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Old 11-09-09, 05:31 PM   #1
chris440
 
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Default Trying a new system

If im not 50% or higher an 7 days i will stop betting these

Phoenix -2
Knicks +5.5
Twolves +6.5
Clippers +2
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Old 11-10-09, 07:23 PM   #2
chris440
 
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system is 2-2 50% so far here is todays
charlotte +4
portland -6.5
rockets +6.5
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Old 11-11-09, 05:48 PM   #3
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Day 3
System has been re evaluated lets see how this goes
3-4 so far

I am not betting these picks because i just changed the system and have to see if it is going to work

Warriors +5.5
Toronto -5.5
Orlando -1
Spurs +1.5
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Old 11-12-09, 02:45 AM   #4
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2-2 not sure what is wrong. 5-6 all together.
4 more days to go.
system plays for tomorrow

cleveland -1.5
phoenix +7.5
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Old 11-12-09, 02:47 AM   #5
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whats the system???
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Old 11-12-09, 06:41 AM   #6
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Lots of different statistics added up into one formula to predict the exact scores of what the teams should score
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Old 11-12-09, 02:34 PM   #7
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u should add the under\over to your bets aswell, maybe they will produce more winners???
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Old 11-12-09, 05:25 PM   #8
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yeah, still looking into that one. hopefully will figure it out soon
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Old 11-13-09, 06:10 PM   #9
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6-7 so far with 3 days more

todays picks

76ers -3
orlando -15.5
warriors +4
atlanta +9
sacramento +5
denver -4
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Old 11-13-09, 06:21 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chris440 View Post
6-7 so far with 3 days more

todays picks

76ers -3
orlando -15.5
warriors +4
atlanta +9
sacramento +5
denver -4

bol ...... working on a new system myself
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Old 11-13-09, 09:22 PM   #11
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thank you bro. let me know how your system is working out?
added system play
toronto -1.5
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Old 11-14-09, 02:15 AM   #12
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6-1. doing better
12-8 now with 2 more days
will have system plays early tomrrow
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Old 11-14-09, 05:37 PM   #13
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november 14 system plays

indiana +7
portland -3
utah +13.5
miami -13
philly +7
minessota +9
golden state +8
spurs -8
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Old 11-15-09, 04:53 PM   #14
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system went 5-3 yesterday
thats 17-11

today had 1 play
clippers +5.5
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Old 11-15-09, 04:55 PM   #15
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well done yesterday
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Old 11-16-09, 12:32 AM   #16
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Thanks bro
system now 18-11
tomorrows picks will be posted early in the morning
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Old 11-16-09, 05:40 PM   #17
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todays system picks

atlanta -3.5
bucks -1.5
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Old 11-17-09, 02:10 AM   #18
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1-1.

i think u should do this system for the entire season then decide if your gonna put your money on it, so far it looks good, but maybe it can be made better by changing a few little things??? i dunno.

have u worked out if its worth doing ur system for under over bets????
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Old 11-17-09, 04:21 AM   #19
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19-12

Thanks for the input. yeah, I'm gonna try this for the whole season and am going to adjust it a little bit to make it better.
I am still working on the over/under for this. I will let you know

Nov 17 plays. Lots of underdogs
warriors +15.5
new jersey +3.5
OKC +4.5
Clippers +2
Phoenix +2.5
Sacramento -1
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Old 11-18-09, 03:43 PM   #20
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3-3 yesterday. so 22-15

todays picks
atl -7.5
philly -3
pacers -6.5
thunder +12.5
warriors +16.5
clippers +5
houston -5.5
bucks -10
toronto +9
mavs -1.5
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Old 11-18-09, 06:46 PM   #21
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I'm definitely not a pro but working through a system myself (for better or worse ).

Do you feel confident that those teams will win? You're playing 10 out of 12 games. Do you think those lines are way off? I'm kind of wondering what were your score predictions for Phil/Char, Hou/Minn, Nj/Mil?

Also, if you're predicting the scores don't you like any of the over/unders? How much different must your spread from the actual spread be to play it? As in, if you predict Atlanta wins by 8 do you play it? 9? 10? 11? I like +5 so if I projected Atlanta winning by 12.5 I would take them and feel good about it.

Just some thoughts. I'll take anything you found helpful in creating your system.

Last edited by Fizz; 11-18-09 at 07:05 PM.
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Old 11-19-09, 04:24 AM   #22
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Confident, not sure. If its a system play i will bet on it.
philly/char 85-100
houston/minn 103-82
nets/bucks 82-111

If atlanta is favored by 8, i will play it if the system said they will win by 15. so 7 extra points
I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis

anyways 5-5 today
24-17 total
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Old 11-19-09, 05:06 AM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chris440 View Post

I am still working on this system, theirs a lot more work to be done. I hope to get 66% on a weekly basis
I'm curious where you come up with this 66% number? The best handicappers in the world are thrilled to get 55-57%.

66% is a great benchmark, but it's unrealistic and unsustainable over time in my opinion.

Why? Here's one reason: a series of losses does more to bring you down than a series of wins does to push your percentages up.

Let's say you're at 33-17, 66%. Now you lose five in a row, which puts you at 60%. Now let's say you win five in a row. You go back up to 63%. The trend toward equilibrium is down.

It's like the old stock market adage. If you buy a stock at $100 and it falls to $50, you've lost 50%. But in order to get even the stock has to appreciate 100%.

That being said, I hope you are able to achieve your goals.

Last edited by TGoat; 11-19-09 at 09:54 AM.
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Old 11-19-09, 07:01 PM   #24
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Thanks for info Tgoat

Todays picks
suns -8
lakers -9.5
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Old 11-21-09, 06:35 PM   #25
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no time to get in bets yesterday.
currently 25-18

todays picks
philly +10.5
atlanta -4.5
bucks +3.5
wizards +7.5
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Old 11-21-09, 07:14 PM   #26
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nice man im on to this system...

PHIL ATL MIL SAC WASH DEN UTAH PORT

in an 8 team TEASER

i bought a $5 ticket in a small time casino in the big LV

lets cash baby!
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Old 11-22-09, 05:53 PM   #27
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2-2 again yesterday.
27-20 total now
late picks today
hornets +10
suns -10
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Old 11-23-09, 09:31 AM   #28
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nice work yesterday
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Old 11-24-09, 09:45 AM   #29
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Someone else tryin to crack a system.
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Old 11-24-09, 02:47 PM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KiDBaZkiT View Post
Someone else tryin to crack a system.
doing well so far, be good to see it continue throughout the season

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Old 11-24-09, 06:17 PM   #31
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ok 29-20 right now
no time for bets yesterday
today i have
golden state +13
thunder +8
toronto -5
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Old 11-25-09, 12:32 AM   #32
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chris440 View Post
ok 29-20 right now
no time for bets yesterday
today i have
golden state +13
thunder +8
toronto -5
NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night.
Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.
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Old 11-25-09, 12:47 AM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jerm3462 View Post
NICE JOB, 3 for 3 Tuesday Night. Look foward to your picks on Wednesday.
Thanks bro, I will hopefully have picks before gametime. been real busy lately
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Old 11-26-09, 02:53 PM   #34
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32-20
have 1 pick today
atl -3.5
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Old 11-26-09, 02:59 PM   #35
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Wow, very impressive system whatever it is. I'll tail ya on the Hawks tonight, GL
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