[sweetjones55]

I was taking a look at my Heat's schedule and trying to figure out which games we will lose. I spotted one game that I already have circled on my calendar that I think will be very tough to pull off.

Heat @ Rockets 12-29-2010

I think the Heat will be asleep for this game. We will be on a seven game perpetual road trip and this is the last game. We play @NY, @WAS, DAL, @PHO, @LAL on Christmas, then @NY, and then finally on b2b against Houston the next night. I think the Heat will definitely be looking forward to the Christmas matchup obviously and of course LeBron/Wade will look forward to playing at MSG in the next game as they always do. They will not be thinking about Houston and you know Houston will definitely have Miami on their mind. Houston has a home game on the 27th vs Washington which shouldn't be a tough game for them. They don't have to travel so they will get a good practice in for the Heat on the 28th. Look to fade Miami here SU and ATS.

There were a couple of other games I thought would be dangerous and a bunch of very tough stretches that it would be hard to see the Heat winning every game.


@ Boston 10-26-10 1st game of the season

@ Dallas 11-27-10 (on b2b and 5th game in 7 days)

@ LAL 12-25-10

very tough stretch here, we won't win all of these
1-7 @MIL
1-9 @POR
1-12 @LAC
1-13 @DEN (toughest game IMO)
1-15 @CHI (very tough game if they pull of the win against DEN and win the 3 prior games)

1-30 @ OKC (place will be going crazy, they have the talent)

2-3 @ ORL
2-4 @ CHA

2-13 @ BOS

Then you got the two last road games of the season that the Heat might blow just because they have home court through the playoffs already.

4-11 @ATL
4-13 @TOR

What do you guys think? I personally don't think the Heat will lose more than one home game.

[sweetjones55]

No way there winning 70 games and there losing more then 1 home game. I'd say around 5-6

I will take that prop bet for you if you like. I'll take Under Heat losses at home of 5. Remember that LeBron on that weak Cavs team bascially went a whole season not losing a home game, this Heat team is way better and we have already sold out every single game. The home court advantage will probably be even better in MIami than it was in Cleveland.

[sweetjones55]

So you are thinking they win at least 70 games it seems

69 wins IMO

[WiseGrumpy]

WOW SJ that is SICK. When I read the title I wanted to point out this EXACT game. Not because I'm a Rockets fan but for all the same reasons. Happy we think the same ...
I think the Heat won't win more than 70 games, but I do think they win it all.

[Goat Milk]

@ Houston- Potential loss. Houston is one of the only teams that has the personel to match up with this heat team.

@ Boston 10-26-10 1st game of the season. The heat will SWEEP the season series with the celtics.

@ Dallas 11-27-10 (on b2b and 5th game in 7 days). Possible loss.

@ LAL 12-25-10 Possible loss.

very tough stretch here, we won't win all of these
1-7 @MIL WIN
1-9 @POR Possible Loss
1-12 @LAC WIN
1-13 @DEN (toughest game IMO) WIN
1-15 @CHI (very tough game if they pull of the win against DEN and win the 3 prior games) EASY WIN. The Bulls will be swept by the Heat this year.

1-30 @ OKC (place will be going crazy, they have the talent) EASY WIN. Terrible matchups for OKC all around

2-3 @ ORL Possible Loss
2-4 @ CHA WIN

2-13 @ BOS WIN

Then you got the two last road games of the season that the Heat might blow just because they have home court through the playoffs already.

4-11 @ATL EASY WIN
4-13 @TOR EASY WIN

[hels]

It's impossible to predict anything preseason cuz it only takes a freak injury or a couple trades and the balance shifts majorly.

[diamond]

would be cool to see Heat fail But the lineup is just wild.

[sweetjones55]

@ Houston- Potential loss. Houston is one of the only teams that has the personel to match up with this heat team.

@ Boston 10-26-10 1st game of the season. The heat will SWEEP the season series with the celtics.

@ Dallas 11-27-10 (on b2b and 5th game in 7 days). Possible loss.

@ LAL 12-25-10 Possible loss.

very tough stretch here, we won't win all of these
1-7 @MIL WIN
1-9 @POR Possible Loss
1-12 @LAC WIN
1-13 @DEN (toughest game IMO) WIN
1-15 @CHI (very tough game if they pull of the win against DEN and win the 3 prior games) EASY WIN. The Bulls will be swept by the Heat this year.

1-30 @ OKC (place will be going crazy, they have the talent) EASY WIN. Terrible matchups for OKC all around

2-3 @ ORL Possible Loss
2-4 @ CHA WIN

2-13 @ BOS WIN

Then you got the two last road games of the season that the Heat might blow just because they have home court through the playoffs already.

4-11 @ATL EASY WIN
4-13 @TOR EASY WIN

I agree with a lot of the win's and losses you posted except maybe three games. I really don't think that @ Chicago on the last game of a 6 game road trip will be an easy win. We may matchup with them well but there will be some definite fatigue in that game. The other two games I disagree is the last two games of the season. Winning in Atlanta is never very easy and even less so if the starters aren't playing. If the heat rest all of the starters @ Toronto then I think it's maybe like 60/40 chance of us winning.

[head_strong]

chance to lose all of them, not as good as everyone thinks...

[THEGREAT30]

you would be better off to wait and see what the rest of the off-season holds

[sweetjones55]

you would be better off to wait and see what the rest of the off-season holds

I don't really think there will be too many major moves. I think the last big trade was the Ariza one for this offseason.

[sweetjones55]

Wrong thread...

[sweetjones55]

Wrong thread...

[pyro]

Gotta wait to see how the season starts to see how all the new lineups are playing. Too early to go through the schedule and predict wins / losses.

[sideline36]

These fools dont have the bench to win 70 games. Simple math here fellas!

[Mexes]

they will lose @Utah!

[sweetjones55]

These fools dont have the bench to win 70 games. Simple math here fellas!

Look at the Lakers bench the last two years, who did they have other than Odom? Farmar, Vujacic, Brown and powell. Basically 3 very average PG's and a worthless SF. You can win PLENTY of games with a mediocre bench that just plays smart/good defense if you have a ridiculous starting 5 like the Heat does.

[Goat Milk]

chance to lose all of them, not as good as everyone thinks...

um........only about 3 ppl on this whole site have said the Heat will win it all next year and me and SJ are two of those people. Everyone else is saying they won't do nothing. Read some of the square comments around here. People want to try and be a hero and act like they know what they are saying- saying the heat will get bounced by the second round of the playoffs.

I am confident the Heat will make it to the finals at the minimum. We will wait and see who is right.

[suicidekings]

Look at the Lakers bench the last two years, who did they have other than Odom? Farmar, Vujacic, Brown and powell. Basically 3 very average PG's and a worthless SF. You can win PLENTY of games with a mediocre bench that just plays smart/good defense if you have a ridiculous starting 5 like the Heat does.

The bench argument regarding the Heat will have merit at times, but in general the ability to have just 2 out of Lebron/Wade/Bosh on the floor at any one time and still having a team that can match up with anyone means being able to always keep the big guns fresh, while not allowing the other team to adequately rest. Opponents will wear down and I think the Heat 4Q will have huge potential on a regular basis.

[sweetjones55]

Goat milk,
from what I have seen written there are way more people talking about how the heat will win it all.

With the exception of Van Gundy I see very few analysts saying the Heat will win it all. Most are still thinking the Lakers are the team to beat until the Heat can prove that the Big 3 can coexist.

[d2bets]

They can lose just about any game, esp. road games. They will be closer to 60 than 70.

[sideline36]

Are you kidding me? You see how long it took the Lakers bench to gel because they used to give up games themselves and blow big leads? They have been around each other for years now. A bench is all about chemistry and that will take longer than most think. FYI: the Laker's bench just got stronger. They should be in the discussion about 70 wins in the weaker west, not the hyped up, no ring Heat!

[JDUB07]

Their going to lose to the Rockets twice. They have nobody down low who can check Yao. He will demolish their ass in the paint- BOOOOOOK IT!

[averoneau]

There is a pretty good chance they lose at Boston the first game of the season. Tough home crowd and the Heat's first game playing together vs a veteran team.

[Bradyd]

[quote=sideline36;5909533]Are you kidding me? You see how long it took the Lakers bench to gel because they used to give up games themselves and blow big leads? They have been around each other for years now. A bench is all about chemistry and that will take longer than most think. FYI: the Laker's bench just got stronger. They should be in the discussion about 70 wins in the weaker west, not the hyped up, no ring Heat![/quote]

1. Not too sure I understand your bench comment. Boston in 2008 didn't have a good bench. They won 66 games and the NBA Championship...

2. Seasoned and older teams like the Lakers are not in the business of trying to win 70 games. They won't even try to go after it because Champions save their energy for the playoffs, not the regular season.

3. Weaker does not mean weak. There is still Denver, Dallas, Utah, Portland, Thunder, and the Spurs... Maybe not championship caliber but def a regular season headache...

4. No ring Heat: That's exactly why teams like the "no ring Heat" will come out and try to win every single game they play. They are young, hyped and inexperienced. They will focus in every game to work on their chemistry. They have to. The Lakers and Boston don't...

[sideline36]

1. Dude you are smoking rocks! Boston had a great bench that year. Eddie House was a sparkplug and Powe dismantled LA in 1 game alone in the finals!

2. They dont have to try to win, they just have to be themselves and that will happen much easier than it will in Miami!

3. I said weaker and mean just that. Nobody on that list is a threat except for the Thunder.

4. Chemistry is a yearly thing it just helps you are familiar with your teammates.

Bosh, Wade, and LeQueen cant play the whole game............This sticks out like a sore thumb

[Bradyd]

1. Dude you are smoking rocks! Boston had a great bench that year. Eddie House was a sparkplug and Powe dismantled LA in 1 game alone in the finals!

2. They dont have to try to win, they just have to be themselves and that will happen much easier than it will in Miami!

3. I said weaker and mean just that. Nobody on that list is a threat except for the Thunder.

4. Chemistry is a yearly thing it just helps you are familiar with your teammates.

Bosh, Wade, and LeQueen cant play the whole game............This sticks out like a sore thumb

1. Boston did NOT have a GREAT bench in 2008. It was ok. The Heat will also have an ok bench.

2. All of those teams are a threat to the Lakers, in relation to them trying to win 70 games. Denver plays LA hard as well as Portland. Not to mention Dallas and the Spurs. What are you talking about?? As far as dethroning the Lakers, none of those teams at the moment have a shot. The Thunder are at least 2 years away from making a serious run. They are too young and inexperienced right now..

3. Chemistry is important. But it's a lot more important to the Big 3 as oppose to the bench. If the Big 3 has great chemistry, that team will be awesome. If they don't, they won't be. A great bench won't even help that team..

You're right, the big 3 can't play the entire game. However, they will play most of the game. They just need a decent, not great bench to keep the game going. They will have one.

[sweetjones55]

[quote=Bradyd;5910207]

Are you kidding me? You see how long it took the Lakers bench to gel because they used to give up games themselves and blow big leads? They have been around each other for years now. A bench is all about chemistry and that will take longer than most think. FYI: the Laker's bench just got stronger. They should be in the discussion about 70 wins in the weaker west, not the hyped up, no ring Heat![/quote]

Completely agree with this. LA never wins in Portland especially

1. Not too sure I understand your bench comment. Boston in 2008 didn't have a good bench. They won 66 games and the NBA Championship...

2. Seasoned and older teams like the Lakers are not in the business of trying to win 70 games. They won't even try to go after it because Champions save their energy for the playoffs, not the regular season.

3. Weaker does not mean weak. There is still Denver, Dallas, Utah, Portland, Thunder, and the Spurs... Maybe not championship caliber but def a regular season headache...

4. No ring Heat: That's exactly why teams like the "no ring Heat" will come out and try to win every single game they play. They are young, hyped and inexperienced. They will focus in every game to work on their chemistry. They have to. The Lakers and Boston don't...

[Congruency]

this team will lose 4 or less home games

despite that, i am not sure they will get to 70 wins, but should be in the area

[Goat Milk]

These fools dont have the bench to win 70 games. Simple math here fellas!

Wade won a ring by himself in 06. Put one of the top 3 players in the world on his team and a top 3 PF in the league what does it matter how much talent your bench has? As long as they are hardworking guys that give 100% effort. Juwan, Haslem, arroyo, james jones miami has vets that want this ring. Not some scrub 2 year guys off the bench.