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Old 05-11-08, 05:50 PM   #1
Big_Cheese
 
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Default Big Brown Question

I have a bet on my site:

Will Big Brown win the Triple Crown ? no (-120) yes (-110)

This seems too good to be true. Im not big on Horse racing but I am fully aware it has been a very long time since a horse has won it.... I need some feedback thx....
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Old 05-11-08, 10:01 PM   #2
gambleonclaimers
 
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It will be hard for him to win all three races that is for sure but I wouldn't take either of these bets unless they were plus money. I think his biggest test won't come until the Belmont so I wouldn't take either of these unless it was plus money. It is pretty much a toss up at those odds but if you look back at other triple crown contenders of recent past you have to ask yourself is Big Brown that much better than his respective 3yr old counters parts and if he is how much better is he? Also is the question can he stay healthy enough? If I had to choose I would go with NO at -120
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Old 05-12-08, 10:46 AM   #3
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I think he wins Preakness anyway he wants (on the lead,stalking)The Belmont he should have no problem the way he looked after the Derby (not sweating,no sign of wear or tiredness)and looked like he can run all day.His 3yr old counters looked weak in the Derby and I know every one will be looking for Casino Drive in the Belmont however his win in the Peter Pan was not that impressive.
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Old 05-12-08, 03:12 PM   #4
thezbar
 
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I would say yes but the price is too cheap. He will be short odds in the preakness so you could play this prop hoping to win the preakness then hedge some with the contentors in the Belmont. Some risk there but a way to get a better price in the Preakness.
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Old 05-13-08, 06:10 PM   #5
Ouzo Tower
 
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Default The odds are not right

Big Brown has had a history of hoof problems. That is why he only raced three times prior to the Derby.

He should be at least +150 to win the two races.

In case you haven't heard their is a new gun in town: Casino Drive. He is from the same dam as the last two Belmont winners plus he just ran a great race over this past weekend.

I'd like to see a triple crown winner but this will not be an easy feat.
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Old 05-13-08, 09:36 PM   #6
flyingillini
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ouzo Tower View Post
Big Brown has had a history of hoof problems. That is why he only raced three times prior to the Derby.

He should be at least +150 to win the two races.

In case you haven't heard their is a new gun in town: Casino Drive. He is from the same dam as the last two Belmont winners plus he just ran a great race over this past weekend.

I'd like to see a triple crown winner but this will not be an easy feat.
I agree I don't think it is going to happen.
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