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Old 02-11-09, 02:11 PM   #1
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Default Huge Early Money (Sharps) Plays

I WILL TRACK THIS TILL THE END OF THE YEAR. MOST BOOKS PUT LINES OUT AFTER THE SHARPS WAGER...A COUPLE BOOKS HAVE LINES OUT BEFORE THE SHARPS WAGER AS THEY ARE THE EARLY LINE MOVERS AND I BELIEVE THIS WILL HAVE A WIN RATE OF 70% OVER THE REST OF THE SEASON. BE AWARE THE PICKS WILL COME OUT THE DAY BEFORE THE GAMES...YOU MUST GET ON THEM EARLY. I KNOW NOBODY WILL FOLLOW UNTIL THEY SEE A WINNING RECORD BUT IT WILL COME.
PLEASE NO NEGATIVE COMMENTS, JUST FOLLOW AND MAKE MONEY. YESTERDAY THE PLAYS WERE 2-0 WITH OKLA CITY (+12) AND TORONTO (-2 )BUT I WONT COUNT THOSE TOWARDS THE OVERALL RECORD AS I DIDNT POST THEM ON THIS THREAD.
BE AWARE SOME COLLEGE PLAYS WONT BE OUT UNTIL CLOSER TO GAMETIME DUE TO SOME DAYS THERE ARE JUST TO MANY GAMES TO GET ALL THE EARLY ACTION I NEED TO MAKE A PLAY.

All lines from The Greek



Last edited by schaapattack; 02-15-09 at 03:48 AM.
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Old 02-11-09, 02:12 PM   #2
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Plays 02/11/2009

BOOKED PLAYS:

Utah PK WIN
LAC -4(buy to get on key number) PUSH

NBA 1-0-1
CBB 0-0

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-14-09 at 09:04 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 03:30 PM   #3
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Tomorrows plays will be out shortly. Like i said they will be posted as soon as the lines come out for tomorrow.
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Old 02-11-09, 03:46 PM   #4
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Opening lines for tomorrows NBA

Chicago -3.5 (197) vs Miami
Boston -4 (198.5) @ Dallas
Portland -1 (217) @ Golden state

Picks out within the hour if there is a play

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-11-09 at 03:53 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 03:52 PM   #5
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NBA Plays for 02/12/2009

Golden State -1.5 vs. Portland (early sharps money big time on GS as you can see by the opening line i posted above)

Hurry the line is moving as you can see in 6 minutes from my previous post the line moved 2.5

I will post more if there are any more plays.

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-11-09 at 04:27 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:11 PM   #6
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Good luck, how long u been doing this?
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Old 02-11-09, 04:12 PM   #7
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2 weeks..Now have 4 times my deposit

Warriors Line already -2...has moved 3 points already
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Old 02-11-09, 04:20 PM   #8
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gl to all
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Old 02-11-09, 04:23 PM   #9
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sucks, only have day of games. Want see tomorrows till tonight.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:26 PM   #10
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Thats because the book u have doesnt post its lines until after the sharps wager AND THEY ADJUST THEIR LINES accordingly

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-11-09 at 04:34 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:36 PM   #11
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this seems interesting. i used to try this technique, but using lines from pinnacle, and i found it didn't end up that profitable, also backtracked lots of games.

What i do now is the complete opposite of this to get the better number... and i'm finding that a bit more profitable at the moment, but i suspect it'll end up at 50% also.

I do agree with you though that the keys to winning in this business is using the line movements. handicapping the game itself and researching stats for hours is not the way to go.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:38 PM   #12
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1 play for Thursday 02/11/2009 as posted earlier in the thread.


Golden state Warriors (opening line +1) current line -3.5 vs. Portland

BOOKED PLAYS:

GOLDEN STATE -1.5 WIN

PORTLAND ON B2B PLAYING AT HOME TONIGHT, 02/10
WARRIORS AT HOME RESTING AFTER BLOWOUT OF KNICKS

INJURIES:

PORTLAND
LaMarcus Aldridge C Hip Probable
Steve Blake G shoulder Doubtful
Martell Webster G foot Out Indefinitely
Raef LaFrentz C shoulder Out For Year

GOLDEN STATE
NONE

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-14-09 at 09:04 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:41 PM   #13
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I will post any college basketball selections later if their are any to play.

I cant post the opening lines as there are to many to list but if there is a play i will post the play with the opening line and the current/booked line.

Last edited by schaapattack; 02-11-09 at 05:48 PM.
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Old 02-11-09, 04:53 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by schaapattack View Post
Plays 02/11/2009

Utah PK
LAC -4(buy to get on key number)

NBA 0-0
I never saw Utah as a pick out there. Lakers opened at -2.5 and are now -1 . Where did the game open as a pick?
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Old 02-11-09, 04:54 PM   #15
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Oh wait, nevermind, I just reread your first post. My bad.. sorry
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Old 02-11-09, 04:56 PM   #16
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No problem..as you can see it didnt open as a pick it moved to a pick.
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Old 02-11-09, 05:52 PM   #17
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College Basketball starting to post for tomorrow 02/12, stay tuned.
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Old 02-11-09, 07:36 PM   #18
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Ive decided to just post NBA for now. I will do NCAABB once the NBA goes to the all-star break.
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Old 02-11-09, 07:39 PM   #19
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i love it schaap - i'll be here every day to chat.
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Old 02-11-09, 07:54 PM   #20
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Cool Dex...tell CK i stole his blinking light! lol
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Old 02-11-09, 07:58 PM   #21
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Lots of big late money on the Clips
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Old 02-11-09, 08:36 PM   #22
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Warriors look like a cert tomorrow, regardless of how the Blazers play tonight.

$$$
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Old 02-11-09, 11:57 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Masu485 View Post
this seems interesting. i used to try this technique, but using lines from pinnacle, and i found it didn't end up that profitable, also backtracked lots of games.

What i do now is the complete opposite of this to get the better number... and i'm finding that a bit more profitable at the moment, but i suspect it'll end up at 50% also.

I do agree with you though that the keys to winning in this business is using the line movements. handicapping the game itself and researching stats for hours is not the way to go.

oh sorry... i didn't realize you were sticking to basketball with this. still seems interesting. a couple of questions though,

- do u find this method as profitable in the other sports as well? (hockey, baseball? etc...).

- why do you use the lines from the greek specifically. form what i understand bookmaker's lines come out even earlier. is there a reason, or are both books too similar in that respect for it to matter?

thanks
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Old 02-12-09, 12:14 AM   #24
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Quote:
Originally Posted by schaapattack View Post
1 play for Thursday 02/11/2009 as posted earlier in the thread.


Golden state Warriors (opening line +1.5) current line -2 vs. Portland

BOOKED PLAYS:

GOLDEN STATE -1.5

PORTLAND ON B2B PLAYING AT HOME TONIGHT, 02/10
WARRIORS AT HOME RESTING AFTER BLOWOUT OF KNICKS

INJURIES:

PORTLAND
LaMarcus Aldridge C Hip Probable
Steve Blake G shoulder Doubtful
Martell Webster G foot Out Indefinitely
Raef LaFrentz C shoulder Out For Year

GOLDEN STATE
NONE
Hey, I'm feeling ya on this one. Warriors spread at -2... I think I'll bet big. Last 3 home games against Portland were wins.
What about the All Star Game, will there be betting available? I'm thinking the WEST for sure.

Last edited by outkast1779; 02-12-09 at 12:43 AM.
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Old 02-12-09, 02:20 AM   #25
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nba 1-0-1
cbb 0-0
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Old 02-12-09, 02:50 AM   #26
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excellent thread...keep it up...added Golden St -1 myself...buying a pt...
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Old 02-12-09, 03:59 AM   #27
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JUMP on the Warriors BandWagon or Get Ran Over!!!

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Old 02-12-09, 08:39 AM   #28
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warriors / portland a RLM?
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Old 02-12-09, 09:05 AM   #29
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I'm with ya on Golden State, got them at -2 . Let's cash!
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Old 02-12-09, 09:31 AM   #30
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good job buying pts on that clipper play
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Old 02-12-09, 09:39 AM   #31
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what did i say last night schaap - the warriors at -2 was huge value...now its at -4. also, where did you get the opening line from? scoresandodds had gs -1

still gonna be a hammer job in oakland
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Old 02-12-09, 09:43 AM   #32
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Man i should have jumped on dallas when it opened at 4 its already down to +2.5
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Old 02-12-09, 09:58 AM   #33
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interesting stuff; thanks for the plays/ideas.
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Old 02-12-09, 10:04 AM   #34
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Dex, greek had gs +1 as soon as it hit the board. (see post 4) within 6 min it moved 2.5 points
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Old 02-12-09, 10:07 AM   #35
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Quote:
warriors / portland a RLM?
No as of now its not. The wagering is 50-50
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