:53 AM   #2
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strong numbers their but that seem trendyish i wouldnt touch it with a 10.5ft pole
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Old 04-04-08, 11:54 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
I bet the Under at 197.5, but I wonder if I am missing something.

The last 21 (count'em) head-to-head meetings in Utah have not surpassed 192 points, and in the only meeting here this season, they scored 188.
Trap. Vegas knows you will see the stats. Pass or play the over on the total.

This is a True Lion Sports free tip.
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Old 04-04-08, 11:55 AM   #4
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The under looked solid to me...they did actually score 202 on Dec 7th. I think that the line is inflated due to both teams recent scoring outputs but Utah hasn't played a defensive team in the last 6 where they are putting up all these points and the Spurs have not allowed 100 pts in 9 straight games. Very hard to resist this high of a total in a Spurs game.
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Old 04-04-08, 12:07 PM   #5
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over is the best play here
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Old 04-04-08, 12:08 PM   #6
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def edge on under I MEANT UNDER JEEZE. but anything can happen. totals can be unpredictable sometimes.

Last edited by pat venditto; 04-04-08 at 12:11 PM.
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Old 04-04-08, 12:08 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AgainstAllOdds View Post
over is the best play here
Think I am going to pull the trigger on the under myself. At least one of us will win.
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Old 04-04-08, 12:12 PM   #8
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dio you know I think of you as a decent NBA handicapper but the under is a total square bet here...
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Old 04-04-08, 12:20 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AgainstAllOdds View Post
dio you know I think of you as a decent NBA handicapper but the under is a total square bet here...
Might be but given the Spurs locking down on defense and slowing up the game I still like the under.
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Old 04-04-08, 12:43 PM   #10
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I like the Over.
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Old 04-04-08, 12:56 PM   #11
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diogee,

I said the last 21 meetings in Utah haven't passed 192. That 202 game was in San Antonio. The Spurs have been a great Under team on the road this year (as usual), at 23-14, 62.2 percent for the Under with the games averaging 187.2 points, and good defense stops good offense.
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Old 04-04-08, 01:00 PM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
diogee,

I said the last 21 meetings in Utah haven't passed 192. That 202 game was in San Antonio. The Spurs have been a great Under team on the road this year (as usual), at 23-14, 62.2 percent for the Under with the games averaging 187.2 points, and good defense stops good offense.
Let that one slip by me...my bad LT.
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Old 04-04-08, 01:17 PM   #13
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Slight lean to the under, but it's not strong enough for a play. I'm looking at a 99-93 type of game.
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Old 04-04-08, 02:23 PM   #14
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I actually like the OVER also. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 between the two teams. Both teams have red hot offenses in their last 5. Utah totals have only gone under tonight's 197 once in the last 10 games. Jazz have given up 100+ in 5 of 6. Those are my reasons for liking the over.
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Old 04-04-08, 03:24 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
I actually like the OVER also. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 between the two teams. Both teams have red hot offenses in their last 5. Utah totals have only gone under tonight's 197 once in the last 10 games. Jazz have given up 100+ in 5 of 6. Those are my reasons for liking the over.
totally agree, took the over at 197
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Old 04-04-08, 04:06 PM   #16
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I think the best play here is just stay away because even though I do think the under is going to happen I don't see a significant enough edge.
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Old 04-04-08, 04:16 PM   #17
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I project a total of 196.66 pts in this game.
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Old 04-04-08, 04:42 PM   #18
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It's an interesting capping situation, but I don't see the line as too off at all. In many situations these two teams of course can get locked into defensive battles, but I really don't see this as one of those situations.

The Spurs have often had high scoring games when the games weren't quite crucial, and although of course they want to play well against a strong team, this isn't really a vital game for them. I do think Utah will be able to play faster than if the Spurs wanted to slow them down.

I'm not betting this game in any way, but I think the under is a deceptive proposition in many ways. GL to anyone who touches this total, I wouldn't want to be in your shoes though.
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Old 04-04-08, 05:11 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
I bet the Under at 197.5, but I wonder if I am missing something.

The last 21 (count'em) head-to-head meetings in Utah have not surpassed 192 points, and in the only meeting here this season, they scored 188.
I'm leaning under as well LT, but in that game earlier in the year that went 188 pts, Tony Parker only scored 5 pts. I have to believe he's going to score more than 5 tonight so either way the 197.5 total is going to be close on either side tonight. GL.
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Old 04-04-08, 05:12 PM   #20
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I like the under a whole lot more if the Jazz play the Spurs' game and use the clock and run a lot of set plays.
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Old 04-04-08, 09:10 PM   #21
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LT great call so far. We all missed this one. Nice.
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Old 04-04-08, 09:13 PM   #22
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We are in pretty decent shape here.
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Old 04-04-08, 09:25 PM   #23
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yep looking good
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145pts

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Old 04-04-08, 09:31 PM   #24
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looks like LT fooled us all in the beseachuel wisdom
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Old 04-04-08, 09:41 PM   #25
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This under is a

too bad I had it with MIA/WSH Under...
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Old 04-05-08, 01:00 AM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AgainstAllOdds View Post
dio you know I think of you as a decent NBA handicapper but the under is a total square bet here...
Funny I keep cashin the square bets...this and GS under 233....Both easy wins...does that make me a square ????? Phuck it Im a rich square tonite bitches....HaHaHaHaHa.......

Im not one to start probs but AgainstAllOdds, Dio is a seasoned handicapper (if only being at NBA for 1 year, he helps run the show in other sports)...I love how you come in here and call square plays but never show your own record...When I start taking advice from an 18 year old kid you can shoot me in the fukin face.....Make a fukin thread bud and prove any knowledge you have....Nothin against you personally but....serious...we got two good threads goin...you come in with your "square bet" shit and get me all fukin worried about stuff I know is good....Lucky I dont listen to you bro....chill the fuk out .....How much did you have on this game????.....I had a lot......Chill the fuk out

Last edited by awhitejackson; 04-05-08 at 01:18 AM.
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Old 04-05-08, 01:02 AM   #27
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I still don't see how it was a square bet...a square would take the over with the Jazz's recent scoring but the Spurs defensive stats made it an easier call for the under. Congrats anyone else who cashed this one.
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Old 04-05-08, 01:28 AM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by diogee View Post
I still don't see how it was a square bet...a square would take the over with the Jazz's recent scoring but the Spurs defensive stats made it an easier call for the under. Congrats anyone else who cashed this one.
Sorry bro... Im just an angry guy lately......I hate when people question good calls with no basis and make me 2nd guess my shit ..... UNC and Memphis Big tommorow!!!!! Im really not a bad guy, Ive just been out all nite and instead of having fun I was worrying about my "square" plays (i won both)....Iwin youmoney is a solid guy.....

UNC 5 units tommorow............
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Old 04-05-08, 01:39 AM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by awhitejackson View Post
Sorry bro... Im just an angry guy lately......I hate when people question good calls with no basis and make me 2nd guess my shit ..... UNC and Memphis Big tommorow!!!!! Im really not a bad guy, Ive just been out all nite and instead of having fun I was worrying about my "square" plays (i won both)....Iwin youmoney is a solid guy.....

UNC 5 units tommorow............
I definitely know that you are one of the good guys for sure although I wouldn't call myself a seasoned NBA handicapper since I have only been at it for a little more than 2 months but thanks for the compliment. Iwinyourmoney is definitely very solid as well...he is one that I don't like being on the opposite side of even though whenever it does happen we seem to catch the middle between our numbers quite a bit. I don't go about any of my plays looking at them as square bets. If everything you have researched and capped for the game shows an edge then I think that nullifies it being a square bet. Hope you enjoyed your night bud.

Last edited by diogee; 04-05-08 at 01:49 AM.
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