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Old 02-05-10, 03:22 AM   #1
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Default Phoenix -3 @ Sac; Too Good to be True?

Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.
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Old 02-05-10, 03:26 AM   #2
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hard game but phoenix must win
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Old 02-05-10, 10:36 AM   #3
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Old 02-05-10, 10:43 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mac4Lyfe View Post
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Old 02-05-10, 11:31 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TGoat View Post
Phoenix -3 at Sacramento really does look too good to be true. If I (putting on my "Joe Public" hat) think that this number should be higher and that it should be a cakewalk for Phoenix, then that must be how all of my Joe Public friends must think.

It's 12:18 am PST and 93% of the bets are on Phoenix.

Everything points to Phoenix blowing out Sacramento...therefore, I'm leaning Sacramento.
Yeah-Line are dropping. Some one mentioned must win for Phoe-Why?
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Old 02-05-10, 11:41 AM   #6
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Kings will win easy
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Old 02-05-10, 12:09 PM   #7
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this is one of my leans
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Old 02-05-10, 12:43 PM   #8
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Dragic is out of control

But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.
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Old 02-05-10, 12:47 PM   #9
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I might get caught in this trap but oh well--i refuse to put money on sac. Phoenix is the better team and are hot right now--sac stinks.
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Old 02-05-10, 12:50 PM   #10
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take Kings for sure
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Old 02-05-10, 12:57 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Quagmire27 View Post
Dragic is out of control

But this trap looks very comfortable to me. Last game before the break, the won 4 / lost 4 streaks should grow. Queens will find a way to lose this game.



As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.
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Old 02-05-10, 01:00 PM   #12
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As you know by now I am not gonna join the trap Suns. Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run. That being said I am not gonna join the Sharps and play the Kings either.. The Kings is the right play, but my holdup is this..... They don't know how to win. They work fine until it's time to cash a check..Also, if the Suns come close to matching the intensity they played with against Denver... watch out!! The Suns were actually playing defense and rebounding, blocked some shots. The only way to play the Kings in this spot is take the ++ML. Other than that it's a lose because more than likely if they lose +2.5 will be no good. This game is one I just pass on.
Couldn't agree more. The Kings are borderline-embarrassing at closing out games, and that +3 could disappear in a hurry because of it. Can't believe LB's considering going back to that well.
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Old 02-05-10, 01:03 PM   #13
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Line is dropping.

Wait for some value.

I'll get it at -2, eventually.

Besides, Suns are carving up everybody, lately.

Golden State hasn't beaten anybody with a winning record since Christmas.
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Old 02-05-10, 01:24 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lyon804 View Post
Playing the cheap road favorites as you do will prove costly in the long run.
As I do I had the Blazers last night

I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.
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Old 02-05-10, 01:34 PM   #15
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I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8
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Old 02-05-10, 01:39 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MAESTRO1 View Post
I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8
If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???
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Old 02-05-10, 01:41 PM   #17
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suns will be up 25 at one point.....final score:

kings 121
suns 118
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Old 02-05-10, 01:42 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TGoat View Post
If the line should be -8, then why isn't it???
actually, i would say a line of 4 should be right.

this is the definition of a clear trap game. suns look so easy, but the books are obviously looking for suns money. sharps are all over the kings here with 85% on phx and the line dipping from 3.5 to 2.5. some heavy cash was laid down on the kings tonight. including my whopping $200

Last edited by Dexter; 02-05-10 at 01:45 PM.
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Old 02-05-10, 01:45 PM   #19
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Line should be 3.5, where it was before the "sharps" pounded the Queens. Kings winning record at home, Suns losing record on the road. Kings just lost by only 2 to the overrated Spurs....
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Old 02-05-10, 02:16 PM   #20
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Originally Posted by Quagmire27 View Post
As I do I had the Blazers last night

I am not scared of cheap road favorites, but I don't play too many of them like you are implying. I pick my spots carefully. More goes into me choosing the Suns in this spot. Amare finally seems happy as a Sun, I think he thinks he is going to stay there. Lopez didn't play in their recent match, he should create more match-up problems for the Kings. Dragic was -8 in the last match, he is playing much better now. The Suns are old enough to know how important the last game before the break is. Likely just another game to the young Kings. I don't expect this game to be close, but if it is, I figure the Kings will find a way to lose it.

All valid points that makes me stay away from the Kings. The Suns do know how to win if they get to that situation tonite. If the Kings get to that situation they will still lose. The Kings simply don't know how to close out a game against a decent opponent. End of story.
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Old 02-05-10, 02:17 PM   #21
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I may go Suns here
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Old 02-05-10, 02:31 PM   #22
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just a little reminder

01/05/10 SAC 109 - PHO 113 PHO -2.5 U 226
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Old 02-05-10, 02:32 PM   #23
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same situation tonight but suns are even hotter now
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Old 02-05-10, 02:36 PM   #24
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kings will burn the sun today go king goooooooooooooooooooo
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Old 02-05-10, 02:41 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MAESTRO1 View Post
I like phx here way better team。 line should be phx- 8

Actually last time these two played was 1/5/10 and the line was Pho -2.5
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Old 02-05-10, 02:45 PM   #26
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suns win
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Old 02-05-10, 02:51 PM   #27
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Sounds too good to be true
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Old 02-05-10, 02:55 PM   #28
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suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.

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Old 02-05-10, 02:56 PM   #29
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easy peasy
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Old 02-05-10, 02:57 PM   #30
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love this play
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Old 02-05-10, 02:58 PM   #31
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suns win this EZ... put your whole bankroll on the suns -3.

That jinx won't even be enough for the Kings tonight.
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Old 02-05-10, 03:05 PM   #32
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I'm starting to lean the Sun's 1st half...
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Old 02-05-10, 03:52 PM   #33
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THIS GAME SHOULD BE PLAYED ON SUNDAY MORNING---IT WILL BE THAT EASY!
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Old 02-05-10, 03:56 PM   #34
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suns and over!! reverse it and winn double the money!, i might go crazy and reverse suns and over for 1st half and game! this is too good to be true
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Old 02-05-10, 03:59 PM   #35
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how is it too good to be true this same line of -2.5 happened a month to the day. you people make no sense
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