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Foals System Plays NBA 09-10
Hello guys. I have a system that I want to try out. I backtested it throughout the season and it went 62%. It's the first time I'm trying it our for real and I want to track/show my plays.
YTD: 0-0
Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5
Los Angeles Clippers @ Denver Nuggets OVER 210
Denver Nuggets -9.5
Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Denver Nuggets -9.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Los Angeles Clippers @ Denver Nuggets OVER 210 LOSS (-1.1 units)
YTD: 2-1 (+0.9 units)
Be back with the plays later on. Best of luck as always guys.
YTD: 2-1 (+0.9 units)
ATS: 2-0
Totals: 0-1
A lot of system plays for tonight.
Atlanta -6.5
Golden State -7.5
Phoenix -6.5
Dallas -3
Houston +6
Orlando -9.5
Milwaukee +7.5
Milwaukee Bucks @ Toronto Raptors UNDER 206
Adding one play:
Charlotte Bobcats @ Atlanta Hawks OVER 190
Milwaukee @ Toronto UNDER should be at 207, was a typo. All plays one unit each.
7-2 (+4.8 units) for the day.
Atlanta -6.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Golden State -7.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Phoenix -6.5 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Dallas -3 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Houston +6 WIN (+1 unit)
Orlando -9.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Milwaukee +7.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Milwaukee Bucks @ Toronto Raptors UNDER 207 WIN (+1 unit)
Charlotte Bobcats @ Atlanta Hawks OVER 190 WIN (+1 unit)
YTD: 9-3 (+5.7 units)
ATS: 7-2
Totals: 2-1
Be back later with plays for tomorrow. Best of luck guys.
YTD: 9-3 (+5.7 units)
ATS 7-2
Totals 2-1
Six plays for today.
Charlotte Bobcats +2
Portland Trailblazers @ Detroit Pistons UNDER 184.5
Houston Rockets -6
Milwaukee Bucks -7.5
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Milwaukee Bucks OVER 201.5
New Orleans Hornets @ Denver Nuggets OVER 207
Originally Posted by Foals
Nice job so far.
How does the system work?
There's two systems that I currently use to get the plays. One is a predictor based on sagarin ratings and the points scored and given up by each team, with some variances during back to backs, road trips, long flights and timezone differences. The other one is a bunch certain trends that I have backtracked throughout the season and the last. I also have a chase system which I'm currently trying to figure out.
Just 3-3 (-.3 units) for today.
Charlotte Bobcats +2 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Portland Trailblazers @ Detroit Pistons UNDER 184.5 LOSS (-1.1 unit)
Houston Rockets -6 LOSS (-1.1 unit)
Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Milwaukee Bucks OVER 202 WIN (+1 unit)
New Orleans Hornets @ Denver Nuggets OVER 208 WIN (+1 unit)
YTD: 12-6 (+5.4 units)
ATS 8-4
Totals 4-2
I have recently started out writing a blog, and I plan to post my pick of the day (system play or not) on my blog with a writeup. My first play (Dallas -3.5) couldn't have gone any better, blowing out the Knicks by 50. I will start to post my daily pick of the day here, but you guys can go look at my blog for the writeup.
YTD: 13-6 (+6.4 units)
System Plays: 12-6
ATS: 8-4
Totals 4-2
Pick of the day: 1-0
System Play and Pick of the Day: Utah Jazz -6.5
any picks yet for tomorrow's game?
Utah Jazz -6.5 WIN (+1 unit)
YTD: 14-6 (+7.4 units)
System Plays: 13-6
ATS: 9-4
Totals: 4-2
Pick of the Day: 2-0
I also had Indiana ML which was a personal pick, but I forgot to post. Of course, it will not count towards my record
YTD: 14-6 (+7.4 units)
System Plays: 13-6
ATS: 9-4
Totals: 4-2
Pick of the Day: 2-0
System Plays: Minnesota Timberwolves @ New York Knicks OVER 207
Phoenix Suns -5.5
Pick of the Day: Charlotte Bobcats @ Phoenix Suns UNDER 210
Adding one NON-SYSTEM play: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (buying .5)
System Plays:
Minnesota Timberwolves @ New York Knicks OVER 207 WIN (+1 unit)
Phoenix Suns -5.5 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Pick of the Day: Charlotte Bobcats @ Phoenix Suns UNDER 210 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Non system play: Milwaukee Bucks +8 WIN (+1 unit)
YTD: 16-8 (+7.2 units)
System Plays: 14-7
ATS: 9-5
Totals: 5-2
Pick of the Day: 2-1
Bad break on my pick of the day (Charlotte @ Phoenix Under 210). We had it in the bag, then it went to OT. Tough loss as we break even today.
YTD: 16-8 (+7.2 units)
System Plays: 14-7
ATS: 9-5
Totals: 5-2
Pick of the Day: 2-1
System Plays:
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 200
Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks OVER 199
OKC Thunder -5
Pick of the Day: Philadelphia 76ers +3
1-2-1 (-1.2 units) today.
[COLOR=#000000 ! important]Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 200 WIN (+1 unit)
Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks OVER 199 LOSS (-1.1 units)
OKC Thunder -5 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Pick of the Day: Philadelphia 76ers +3 PUSH
YTD: 17-10-1 (+6 units)
System Plays: 15-8
ATS: 10-6
Totals: 6-3
Pick of the Day: 2-1-1
[/COLOR]
No system plays for today.
Pick of the Day: New York Knicks -3
i like your picks, good luck with them as i love the knicks as well
Non System Plays:
Dallas Mavericks ML (+110)
Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic UNDER 190
Not a good day today. Both the Knicks and the Mavs were up early but faded late. I hate games like that.
New York Knicks -3 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Dallas Mavericks ML LOSS (-1 unit)
Boston Celtics @ Orlando Magic PUSH
YTD: 17-12-2 (+3.8 units)
System Plays: 15-8
ATS: 10-6
Totals: 6-3
Pick of the Day: 2-2-1
Non System Plays: 1-2-1
YTD: 17-12-2 (+3.8 units)
System Plays: 15-8
ATS: 10-6
Totals: 6-3
Pick of the Day: 2-2-1
Non System Plays: 1-2-1
System Plays:
San Antonio Spurs -5
Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs OVER 200
Non System Play
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers UNDER 203.5
Pick of the Day: Chicago Bulls +4.5
Adding one more system play
Charlotte Bobcats @ Golden State Warriors UNDER 210.5
I like that over in the spurs game tonight, GL
Hope you keep hitting it. Need someone new to check in on since TGoat stop posting his system plays.
Charlotte @ Golden State UNDER not looking good. I should stop playing Charlotte totals, I always seem to get burned.
System Plays:
San Antonio Spurs -5 WIN (+1 unit)
Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs OVER 200 WIN (+1 unit)
Charlotte Bobcats @ Golden State Warriors UNDER 210.5 LOSS (-1.1 units)
Non System Play
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers UNDER 203.5 WIN (+1 unit)
Pick of the Day
Chicago Bulls +4.5 WIN (+1 unit)
YTD: 21-13-2 (+6.7 units)
System Plays: 17-9
ATS: 11-6
Totals: 7-4
Pick of the Day: 3-2-1
Non System Plays: 2-2-1
Finally getting back on track with a good day. This system is still infancy, so it is subject to many changes throughout the course of the season. I plan to do some changes in the upcoming days and try to improve it.
No system plays today. Really tough card in my opinion, but I like Orlando a lot in this spot. I'm still capping, but Orlando -4.5 might be my pick of the day.
Pick of the Day: Orlando Magic -5
Changing my pick of the day to Milwaukee Bucks -4. Orlando Magic -5 is a non system play.
Pick of the Day
Milwaukee Bucks -4 WIN (+1 unit)
Non System Play
Orlando Magic -5 WIN (+1 unit)
Perfect 2-0 day (+2 units).
YTD: 23-13-2 (+8.7 units)
System Plays: 17-9
ATS: 11-6
Totals: 7-4
Pick of the Day: 4-2-1
Non System Plays: 3-2-1
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