[t-wizzle]

Anything is possible, but why not?

The regular season matchups mean nothing. Both offenses are weak, but Boston is statistically better in most important categories. Both defenses are great, but here again Boston is better. I don't think Philly has the mental toughness to beat Boston in Boston and would not be surprised to see Boston beat up on Philly in this first game just like the bulls did and would have continued to do had they not suffered injuries to their best players. Philly does not have a consistent scoring presence or team leadership like Boston. I think their mental weakness will be their undoing. I hope you are investing with your head and not your heart with this one. Good luck.

Completely agree regular season doesn't mean much. Each of those games were unique situations. But the sixers have given Boston problems for 5 years running now. Basketball-wise, their defensive energy makes things tough and Holiday makes things tough on Rondo.

But the 76ers are a young team riding on an emotional high right now and we've seen in the past how that often leads to the. underdog stealing game 1. Sharps pounded philly out of the gate so they are thinking thats what could very well happen here.

The big advantage for Boston here is there experience obviously. Late in games they play with a lot more poise. I think just about every game in this series comes down to the wire but that the Celtics pull most of them out. But you have to remember that with old teams things can turn bad quickly. Boston was very hot/cold this season because sometimes these older players just don't have that extra step they need.

GL though the rest of the way.

[zilchy]

Why play the side on this LTA? I'm with t-wizzle on this one, series will be tight and games too. So why the prediction on the first game? Didn't work out with Denver last round. Two side plays after that were bang on though. I'd rather take Denver ML today (and might do) than pick any side in this game. The under 170 looks much better to me.

DEN/LAL under looks great though.

[zilchy]

To be honest, however, I am really not concerned about this side play win or lose. I am watching the total and praying for a high scoring game. If this one goes over by 10 or more points, we are going to get a ton of value on the under in game 2 and I will come out swinging with a 5x play. As long as the over hits tonight, I will be happy....

Nice, now I kinda don't want my under 170 bet to win . BOL on the Celts play at any rate!

[GoggsViggs]

Play #2

Celtics (-5) 1x (Locked)

Good luck.

Yes, Bro. Yes. on the C's too tonight.

hope those philly boys didn't pop too many cristals and celebrate series win over bulls.

[dmitean]

Anything is possible, but why not?

The regular season matchups mean nothing. Both offenses are weak, but Boston is statistically better in most important categories. Both defenses are great, but here again Boston is better. I don't think Philly has the mental toughness to beat Boston in Boston and would not be surprised to see Boston beat up on Philly in this first game just like the bulls did and would have continued to do had they not suffered injuries to their best players. Philly does not have a consistent scoring presence or team leadership like Boston. I think their mental weakness will be their undoing. I hope you are investing with your head and not your heart with this one. Good luck.

I think that two biggest things going against Boston are the fact that Pierce looks very bad and his injury needs some rest and he won't get it.
Another thing is that Sixers made amazing win and I think that most people couldn't believe the way that game finished. If Collins will know how to use this momentum and carry it on to this game, Sixers can do some damage.
Also, historically it's known that first game of the series always biggest chance for an upset.
I'm hardly ever play anything in first games of the series and this one won't be any different.
Good luck to you if you play anything.

Under in Staples Center makes perfect sense, since I doubt Denver will score anything close to 95 points and Lakers won't score above 105+ points as well.
Should be 98 - 87 type of game or something close to it.
Kobe and Mike Brown talked mostly about defensive effort, Artest should bring some defense as well and Game 7 for young Nuggets can really turn in to massacre.

Good luck tonight!

[dmitean]

One last point I wanted to add against Boston bet and that is that experience can actually be against you on this one. Because they are so experienced, that leads them to being slightly cocky in my eyes. They won't be scared should Sixers win this one and will still be confident they will go to the next round.
Sixers on the other hand, been waiting for this moment for a very long time and should come really fired up because of their youthfulness as well.

Also, there also 5 points Boston need to cover, on top of winning and we have seen that out of the 3 games in Boston in 1st round, Boston won all 3, but covered only one.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not supporting Sixers play here.
I just don't see value on the Celtics and probably do lean slightly towards the Sixers.

Hope you win your Boston bet though!

[Les_Nuts]

LTA, do you know what is the highest number of points you have beaten the closer by this season? This one is at 193 juiced at -115 at Pinny with 1 hour till tipoff

[Les_Nuts]

^ forgot to say, excluding major injures announced after locking a play in

[Catchn_Picks]

LTA, do you know what is the highest number of points you have beaten the closer by this season? This one is at 193 juiced at -115 at Pinny with 1 hour till tipoff

Agreed Les...great beat of the street before it the under became fashionable.

[TC Woods]

Finally got a bet in, missed the initial LTA post... got U199 @ -105 on Live betting

[meyer0416]

good second quarter so far, lets get it, and go lakeshow!

[bradnowell]

o/u at half is 187

[TC Woods]

[yankeekansan]

Thanks LTA... great call on the UNDER

[JM92]

Great call LTA, felt the same as you 'bout the game, was my biggest play of the year so far (except for that bulls/sixers under). Great win

[JM92]

Can't believe I let the Clippers escape at + 8. You have any thoughts on that game? Seems like CP3 and Blake might not be that bad after all

[wolvereen]

Clips just can't score and they let the best chance to advance get by them. They can't feel good about that. I see double digits for the Griz.

[Les_Nuts]

Can't believe I let the Clippers escape at + 8. You have any thoughts on that game? Seems like CP3 and Blake might not be that bad after all

I see an easy win for Memphis, clips will really struggle to score 80 in this IMO. Respect your opinion, what's your angle on them? I'm on grizzlies -7 and teasing down Miami and Memphis in a parlay

[meader99]

I see an easy win for Memphis, clips will really struggle to score 80 in this IMO. Respect your opinion, what's your angle on them? I'm on grizzlies -7 and teasing down Miami and Memphis in a parlay

I really hope the Clips win because I think the Spurs handle them easily and we can make some money. However, a Grizz win and you have the Spurs revenge factor going, but I think Memphis matches up better with the Spurs.

[Les_Nuts]

I really hope the Clips win because I think the Spurs handle them easily and we can make some money. However, a Grizz win and you have the Spurs revenge factor going, but I think Memphis matches up better with the Spurs.

Clippers may get swept by the spurs but Memphis can arguably beat anyone in the west. I really expected Memphis to come out stronger in the 1st half, still plenty of time and the refs are on my side. I'm thinking about blindly playing every under in the playoffs, it's insane

[Redscot]

Never got a sniff at the 175 LTA, curious where you have this one set and how much value remains at 174.

[tom1234]

Never got a sniff at the 175 LTA, curious where you have this one set and how much value remains at 174.

Redscot, read LTA POST #10908

[jameski999]

Back up to 174.5 might get 175 by tip

[Redscot]

Redscot, read LTA POST #10908

Appreciate the intention Tom , but those familiar with LTA's plays know that he almost invariably posts where his model has the game set. If he has it set at 173 I would likely pass, but if it is 172 or lower I would consider the play.

[tom1234]

Appreciate the intention Tom , but those familiar with LTA's plays know that he almost invariably posts where his model has the game set. If he has it set at 173 I would likely pass, but if it is 172 or lower I would consider the play.

i see, thanks

[chief42]

Just hit 175 at 5 Dimes, it's at -105 on reduced juice. Gl tonight everyone.