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Old 12-25-09, 09:28 AM   #1
scottel
 
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Default nba system play for 12.25

Boston +5.......A bet.....one unit

so far this season 53 series......2 losers so 51-2 on series

bet on +500 team on rd trip (3 gm min) bet against under 500 team on rd trip (3 gm min)........no points buying

a series loser is -8.26 units based on 100 as unit.....5100(51x100 ) - 1652 (2x826) =3448 net profit

A 1.1 to win 1........B 2.31 to win 2.1 (1.1 lost + one unit) C 4.85 to win 4.41

so if all three lose ABC 1.1 +2.31 +4.85 =8.26
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Old 12-25-09, 09:29 AM   #2
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i seriously dun understand a single thing that u say
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Old 12-25-09, 11:47 AM   #3
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Scottel: Why isn't Cleveland a play for the 25th????
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Old 12-25-09, 12:07 PM   #4
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clev was play on 21st ...first game of rd trip......beat Phx Su as +2 dog so that series was done on the A bet
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Old 12-25-09, 12:10 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LaiLai View Post
i seriously dun understand a single thing that u say
system is to bet on +500 on rd trip, 3 game or more......if they cover in gm1 u stop, if not move to B bet and bet to win one unit net profit so if they lose game one -110 u would need to win 210 on B bet to gain net profirt of one unit, hence 231 to win 210 on B bet.......

we bet AGAINST under 500 team on rd trip, 3 or more game rd trip

similar to Morrison but no point buying and we play ON +500 team and against an under 500 team.....quite simple
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Old 12-25-09, 12:14 PM   #6
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So you're up 35 units so far this year? If I'm understanding this correctly.
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Old 12-25-09, 12:35 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scottel View Post
Boston +5.......A bet.....one unit

so far this season 53 series......2 losers so 51-2 on series

bet on +500 team on rd trip (3 gm min) bet against under 500 team on rd trip (3 gm min)........no points buying

a series loser is -8.26 units based on 100 as unit.....5100(51x100 ) - 1652 (2x826) =3448 net profit

A 1.1 to win 1........B 2.31 to win 2.1 (1.1 lost + one unit) C 4.85 to win 4.41

so if all three lose ABC 1.1 +2.31 +4.85 =8.26
Interesting Concept. Your math is correct as I use the same in my thread with -110 odds. I have been succesfully playing JM system for two years and never buy points but use a complicated LAB money managment system whenever there is a B bet loss. Have you back tested this over other seasons. Good luck
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Old 12-25-09, 12:43 PM   #8
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this might be a "system play" but without paul peirce in their lineup, i do not see the celtics keeping up with the magic for 4 quarters

Magic -5*
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Old 12-25-09, 12:55 PM   #9
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KG isnt 100% either i think?
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Old 12-25-09, 01:00 PM   #10
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he's returning from a bruised thigh or something of the sort
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Old 12-25-09, 03:01 PM   #11
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I just play em....figure injuries factored into the line .....lots of people loved Phx the other night over Clev and bam Clev won SU
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Old 12-25-09, 05:17 PM   #12
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Hey Scottel, this is good stuff man. I was wondering if you have the breakout for A,B and C games. I'm wondering if the winning percentages are similar to JMs system when buying the 3 points. thanks man
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Old 12-25-09, 06:29 PM   #13
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winner SU.......another series won
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Old 12-25-09, 06:37 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheGambler View Post
Hey Scottel, this is good stuff man. I was wondering if you have the breakout for A,B and C games. I'm wondering if the winning percentages are similar to JMs system when buying the 3 points. thanks man
here is what I have so far

A......31-23-2........B....15-8.....C.....6-2

more C bets than JM system since no point buying

2 B bets pending hence the dif on A losses + ties (25) and total B bets(23) so far
i.e. your B bets shud equal your a losses + ties and C bets shud equal B losses
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Old 12-25-09, 06:49 PM   #15
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sorry haveing bit hard time getting the system but base on this what would the pick be for suns game?
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Old 12-25-09, 07:00 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wind gara View Post
sorry haveing bit hard time getting the system but base on this what would the pick be for suns game?
there is no play on Suns game.....very simple......take today

boston started at least a 3 game rd trip.......they are an over 500 team (overall record)....so we play ON Boston today as A bet......they won(on pointspread)...over and done....had boston not covered we would play ON them again in thier next game as B bet to win our unit lost plus one unit
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Old 12-25-09, 07:11 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scottel View Post
here is what I have so far

A......31-23-2........B....15-8.....C.....6-2

more C bets than JM system since no point buying

2 B bets pending hence the dif on A losses + ties (25) and total B bets(23) so far
i.e. your B bets shud equal your a losses + ties and C bets shud equal B losses

Thanks for providing this information as I know it is difficult to track all of this. Looking at this, it looks like you have a pretty good winning % for A, B and C.
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Old 12-25-09, 09:07 PM   #18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by scottel View Post
Boston +5.......A bet.....one unit

so far this season 53 series......2 losers so 51-2 on series

bet on +500 team on rd trip (3 gm min) bet against under 500 team on rd trip (3 gm min)........no points buying

a series loser is -8.26 units based on 100 as unit.....5100(51x100 ) - 1652 (2x826) =3448 net profit

A 1.1 to win 1........B 2.31 to win 2.1 (1.1 lost + one unit) C 4.85 to win 4.41

so if all three lose ABC 1.1 +2.31 +4.85 =8.26
Scott....does it matter if the under 500 team you bet against is playing a under 500 team at home?
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Old 12-25-09, 10:22 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
Scott....does it matter if the under 500 team you bet against is playing a under 500 team at home?
NO.....on dec 18 sac was at minn...sac under 500 and on rd, gm1 ....played against sac and min won ....A bet, one and done.....

i may try and see how it shakes out bad vs bad etc but for now only concern is over or under 500 team on rd........opp not issue right now
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Old 12-25-09, 10:46 PM   #20
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Is there any plays for tomorrow? This seems interesting. But taking the Celtics today would of been pretty tough to justify. But good win for you.


I just skimmed through a few teams schedules. Orlando has a 3 game road trip starting Jan 1st. Now do you take the Moneyline for them as they will be a favorite against the 3 teams or do you play the points?
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Old 12-26-09, 12:13 AM   #21
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Congrats on Boston win. Am I correct in assuming that HOU and WAS should be B bets for Tomorrow the 26th ? Since I did not bet on the A game I will only make a i unit bet. Good luck
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Old 12-26-09, 08:48 AM   #22
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Quote:
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Congrats on Boston win. Am I correct in assuming that HOU and WAS should be B bets for Tomorrow the 26th ? Since I did not bet on the A game I will only make a i unit bet. Good luck

Htn is B bet....MIn is B bet as they are playing Wash, an under 500 team on rd trip so we are playing AGAINST Wash
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Old 12-26-09, 08:49 AM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ngates815 View Post
Is there any plays for tomorrow? This seems interesting. But taking the Celtics today would of been pretty tough to justify. But good win for you.


I just skimmed through a few teams schedules. Orlando has a 3 game road trip starting Jan 1st. Now do you take the Moneyline for them as they will be a favorite against the 3 teams or do you play the points?
been playing the spread but if small nbr u may want to go ML
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Old 12-26-09, 08:52 AM   #24
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try not to get confused, in JM u play on all rd teams.....this one we play AGAINST bad teams (under 500) on rd...and dont buy points
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Old 12-26-09, 02:02 PM   #25
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hi,happy holidays.I'd like to know,if it is possible,if I have to bet only on the teams that play 3games road against at least 2teams of the opposite conference;or It is not a problem if the teams are not of the opposite conference?Your 51w-2lost record which period do you mean?Is it this year?Thank you.
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Old 12-26-09, 02:44 PM   #26
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does not matter if opp conf only or same or mixture.....but must be at least 3 rd games in row, if more thats fine but we dont go past gm3 if needed to go that far to get win....if gm1 wins, stop, gm1 lose then bet gm2 i fgm wins then stop, if gm1 nad 2 lose then bet gm3.....win or lose stop at after gm3 if it gets that far
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Old 12-26-09, 03:35 PM   #27
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Want to see if I got this right. Today, Houston is a "B" bet. Tomorrow Dallas will be an "A" bet. Is that correct?
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Old 12-26-09, 06:01 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by doubledime View Post
Want to see if I got this right. Today, Houston is a "B" bet. Tomorrow Dallas will be an "A" bet. Is that correct?
yes dallas will an A bet on sunday, gm1 of at least 3 gm rd trip and dallas +500 team
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Old 01-03-10, 05:09 PM   #29
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i scottel .today we are betting on bobcats and it is third bet.is it correct?
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