NRL 2012 Record: 28 - 29NRL Friday
Have taken a 2 week layoff but am now back and ready to hopefully come away with a few winners from this week's NRL.
2* St George vs Melbourne UNDER 37.5 LOSS
We kick off the round with a team that's been winning games on the back of their defence against a side that was unstoppable early in the season and have quietly lost 4 of their past 5 games. The past 5 St George games have averaged 36 points and the past 5 Melbourne games have averaged 37.2 points so as you can see the 37.5 set by the bookmarkers is just about spot on. Melbourne welcome back Slater which will really help their attack which was only able to muster 10 points against the lowly eels. This game is equally important and crucial for both sides, Melbourne to stay in touch with the dogs at the top of the ladder and St George who are just 2 points out of the top 8 but have a poor differential. Hence, I see this game being a tough and tight battle and both teams should be desperate in defence. It's hard to back either sides with any real confidence so going with the UNDER in this one.
2* Sydney vs Gold Coast -2.5 WON
The Sydney roosters are pretty much out of finals contention and have nothing to play for really other than pride and they face a Gold Coast side that absolutely need to win this clash to stay in touch with the 8. Barring that dismal 55% completion rate against the warriors, the titans have actually been in decent form with back-to-back wins over in-form teams in Canberra and Brisbane. Sydney have been hit-and-miss as seen by their 14 pt win over the tigers but then a 38 point thrashing at the hands of manly and most recently a 12 point loss to the lowly panthers. Sydney might hang in there for a while but I expect a pretty full strength Gold Coast side to grind out the win and cover the short number.
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