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Old 02-08-10, 06:15 PM   #1
JerseyShop101
 
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Arrow JerseyShop101 NBA Plays (S/F System)

I've been tracking this across the way with poster STLfan. Basically its taking the Statfox power ratings and comparing it to the spread.

Its been doing very well for the 6 days I've been tracking it.

Here's the stats:

Thru 6 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%

Wrong team favored category is 3-0, with all 3 dogs winning outright!
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Old 02-08-10, 06:16 PM   #2
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DAY7
Monday's games, EDGE in
BOLD:

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Orleans Hornets 97
Orlando Magic -9.5 103 3.5

San Antonio Spurs +3.5 98 3.5
Los Angeles Lakers 105

Dallas Mavericks -4.5 95 3.5
Golden State Warriors 94

Thru 6 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 26-15 63% / 16-9 64%
Favs 12-7 63% / 6-5 55%
Dogs 14-8 64% / 10-4 71%


Lets cash tonight!

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Old 02-09-10, 02:24 PM   #3
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Went 1-2 on Monday.

Updated stats:
Thru 7 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 27-17 61% / 17-11 61%
Favs 13-8 62% / 7-6 54%
Dogs 14-9 61% / 10-5 67%




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Old 02-09-10, 02:26 PM   #4
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DAY 8
Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE


Team/Power Rating/Line-Off Difference
New Jersey Nets +16 84 7
Cleveland Cavaliers 107

Washington Wizards 90
Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5

Minnesota Timberwolves 92
Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1

Chicago Bulls 95
Indiana Pacers -2 96 1

Houston Rockets 96
Miami Heat -5 100 1

Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5
New York Knicks 97

Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1
Memphis Grizzlies 97

Detroit Pistons +8 86 8
Milwaukee Bucks 102

Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1
Denver Nuggets 104

Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5
Portland Trail Blazers 100

Utah 104
Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7


Last edited by JerseyShop101; 02-09-10 at 04:17 PM. Reason: Made mistake on Indiana power rating.
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Old 02-10-10, 01:38 AM   #5
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DAY 8 Results:
7-4

Tuesdays games, Picks in BLUE

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Jersey Nets +16 84 7 WINNER
Cleveland Cavaliers 107

Washington Wizards 90
Charlotte Bobcats -8.5 98 0.5 LOST

Minnesota Timberwolves 92
Philadelphia 76ers -7 98 1 WINNER

Chicago Bulls 95
Indiana Pacers -2 96 1 LOST

Houston Rockets 96
Miami Heat -5 100 1 WINNER

Sacramento Kings +5.5 91 0.5 WINNER
New York Knicks 97

Atlanta Hawks -1 97 1 WINNER
Memphis Grizzlies 97

Detroit Pistons +8 86 8 WINNER
Milwaukee Bucks 102

Dallas Mavericks +7 96 1 LOST
Denver Nuggets 104

Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5 101 0.5 WINNER
Portland Trail Blazers 100

Utah 104
Los Angeles Clippers +5 92 7 LOST


Another good NBA day! 7-4

Thru 8 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 34-21 62% / 19-12 61%
Favs 17-10 63% / 7-6 54%
Dogs 17-11 61% / 12-6 67%




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Old 02-10-10, 01:14 PM   #6
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DAY 9:
2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference

Miami Heat 99
Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5

Philadelphia 76ers 96
Toronto Raptors -6 97 5

Milwaukee Bucks 97
New Jersey Nets +5 88 4

***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5
Detroit Pistons 91

Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5
Chicago Bulls 99

Boston Celtics 96
***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5

Charlotte Bobcats 97
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1

Los Angeles Lakers 102
Utah Jazz -5 107 0

Portland Trail Blazers 96
Phoenix Suns -9 102 3

Los Angeles Clippers 89
***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5


***Wrong team favored games

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Old 02-11-10, 05:47 AM   #7
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DAY 9 Results:

6-3


2/10 Wednesday games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference

Miami Heat 99
Atlanta Hawks -7 101 5 LOST

Philadelphia 76ers 96
Toronto Raptors -6 97 5 WINNER

Milwaukee Bucks 97
New Jersey Nets +5 88 4 LOST

***Sacramento Kings +4.5 92 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 103-97
Detroit Pistons 91

Orlando Magic -4.5 100 3.5 WINNER
Chicago Bulls 99

Boston Celtics 96
***New Orleans Hornets +4.5 100 8.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 93-85

Charlotte Bobcats 97
Minnesota Timberwolves +2 94 1 WINNER

Los Angeles Lakers 102
Utah -5 107 0

Portland Trail Blazers 96
Phoenix Suns -9 102 3 LOST

Los Angeles Clippers 89
***Golden State Warriors +1.5 93 5.5 WINNER OUTRIGHT 132-102

***Wrong team favored games



Just cruising along, and hope it continues! 6-3 on Wednesday night! In the 9 days of doing this, we have had only 1 truly bad day of picking more losers than winners (we went 1-2 on 8Feb) and 2 days of losing juice!

Thru 9 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 40-24 63% / 24-15 62%
Favs 19-12 61% / 9-8 53%
Dogs 21-12 64% / 15-7 68%

Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)



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Old 02-11-10, 05:08 PM   #8
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DAY 10

2/11 Thursday games, Picks in BLUE
Team/Power Rating/Line Difference


Orlando 102
Cleveland -6 106 2

San Antonio +5.5 98 2.5
Denver 106

Lets make some money!

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Old 02-11-10, 06:07 PM   #9
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interesting stuff thanks!!
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Old 02-12-10, 12:38 AM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by christyh7 View Post
interesting stuff thanks!!
1 down, 1 to go!

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Old 02-12-10, 01:41 AM   #11
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And the Wins continue! 2-0 night!

Thru 10 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%

Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)



Next NBA games are Tuesday, 16 Feb.

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Old 02-12-10, 01:46 AM   #12
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jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
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Old 02-12-10, 01:54 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
jersey what up.....havnt seen you in the college section in a minute....glad to see your doing good over here
Hi 2dabank!

Got caught up doing this basically Anti-Statfox System, and thankfully its working, at least for now

Wish we didn't have the break right now.

I hope all has been going good for you.

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Old 02-12-10, 02:29 AM   #14
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Just saw this and see you've been doing good so far, gl the rest of the season jersey
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Old 02-16-10, 05:55 PM   #15
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This is an Anti-Statfox system, with the exception of taking the dog when the dog has a higher Statfox rating (which I call our WTF- Wrong Team Favored plays). We look for differences in the spread of 2 or more. The whole basis is to question "Why does Pinnacle/Bookmaker have a line OFF by 2 or more points than what Statfox has? More times than not, the Bookmakers are correct and Statfox is wrong. These can be used as a foundation to your plays.

DAY 11
Tuesday, 2/16
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
New Jersey Nets +11 84 5
Charlotte Bobcats 100

***Miami Heat +2 101 5
Philadelphia 76ers 98

Minnesota Timberwolves 91
Detroit Pistons -5.5 91 5.5

Dallas Mavericks +4.5 94 6.5
Oklahoma City Thunder 105

Phoenix Suns PK 98 2
Memphis Grizzlies 96

New York Knicks 93
Chicago Bulls -6.5 97 3.5

Utah 102
Houston Rockets +3 97 2

Los Angeles Clippers +7 87 6
Portland Trail Blazers 100

Boston Celtics -5.5 96 4.5
Sacramento Kings 95

Golden State Warriors 92
Los Angeles Lakers -13 107 2

***Wrong team favored play


Phoenix was almost a WTF play but the line moved against it (MEM opened up at -1, but now its a pick).


Thru 10 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff 2&up
NBA 42-24 64% / 26-15 63%
Favs 20-12 63% / 10-8 56%
Dogs 22-12 65% / 16-7 69%
Wrong Team Favored Plays: 6-0 100% (All 6 won outright)


Good luck tonight!


Last edited by JerseyShop101; 02-16-10 at 06:04 PM.
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Old 02-16-10, 06:54 PM   #16
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Thanks for your picks!
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Old 02-16-10, 08:54 PM   #17
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Miami kicking azz! WTF dog plays going for 7-0 straight up!

Woohoo!
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Old 02-17-10, 04:40 AM   #18
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6-4 on Tuesday night.

Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays now at unreal 7-0. Phoenix could of been considered a WTF play when they were +1 in overnight, morning and afternoon, but the line had moved to a pick.


Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)

(4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won 96-93)
(5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won 114-107)
(7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won 96-89)
(10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won 103-97)
(10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won 93-85)
(10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won 132-102)
(16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won 105-78)



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Old 02-17-10, 05:36 PM   #19
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Not bad last night Jersey, tailed you on 3 games all winners Gl today bro.
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Old 02-17-10, 05:47 PM   #20
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Thank yo!

Hoping it continues, especially with our 7-0 record on the line for the WTF "Wrong Team Favored" plays.
It could of been 8-0 but Phoenix moved from +1 to a pick.
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Old 02-17-10, 05:47 PM   #21
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DAY 12
Wednesday 2/17
PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Memphis Grizzlies 92
Toronto Raptors -7 98 1

Minnesota Timberwolves 89
Washington Wizards -5 94 0

San Antonio Spurs -5 100 0
Indiana Pacers 95

Detroit Pistons +11 90 4
Orlando Magic 105

***Chicago Bulls +2.5 96 4.5
New York Knicks 94

Miami Heat 103
New Jersey Nets +7 89 7

Houston Rockets +5.5 94 1.5
Milwaukee Bucks 101

Utah Jazz -4 102 2
New Orleans Hornets 100

***Phoenix Suns +4 99 6
Dallas Mavericks 97

Sacramento Kings 92
Golden State Warriors -4.5 95 1.5

Atlanta Hawks 96
Los Angeles Clippers +6 89 1

Updated Stats Thru 11 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 48-28 63% / 32-19 63%
Favs 22-13 63% / 12-9 57%
Dogs 26-15 63% / 20-10 67%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 7-0 100% (All 7 won outright)


Good luck tonight!

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Old 02-17-10, 05:52 PM   #22
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Good luck shop hoping to see you MLB
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Old 02-18-10, 01:07 AM   #23
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5-4 not bad still a plus
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Old 02-18-10, 01:12 AM   #24
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Thanks AceofSp!

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Old 02-18-10, 11:31 AM   #25
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Any plays tonight ?
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Old 02-18-10, 04:53 PM   #26
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5-4 on Wednesday night.

Updated Stats Thru 12 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 53-32 62% / 35-21 63%
Favs 24-14 63% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 29-18 62% / 22-12 65%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)


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Old 02-18-10, 05:28 PM   #27
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Thursday games:

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
Denver 101
Cleveland -6.5 106 1.5

Boston +3 96 8
LA Lakers 107
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Old 02-19-10, 02:17 AM   #28
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1-1 on Thursday night.

Boston was the win, which was the Dog and also was the only Diff Off 2&Up play. (The two categories which have a better win %)

Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)




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Old 02-19-10, 03:09 AM   #29
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Jerz i need you help got crushed in cbsk now im sticking with nba i hope this crushes so i can win some money back
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Old 02-19-10, 07:06 AM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AceofSP2107 View Post
Jerz i need you help got crushed in cbsk now im sticking with nba i hope this crushes so i can win some money back
We've all been there, thats for sure. CBB got me this year also. I hope you can make a nice bounce back through this weekend.

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Old 02-19-10, 04:17 PM   #31
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appreciate your work
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Old 02-19-10, 06:01 PM   #32
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Thanks Pac and everyone!

DAY 14
Friday 2/19:

PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
DEN NUGGETS 102
WAS WIZARDS +6 94 2

CLE CAVALIERS -4.5 102 0.5
CHA BOBCATS 98

SA SPURS 100
PHI 76`ERS +3 96 1

MIL BUCKS 95
DET PISTONS +1 92 2

DAL MAVERICKS +7 95 4
ORL MAGIC 106

IND PACERS +4.5 92 3.5
NO HORNETS 100

CHI BULLS 96
MIN T`WOLVES +1 92 3

TOR RAPTORS 94
NJ NETS +2.5 90 1.5

***MIA HEAT +6.5 102 12.5
MEM GRIZZLIES 96

ATL HAWKS 97
PHO SUNS -4 101 0

UTAH -5 102 0
GS WARRIORS 97

BOS CELTICS +3 97 1
POR TRAIL BLAZERS 101

Be careful with Miami tonight (even though its a wrong team favored situation) because Wade is out and this is also the biggest amount of pts we have seen for this situation.

Good luck tonight!


Updated Stats Thru 13 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 54-33 62% / 36-21 63%
Favs 24-15 62% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 30-18 63% / 23-12 66%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 8-1 89% (The 8 wins won outright)
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Old 02-20-10, 02:11 AM   #33
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5-5 for Friday, but WTF play winning continues!

Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%
***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
(4 Feb) Portland +2 against San Antonio (Port won outright 96-93)
(5 Feb) Milwaukee +2 against New York (Milw won outright 114-107)
(7 Feb) Orlando +2.5 against Boston (Orl won outright 96-89)
(10Feb) Sacramento +4.5 against Detroit (Sac won outright 103-97)
(10Feb) New Orleans +4.5 against Boston (NO won outright 93-85)
(10Feb) Golden State +1.5 against LA Clippers (GS won outright 132-102)
(16Feb) Miami Heat +2 against Philadelphia (Miami won outright 105-78)
(17Feb) Chicago +2.5 against New York (Chicago won outright 115-109)
(17Feb) Phoenix +4 against Dallas (Phoenix LOST 97-107)
(19Feb) Miami +6.5 against Memphis (Miami won outright 87-84)




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Old 02-20-10, 04:52 PM   #34
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DAY 15
Saturday, 2/19

PLAYS IN BLUE and RED

Team/Power Rating/Line Difference
WAS WIZARDS 93
TOR RAPTORS -6.5 98 1.5

OKL THUNDER 102
NY KNICKS +5 94 3

PHI 76`ERS +4.5 94 0.5
CHI BULLS 99

***MIA HEAT +10.5 103 13.5
DAL MAVERICKS 100

IND PACERS +7.5 92 0.5
HOU ROCKETS 100

CHA BOBCATS 97
MIL BUCKS -3 98 2

SAC KINGS 90
LA CLIPPERS +1 88 1

WTF Play Miami +10.5!!!
The +480 Moneyline is almost too much too resist, well almost, lol.
Much safer with the points and lot less stress.



Updated Stats Thru 14 Days:
---- All ---------/ Diff Off 2&up
NBA 59-38 61% / 39-24 62%
Favs 24-16 60% / 13-9 59%
Dogs 35-22 61% / 26-15 63%

***Wrong Team Favored (WTF) Plays: 9-1 90% (The 9 wins have all won outright)
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Old 02-20-10, 05:08 PM   #35
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i never seen this before but whatever your doing keep doing it
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