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Old 08-08-2008, 08:22 PM   #1
picantel
 
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Default here comes my nights play

Mohawk race 7
#4 Thinkative(12/1 ML)

Nothing stands out. He is improving a teeny bit each week. This is more of a long long longshot hunch than anythng else. 40/40 only on him for fun.

10 mtp
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Old 08-08-2008, 08:32 PM   #2
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wtf. they bet him down to 6/1 with 1 mtp/ shit
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Old 08-08-2008, 08:37 PM   #3
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Came in 2nd. Had no chance after the fave ran a slow 57:4 half. nobody coulda closed into that. His cover also died off but he still closed very strong. any faster fractions and he wins. Went off 8/1 but with 40/40 I should still make a profit.
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Old 08-08-2008, 10:48 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by picantel View Post
wtf. they bet him down to 6/1 with 1 mtp/ shit
Your posts make for some entertaining reading, You use traditional methods of handicapping in the parimutuel world do you think your the only one to see the things mentioned in your post above you aren't really taking anything else into account except for things every other player sees so of course these choices will some times be bet down. 6/1 still isn't that bad for all the positives you listed I sure would've taken it no sense complaining
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Old 08-08-2008, 11:00 PM   #5
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I use stuff that I see. I use youbet to put little notes on horses if I see something that catches my eye. I use driver changes and especially early and late money. On mohawk tonight a horse had a ML of 20/1. He went off 5/2 and won by about 8 lengths. Obviously either the capper who sets the ML is retarded or somebody knew something was up because the hit came in early and big. I am really good at picking horses. I ****ing suck at betting them and that has always hurt me. I think I still post some pretty good picks on this forum with a writeup and not just numbers like others which mean nothing.
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