[twincities77]

Hello again all:

ATS

NO +11: Strictly value play. Public is in love with Boston (and deservedly so to some extent). New Orleans is a solid team who's looked mediocre to start the year. If this had been an opening night game, the Celtics wouldn't have been laying more than 5 or 6 here.

Tor +6.5: Loss Silly me forgets to throw in 17 3-pointers for Orlando. Orlando has won by double digits in their two games this year, but against poor competition. Toronto is just coming off an unimpressive looking 8 point loss at Memphis (after their opener, a 10-point win at home vs. Cleveland). Orlando still is without Rashard Lewis (a point easy to forget since they've won twice). Vince Carter's ankle also has him as a question mark (although I expect him to play; if he didn't or played less than 100%, that would just be a bonus).


O/U (all based on off/def/pac analyses, modified by injuries)

Atl/LAL: U 194
Chi/Mia: U 193
NO/Bos: U 183.5
Mem/Den: O 206

M/L

OKC (+125): I love betting against traveling road teams coming off hard fought games, particularly losses. This is a really nice spot that way. Interestingly the line generally adjusts for that, however the ratings I look at still show this game off. OKC may also be a publicly undervalued team (or Portland may just be overvalued?)

Best of luck to everyone, fade away as desired.

[twincities77]

Well, 3-4, bleh; on to tomorrow.