heat -2 on friday

lakerboy · 02-02-12 10:44 PM

Get on it. Books can't afford to hand out -3.5 so they don't get overexposed and will force sharps to take philly ml which will be around +113( not much value there).

Miami coming off a big loss in mil and philly coming off there biggest win of the year over the bulls. Miami will come in and play a complete game here and get the result necessary.

This might have rlm on it and go to -1.5 but I think -2 is fine.

I have 10 units on this.

djpremier36 · 02-02-12 10:49 PM

Looks good but the only thing that worries me is Wade's lackluster play lately.

02-02-12 10:50 PM

I agree with this play. Like Minnesota too for Friday/

Heat have covered last 4 games vs. Philly too.

02-02-12 10:51 PM

I honestly like the heat here too but I hate the fact that I do...I remember a point last year where I was betting the heat based off of the fact that they lost a couple games in a row, and they were "due" for a win...I want to say the heat will come into this game pissed off after last game, but so many times that angle has come back to bite me...I definitely think this game will come down to the wire...wont be a rout one way or the other as I expect this game to have a legit playoff atmosphere..that being said the 76ers are coming off a big time win but there is no doubt this is one of if not the best home team in the league...tough game to cap in my opinion

02-02-12 10:53 PM

heat have been known to string a couple losses together...ala last years 6 or 7 games losing streak when they dropped a bunch of games to legit teams, as well as this year dropping 3 straight on that road trip

innovation · 02-02-12 11:01 PM

One would think Philly would be favored here so the low line towards Miami doesn't bother me.

Its the Fact that teams like Yankees, Lakers, Miami are terrible ATS on fridays. This would be Miami 1st ATS win this year.
Not saying this isn't a good spot but just something I fade or avoid.

Good Luck

dlunc3 · 02-02-12 11:02 PM

I think you got this one right

lakerboy · 02-02-12 11:09 PM

A little concerned with some of the agreement here. Lol at " you got this one right" before game is played. Like I'm doing "bad in the nba".

dlunc3 · 02-02-12 11:18 PM

Hey when you are a documented 45% give or take bettor, more often then not, you are not getting them right... This one looks like a good one though

t-wizzle · 02-02-12 11:25 PM

Originally Posted by dlunc3

Hey when you are a documented 45% give or take bettor, more often then not, you are not getting them right... This one looks like a good one though

So you're not betting on philly?

dlunc3 · 02-02-12 11:27 PM

Originally Posted by t-wizzle

So you're not betting on philly?

No, I think he has this pick correct... I am on them -2 as well

lakerboy · 02-02-12 11:29 PM

Dlunc I rule the nba but I might have to buy out here. I am sure you would feel better if I did then you would have a 55% chance.

02-02-12 11:30 PM

Love this play, good position for Miami to win possibly by 20..

dlunc3 · 02-02-12 11:31 PM

I hope you do.. havent followed you enough to know... Never wanna see a guy lose his shirt though. Bol whatever side you chose

t-wizzle · 02-02-12 11:32 PM

Originally Posted by dlunc3

I hope you do.. havent followed you enough to know... Never wanna see a guy lose his shirt though. Bol whatever side you chose

Not so sure he would lose his shirt on this play. Not so sure he would lose anything actually.

lunchbawks · 02-02-12 11:34 PM

under is the play here.

dlunc3 · 02-02-12 11:36 PM

Originally Posted by t-wizzle

Not so sure he would lose his shirt on this play. Not so sure he would lose anything actually.

Was speaking in terms of his 45% on a whole... Hopefully he can kill NBA and turn that around

migz · 02-02-12 11:40 PM

why is it moving to -1.5?

02-02-12 11:42 PM

No thank you, Heat are in disarray for them at least, and the road against a pretty good team is not the time nor place to get it together.

lakerboy · 02-02-12 11:43 PM

Originally Posted by migz

why is it moving to -1.5?

I said that would happen.

HoulihansTX · 02-02-12 11:43 PM

When Philly opened +3.5. That was your chance.

BigDofBA · 02-02-12 11:46 PM

Originally Posted by lakerboy

I said that would happen.

Then why did you lock it in at -2?

lakerboy · 02-02-12 11:47 PM

Pinny is charging -116 on philly +2. LMAO. If you don't get this I can't help you.

lakerboy · 02-02-12 11:50 PM

Originally Posted by BigDofBA

Then why did you lock it in at -2?

Cause it won't matter. The original line will cover. Sharps getting all stupid here laying sick juice for a dead dog. Philly will fade in the second hf.

02-02-12 11:53 PM

Only thing that looks kinda good about this is the one day of rest for Miami, but Philly has had the same and you better bet they remember the earlier meeting in Miami as well as the playoffs, Wade doesnt look right, Bosh's legs look tired, King carrying too much of the load, Friday night, cant back the Heat here, Ill think a little more about it but as of now uh uh.

02-02-12 11:56 PM

This is the kind of game Miami can win by 20, so its worth every penny at only -2

Speedy88 · 02-02-12 11:57 PM

I don't know, I just don't trust the Heat on the road. These NBA teams play so hard when they play at home against the Heat. It is almost like their little game of fame. I love backing the Heat at home, especially in big games at home, but I just can't bet on them on the road. Teams at home play their best games of the year against the Heat.

And to be honest, DWade looks horrible. Looks like he lost some confidence and knows that LBJ is 100X better than him.

BigDofBA · 02-03-12 12:12 AM

I think the Heat cover here but I'm laughing my ass off at people that think they're going to win by 20.

The Heat aren't going to go on the road and beat one of the better teams in the East by 20. They couldn't even beat Milwaukee straight up.

As for the RLM, I agree that -2 or -1.5 isn't that big of a difference but if you were so sure the line was going to move like that, I don't know why you wouldn't just wait and take the extra half point.

GoBlue77 · 02-03-12 12:19 AM

i cant back the heat on the road...not when they get outscored by 20 in the 2nd half by the bucks. the bucks lol...

no play for me

02-03-12 12:21 AM

Originally Posted by BigDofBA

I think the Heat cover here but I'm laughing my ass off at people that think they're going to win by 20.

The Heat aren't going to go on the road and beat one of the better teams in the East by 20. They couldn't even beat Milwaukee straight up.

As for the RLM, I agree that -2 or -1.5 isn't that big of a difference but if you were so sure the line was going to move like that, I don't know why you wouldn't just wait and take the extra half point.

Keep laughing, youll see why youre wrong tomorrow

GoBlue77 · 02-03-12 12:26 AM

no chance in hell miami wins by double digits. NO CHANCE

PR9 · 02-03-12 12:26 AM

The Heat practiced at the 76ers training facility today, maybe the teams are already working together on the fix to make it look less obvious

http://www.sulia.com/channel/miami-h...source=twitter

BigDofBA · 02-03-12 12:27 AM

Originally Posted by The Special One

Keep laughing, youll see why youre wrong tomorrow

The Heat will not win by 20. Are you on drugs?

Speedy88 · 02-03-12 12:28 AM

Originally Posted by PR9

The Heat practiced at the 76ers training facility today, maybe the teams are already working together on the fix to make it look less obvious http://www.sulia.com/channel/miami-h...source=twitter

Lets ask the guy with the Heat avatar what he thinks about the game.

Hey PR9, what do you think about the Phili/Miami game tomorrow?

02-03-12 12:30 AM

Originally Posted by BigDofBA

The Heat will not win by 20. Are you on drugs?

No, but I might be after Miami wins by 15-20.. Cash on them then go party

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