View New Posts
12
  1. #1

    Formula 1 - Spa-Francorchamps

    After 5 weeks off finally an F1 Grand Prix this weekend.

    Really tough to know who to pick early I think.

    Red Bull smashed the field last year, but either a McLaren or a Ferrari have won the previous 10 events.

    Kimi Raikonen has won 4 of his last 5 starts here. 2 in a McLaren and 2 in a Ferrari. (in fact he has won every race he has ever finished here... 3 DNFs)

    From what I have read Lotus, McLaren and Sauber think this track suits them well.

    Button and Perez sound extra confident about their prospects.

    Rosberg very consistent here and has never had the car the other drivers with top 6 averages have enjoyed.

    One of the few tracks Webber has better stats than Vettel.

    Alonso and Button have both DNFed more than 50% of starts here.

    Perez put in a Q3 quali performance last year and is talking up his chances and the car's capacity this year.


    I'm just not sure which way to go amongst the 4 favorites yet. Think there might be some early value in one of these as a backup if we can pick out the right one though.

    Grosjean +1100
    Button +1250
    Webber +1300
    Schumacher +4000
    Rosberg +4000
    Perez +10000



    5D Odds

    Lewis Hamilton +300
    Sebastian Vettel +400
    Kimi Raikkonen +500
    Fernando Alonso +550
    Romain Grosjean +1100
    Jenson Button +1250
    Mark Webber +1300
    Michael Schumacher +4000
    Nico Rosberg +4000
    Felipe Massa +8500
    Pastor Maldonado +10000
    Sergio Perez +10000
    Kamui Kobayashi +10000
    Nico Hulkenberg +25000
    Bruno Senna +25000
    Paul di Resta +25000



    Last 10 race winners



    3rd column is number of starters and 5th column is winner starting position.


    Points Awarded:

    MatI gave Optional 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  2. #2

    F1 is back great

    Looking at the lotus apparently with the new double drs (drag reduction system) upgrades in place

    So kimi and grosjean early leans for me
    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/17/2013

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/15/2013

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/13/2013

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/16/2013


  3. #3

    A bit the same Shaun, but +500 for Kimi?
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  4. #4

    Will follow and take a stab at Kimi Thanks guys
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  5. #5

    I'm waiting for practice to bet any fave myself Vegas
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  6. #6

    I will keep an eye on your thoughts.

    Opti was super to see Briscoe win Indy race
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  7. #7

    kimi 6.6 at betfair grosjean 13.0
    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/17/2013

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/15/2013

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/13/2013

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/16/2013


  8. #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    I will keep an eye on your thoughts.

    Opti was super to see Briscoe win Indy race
    I was pleased with the Aussie one-two But had 6 units on Power, which tempered my joy for Ryan a tad.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  9. #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    I was pleased with the Aussie one-two But had 6 units on Power, which tempered my joy for Ryan a tad.

    went other way

    about damn time he won when I bet him
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  10. #10

    Sweet! Congrats.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  11. #11

    Suggest anyone with a 5D account jump on this one.

    8/31/12 4:00am Motor Racing Formula 1 -120 Belgian Grand Prix - Top 6 Finish - Mark Webber

    Just got off live chat with 5D and confirmed it's not a line error.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  12. #12

    Up to -140 but played it.

    Whats thoughts on retirement on first lap as yes +250
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  13. #13
    Dad
    2011 Adult Entertainer of the Year
    Dad's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-26-08
    Posts: 27,049
    SBR Points: 567
    Message Me

    Cant wait!


  14. #14
    Dad
    2011 Adult Entertainer of the Year
    Dad's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-26-08
    Posts: 27,049
    SBR Points: 567
    Message Me

    Good info you have posted so far, Optional.

  15. #15

    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    Up to -140 but played it.

    Whats thoughts on retirement on first lap as yes +250
    There has been one for the last 3 years in a row. But not the 3 years before that. Kind of a coin flip I think, so I guess +250 is good. MatI will probably have something useful to add about it.

    Personally I like the pole sitter not to lead first lap amongst those coin flip props. And is usually similar sort of odds or better.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  16. #16

    whats the safety car prop Opti
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  17. #17

    Can't fancy the safety car prop very unlikely at spa unless it rains
    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/17/2013

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/15/2013

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/13/2013

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/16/2013


  18. #18

    Looking at F1 props I wish they did first driver retirement for NASCAR
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  19. #19

    Can you imagine the problem with start n parkers betting on themselves?
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  20. #20

    Quote Originally Posted by shaunovery View Post
    Can't fancy the safety car prop very unlikely at spa unless it rains
    Hmm.. doesn't it always rain during any weekend at Spa?
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  21. #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    Can you imagine the problem with start n parkers betting on themselves?

    What a twist that would bring Robby Gordon back and instantly 2-3 more cautions a race
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  22. #22

    Quote Originally Posted by shaunovery View Post
    F1 is back great

    Looking at the lotus apparently with the new double drs (drag reduction system) upgrades in place

    So kimi and grosjean early leans for me
    Really like the Lotus boys as well with the new DRS system. It should be a big boost for them at Spa and Monza next week.

  23. #23

    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    There has been one for the last 3 years in a row. But not the 3 years before that. Kind of a coin flip I think, so I guess +250 is good. MatI will probably have something useful to add about it.
    I will dig up my SC stats in the next few minutes and post but I feel we have a race without Safety Car this weekend. Forecast is for a dry weekend too. Only real chance of rain at this stage is Friday practice.

  24. #24
    Dad
    2011 Adult Entertainer of the Year
    Dad's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-26-08
    Posts: 27,049
    SBR Points: 567
    Message Me

    My only bets so far.

    2 units on Hamilton +275
    1 unit on Vettel +400

  25. #25

    Good luck this weekend Dad
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/06/2013

    247pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/18/2013

    $15
    Charity
    donation 4/20/2013

    $25
    Charity
    donation 11/3/2012


  26. #26

    Ted Kravitz does not like Lotus chances as much as the rest of us.

    http://www1.skysports.com/formula-1/...kkonen-s-hopes

    He says cold weather and hard tyres won't be helpful.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  27. #27

    Wet P1 session.

    Interesting, maybe, Kobayashi was backed into favorite for fastest in session late on Betfair. Not a lot of money, but around $3.00 when Lewis was around $6.00.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  28. #28

    Kobayashi sets the first fast time. Does more laps than anyone else. Fights with Maldonado for P1 about halfway through session when both were going 2 seconds faster than the rest of the field. And ends up top of time sheets.

    There was some info out there. Or Kobay bet on himself!
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  29. #29
    Dad
    2011 Adult Entertainer of the Year
    Dad's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-26-08
    Posts: 27,049
    SBR Points: 567
    Message Me

    Quote Originally Posted by Vegas39 View Post
    Good luck this weekend Dad
    Same to you Vegas!

  30. #30

    Lotus won't be using the new double drs system as they could not test it in wet practice.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  31. #31

    5 place grid penalty for Webber for a gearbox change.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  32. #32

    WOW... Vettel misses Q3.

    Wishing I had bet on the two confident men right now. Button and Perez.

    Hamilton was too much wing on the car to take pole now I think.

    Button 1st, Perez 2nd, Kimi 3rd is my prediction right now. Will know in 10 mins.

    Mercs just awful. Rosberg out in Q1 and MS in Q2.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  33. #33

    Put 5 bucks each on Webber 75/1 and Vettel 40/1, just for interest.

    But still tossing up if I want to go Button or Alonso for my main bet.

    the -120 for a Webber top6 isn't looking so great now. Sorry Vegas, but I still think he can do it. RBR will try and do an alt strategy I guess, could end up anywhere.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 5/7/2013

    40pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY12th Place 5/17/2013

    250pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/10/2013

    600pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/2/2013

    60pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY11th Place 5/14/2013


  34. #34

    Only one bet for me.

    Kimi Podium @ 1.75

    I haven't been able to follow to closely, looks like it will be a great race.

  35. #35

    Already took kimi @5-1 so covering with button +135
    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/17/2013

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/15/2013

    110pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/13/2013

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/16/2013


12 Last
Top