NRL Season 2012 45-35 +13.18
Round 10 2-0
Great to start the weekend off with a few wins.. we grind on!
Warriors vs Roosters OVER 41.5 1x 1.98
Saw this going at 40.5 earlier but missed the window.. if you can get this total for less juice but OVER 40 or so then take it.
This game should finish around 44pts which doesn't give us much leeway, however the books have set this total high for a reason. The potential for many more points makes the OVER a play for me. The Warriors will be fired up for a win against the Roosters after being humiliated against them in Round 5. Steve Lyons the ref also loves blowing penalties and should help both teams make some easy metres.
Last time the total hit 34 without the Warriors ever looking like winning, this time around they should be much better. NZ goal kicking has been spot on and both teams have a backline that can lay on some easy points.
I'm rolling with this one for 1x at 1.98 but if you can find better lock it in
Knights vs Cowboys UNDER 38.5 1x 1.98
Laying on another play against the public money tonight. Knights are heavily favoured to take a belting from the Cowboys and the OVER play is being juiced at my book. Looking purely at stats and models this game barely hits 34pts which makes it a play based on that alone. However, add in missing Knights strike power like Buderus, Edwards, Gidley etc.. and we've got a team that will struggle to score any points.
Tonight we should see the Knights in 100% defense mode to try and shut down a full strength Cowboys side. It happened last week when they kept the Roosters scoreless in the first half and we hit the UNDER. A low scoring game will be the only thing keeping the Knights in this match and they will be desperate to stop any leaking points.
Rolling with this one for 1x at 1.98. Have seen it elsewhere for U40.5 at 1.90.. but confident to grab it at U38.5 for more juice.