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    Lightbulb 3/18 Wednesday: Round Discussion - 11 Games

    Portland vs. Indiana

    miami vs. Boston

    sacramento vs. Charlotte

    new jersey vs. New york

    denver vs. Memphis

    minnesota vs. New orleans

    chicago vs. Oklahoma city

    orlando vs. Milwaukee

    detroit vs. Houston

    philadelphia vs. Phoenix

    washington vs. La clippers

    thoughts...opinions...who do you like...?

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    I think the most definate wins for Wednesday are Charlotte over Sacremento. Sacremento coming off of a back to back and Charlotte are hot at home. New Orleans 23-10 I believe at home over Minnesota one of the worst in the nba. New York Knicks over the New Jersey Nets, the Nets are without Harris so enough said and the Knicks are at the Garden. The Knicks let the last game slip away from them by a basket last time they played. And I like the red hot Houston who are at home over the sketchy sorry Detroit who are coming off of a back to back. The rest of the games I think are toss ups. Yes even the denver game. I don't trust Denver on the road against a team who has been playing tough and hard lately and Memphis is at home. Denver is known to fumble some easy games on the road. And yes even the Orlando game, Orlando is coming off of a back to back game and the Bucks are playing tough and really are trying to make the playoffs. And don't forget the Bucks last game was a win over Boston.
    I will probably do a 3 team special 8 point teaser with Charlotte Bobcats, New Orleans, and the Houston Rockets. Either the Houston Rockets or the New York Knicks, I have to think on that one. But this is not final I still have to do some statistic research and confirmation.

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    Alukk you can't be serious about the Nets right? How do you see them winning?

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    The best plays I've culled from ATS comparisons are NY/NJ over, Det/Hou under, and Indiana to cover. NY/NJ is 216, don't know the other numbers yet but that's where I'm leaning.

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    Let me add that Detroit to cover is a pretty solid bet using ATS records as well.

    The most striking of those 4 is probably the NY/NJ over -- with a 49-27 record (home vs away results for both teams) in favor of the over.

    Next is probably Det/Hou under with a 38-28-1 record in favor of the under.

    Indiana is 17-12-2 ATS at home and Portland is only 12-20 ATS on the road. That stands out for me.

    And lastly Detroit is 18-14-0 ATS on the road while Houston is only 15-19-1 ATS at home. Advantage Detroit, but the weakest of the 4 on my board, imo.

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    Early lean to OKC -2 for me, love that line movement.

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    I'm still liking Houston over Detroit by a lot l0l. Detroit coming off of a back to back. Houston well rested 22-8 or 9 at home. Houston playing really well and detroit playing like scrubs, I think the advantage is in Houston imo.

    I like Oklahoma City over the Bulls as well. Chicago can't win a game on the road if their life depended on it. And the Thunder been playing tough and well lately and an impressive win over San Antonio. The last time these two played Oklahoma won by 11 in Overtime AT CHICAGO. But Chicago were coming off of back to back home games. But you think Chicago would win this, this is a no play for me.

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    Wow... Sheed is going to be out today and POSSIBLY RIP HAMILTON!!! That's it l0l, it's a done deal. Yao Ming might be out today too. If so that might cause some problems in the paint. Detroit has many scorers in the paint Kwame Brown, McDyess, Maxwell, and that Center who starts l0l. But I'm not too worried, Mutombo should hold up hahaha. NOT IN MY HOUSE *FINGER WAVE*

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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsTerminator View Post
    Detroit has many scorers in the paint Kwame Brown, McDyess, Maxwell, and that Center who starts l0l.
    lol you just named 3 of the worst offensive big men in the league (not mcdyess obv)

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    I really need a win tonite, one over/under what would be the best option?

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    I really like New Jersey/New York Over 216. GL.
    SportsTerminators' pick is good too IMO but it's a no play for me.

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    Celtics -6.5
    Bucks +5.5
    OKC -1.5
    Phx -6.5
    Min +12
    Mem +6
    NYK -7
    Cha -11

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    Quote Originally Posted by SportsTerminator View Post
    Wow... Sheed is going to be out today and POSSIBLY RIP HAMILTON!!! That's it l0l, it's a done deal. Yao Ming might be out today too.
    Ok. You've talked me out of my lean towards Detroit to cover. I think this makes the under in that game even more attractive than it already was. So my two plays today are NY/NJ over and Det/Hou under. Haven't decided on Indiana to cover yet.

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