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  1. #1

    Default Instant Value?

    I was looking at this updated series price on the Mavs/Warriors matchup, and I find much value with the Mavs in this series despite being down 1-0.

    Dallas Mavericks -585
    Golden State Warriors +445

    This series was roughly -1700 before this series started. I know the Mavs lost game one in the series and the game 1 winner usually wins the series at roughly a 70% clip. However, the numbers are still very lopsidedly sway the Mavs way.

    I hate laying this type of wood at all, but I gotta bet the value in this updated series price.


    Ok guys... don't slam me too badly for laying roughly 6 to 1 here.


    Thoughts are very much encouraged on this particular one.

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  2. #2

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    I don't blame you. I'd still make this line about 10-1.

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  3. #3
    tevari's Avatar SBR PRO
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    Can't see Dallas losing the series, although it will be hard fought and may end up going to 7.

  4. #4

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    I'd just love to see Cuban all slumped down in his chair again, which should happen at least once again during this series.

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz View Post
    I don't blame you. I'd still make this line about 10-1.
    I wouldn't personally say 10-1, but I would say maybe as high as -875 range.

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  6. #6

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    You guys will be believers in GS when they take a 3-1 lead after sweeping at home in games 3 and 4.

    You just don't understand -- Dallas exerted too much energy this regular season. "Best record's" in reg season, typically falter in the playoffs. Look it up if you need more evidence.

  7. #7

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    I think the value is with the Spurs -260 to win the series. SA will beat Denver in no more than 6 games.
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  8. #8

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    Mavs will be a better value if they lose tonight.

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by rjt721 View Post
    I think the value is with the Spurs -260 to win the series. SA will beat Denver in no more than 6 games.
    I don't know man... I can definitely see Denver winning this series... They have tons of firepower and if they just play a little defense like they did in Game 1, then they can definitely take that series... I really think that either the Warriors or the Nuggets will advance... One of the two I think will pull off the upset... I know they both are only up 1-0, but they both have a lot of confidence... Hell, Dallas hasn't even beatin Golden State this year, 0-4! Who's to think they are gonna win 4 out of 6 against a team that they matchup horrible against... If Dallas does get by Golden State then I think they are a lock for the Finals! Pretty funny how the team they matchup the worst with is the #8 seed!

  10. #10

  11. #11
    hanco21
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan View Post
    I was looking at this updated series price on the Mavs/Warriors matchup, and I find much value with the Mavs in this series despite being down 1-0.




    This series was roughly -1700 before this series started. I know the Mavs lost game one in the series and the game 1 winner usually wins the series at roughly a 70% clip. However, the numbers are still very lopsidedly sway the Mavs way.

    I hate laying this type of wood at all, but I gotta bet the value in this updated series price.


    Ok guys... don't slam me too badly for laying roughly 6 to 1 here.


    Thoughts are very much encouraged on this particular one.
    Dan,

    What would you think the odds would be tied at 1-1.

  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by hanco21 View Post
    Dan,

    What would you think the odds would be tied at 1-1.
    They'll barely change. Probably -650 or so.

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  13. #13
    hanco21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz View Post
    They'll barely change. Probably -650 or so.
    Thanks Razz

  14. #14

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    My concerns for Dallas are these:
    - Though some says regular season means nothing, but these guys with the best record got sweeped by Golden State (3-0) I believe
    - Avery Johnson, the coach of the Mavs, is taught by Nellie, the coach of the Warriors. I think Nellie might have a trick or two up his sleeve to go against Johnson. At least, I bet Nellie relishes each win over Dallas.
    - Dallas has everything to lose. Golden State went on an amazing streak to get in, and has nothing to lose.
    - Now that series is tied 1-1, the home court is at GS, but I don't see GS winning both at home... probably would go 2-2 after 4.

  15. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by Razz View Post
    They'll barely change. Probably -650 or so.
    I was thinking it would be a little bit higher than this actually.

    Dallas Mavericks -745
    Golden State Warriors +525

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