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Old 03-09-10, 01:25 PM   #1
Mac4Lyfe
 
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Default Toronto +3 at Laker's: 1st quarter huge lean

I am seriously leaning Toronto +3 in the 1st quarter of tonights game. Toronto is one of the best teams in the NBA in the 1st quarter. I know LA is coming off of 3 straight losses and you would think they are going to be high as a kite in this one but Toronto plays well out the gate and the Laker's usually don't.

I'm thinking hard on this one and I think the Laker's will pull out a win but they may not cover the high line as well.

Thoughts?
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Old 03-09-10, 01:28 PM   #2
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Totally agreed. Lakers usually have a hard time getting things going in the 1st Q. The line is inflated. Lakers never cover anything DD even when they were playing well. I might have to tail you on this one. Good luck Mac!
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Old 03-09-10, 01:28 PM   #3
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I'm not completely against it. The Lakers aren't a team that's just gonna come out all motivated and energetic just because they lost 3 straight. If you read between the lines on all the recent interviews it seems like there is a clear divide between the team and Kobe right now.
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Old 03-09-10, 03:47 PM   #4
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lakers roll tonight
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Old 03-09-10, 04:03 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kingofgamble View Post
lakers roll tonight
They may very well roll in the game BUT can they come out of the gate strong? Toronto has been killing it in the 1st quarter and I think they will at least keep up with the Laker's early.

I also think Bosh is going to play much better in his 2nd game back and jarret jack should own old ass Derek Fisher...
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Old 03-09-10, 04:07 PM   #6
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1st quarter line is now up to +3.5.... I'm loving it.
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Old 03-09-10, 04:08 PM   #7
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I like it almost as much as your avatar Mac!
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Old 03-09-10, 06:09 PM   #8
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what you say has merit, but im going the other way

at least one of us will win, BOL sir
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Old 03-09-10, 06:21 PM   #9
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I don't see as big of an advantage, Tor wins the first quater 60% of the time and averages .4 points more, LAL wins first quater 58% with an average of 2.0 points more than their oppenent.
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Old 03-09-10, 07:44 PM   #10
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I don't see as big of an advantage, Tor wins the first quater 60% of the time and averages .4 points more, LAL wins first quater 58% with an average of 2.0 points more than their oppenent.
Now factor in +3.5 for Toronto and the odds look pretty good.

Actually both teams average the same amount of points first quarter 26.9 but the Laker's clearly fading the last few games a little more than Toronto. Both teams are struggling but I expect Toronto to play them tough...
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Old 03-09-10, 08:21 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
I am seriously leaning Toronto +3 in the 1st quarter of tonights game. Toronto is one of the best teams in the NBA in the 1st quarter. I know LA is coming off of 3 straight losses and you would think they are going to be high as a kite in this one but Toronto plays well out the gate and the Laker's usually don't.

I'm thinking hard on this one and I think the Laker's will pull out a win but they may not cover the high line as well.

Thoughts?

Dont like it Mac. Lakers will be fired up, especially at home. A day off. No way they come out flat.

I actually like 1st QTR play more than 1st half play.

Lakers get it done tonight...DONE.
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Old 03-09-10, 08:31 PM   #12
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Dont like it Mac. Lakers will be fired up, especially at home. A day off. No way they come out flat.

I actually like 1st QTR play more than 1st half play.

Lakers get it done tonight...DONE.
You like Lakers 1st Q???

The Laker's haven't been fired up all year long. In their last 10 games only twice did they dominate the 1st quarter. I know the Laker's need a win here but logic tells me that a team usually plays to their statistic's/abilities. Past performance is indicative of future behavior and everything points to them not covering -3.5 points early. Of course they might but you got to think they are what they are and won't. Tremendous value in this spot.

I hate hammering 1st Q's because you can get buried on some BS but I've got 5 Units on this play. If the Bucks cover I may put much more...
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Old 03-09-10, 08:45 PM   #13
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You like Lakers 1st Q???

The Laker's haven't been fired up all year long. In their last 10 games only twice did they dominate the 1st quarter. I know the Laker's need a win here but logic tells me that a team usually plays to their statistic's/abilities. Past performance is indicative of future behavior and everything points to them not covering -3.5 points early. Of course they might but you got to think they are what they are and won't. Tremendous value in this spot.

I hate hammering 1st Q's because you can get buried on some BS but I've got 5 Units on this play. If the Bucks cover I may put much more...
Believe me, im not a quarters better , and have learned in the past not to play Lakers 1st half, agaisnt shit opponents.

But 3 game losing streak, finally back home, a day off, I really really dont see how they come out flat tonight.
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Old 03-09-10, 08:59 PM   #14
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They may not come out flat but they just aren't playing good ball right now. They've looked better when Kobe wasn't playing. DFish has been God awful, Odum isn't interested, Gasol and Bynum are both playing with skirts on. Their bench sucks and you never know what your going to get with Artest. This team is offensively challenged right now.
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Old 03-09-10, 09:49 PM   #15
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I am very tempted to take TOR +3.5 1st
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Old 03-09-10, 09:53 PM   #16
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I am very tempted to take TOR +3.5 1st
Take a walk on the wild side...
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Old 03-09-10, 10:24 PM   #17
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Just placed 9 units on TOR +3.5 1st Quarter! Mac4lyfe, who is that pretty girl with the huge fake boobs in your avatar?
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Old 03-09-10, 10:30 PM   #18
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We're going to be able to pay for her to get a larger size in just a few minutes...

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Old 03-09-10, 10:34 PM   #19
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I've got almost a dime on this 1st quarter...

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Old 03-09-10, 10:43 PM   #20
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What do you consider a dime, $1,000 or $10,000?
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Old 03-09-10, 10:47 PM   #21
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Originally Posted by PlatinumBerg View Post
What do you consider a dime, $1,000 or $10,000?
Shit, the most I've ever betted on a basketball game was $7k, I've bet $5k a few times (lost my mind and bet $5k on the Clippers a few months ago). The fuking Clippers and of course I lost.

I've got $1k on this 1st Q. My normal unit is $100.
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Old 03-09-10, 10:51 PM   #22
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Ref's are all over the Fakeshow early...
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Old 03-09-10, 10:54 PM   #23
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good luck man
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Old 03-09-10, 10:58 PM   #24
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Thanks Hugh.

Derozan just got whacked across the arms and head and no call??? Then they call a touch foul when Kobe has the ball??? This one won't be easy.
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Old 03-09-10, 11:04 PM   #25
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OMG, how the fuk was that a foul on Gasol??? Bullshit ref's.
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Old 03-09-10, 11:05 PM   #26
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Stupid foul by Farmar may save my ass.
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Old 03-09-10, 11:05 PM   #27
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lots of fouls in the last minute here
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Old 03-09-10, 11:06 PM   #28
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Are you fuking kidding me? Foul!!! Evans had the damn rebound. Shit. Need a miss.
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Old 03-09-10, 11:06 PM   #29
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i can't believe it all comes down to this...
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Old 03-09-10, 11:07 PM   #30
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Can you believe this shit??? The refs fukked me in this shit. I can't believe this shit. Fuk
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Old 03-09-10, 11:07 PM   #31
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damn, i'm on the +11 and not liking this last minute at all. you must be furious
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Old 03-09-10, 11:07 PM   #32
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Mutherfuker...
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Old 03-09-10, 11:07 PM   #33
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Tuff break man. Dude was hacked big time at the bucket
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Old 03-09-10, 11:08 PM   #34
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tough break guys...i had LAL -3.5 1Q and i felt like i robbed it

mac good call, you had the right play IMO...i got my ass saved my the men in stripes
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Old 03-09-10, 11:10 PM   #35
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tough break guys...i had LAL -3.5 1Q and i felt like i robbed it

mac good call, you had the right play IMO...i got my ass saved my the men in stripes
Oh well... Always tomorrow. Thanks bud.

Dam, I'm salty.
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