11-28-08, 11:48 PM
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#1
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San Jose
I realize that this will sound rather foolish and that the sharks are on a 6 game win streak, but is it really dumb to take them from here on out, assuming no injuries?
The hockey lines never seem to get as bad as baseball where you can have -300 or -400 with CC or something. So you can't lose too much of our gains when they lose a game.
So far this year they are
18-4 and with covers closing line you would be at 12.01 units.
I can see how books should notice this and make lines steeper, but so long as they don't pass -300 and the sharks have 100+ wins where could I go wrong? Is this a -eV bet?
Sorry for the random questions, but I'm still learning and would love to hear some input.
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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11-29-08, 03:39 PM
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#2
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Sj -160
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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11-29-08, 03:45 PM
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#3
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GL, don't mind the W streak
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11-29-08, 04:32 PM
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#4
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..
Boucher is starting for the sharks and Tellquist for the COY's and phoniex plays well at home
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11-29-08, 04:50 PM
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#5
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Blindly betting any team is never a good idea. I guess if you plan on doing this, the Sharks might be the team and now might be the time. However keep in mind that their schedule travel wise has been pretty good thus far, they have only played 3 times in 4 nights once this season (with tonight being the second time), and that historically as the season goes on teams that get off to this type of start never keep up the pace while the lines tend to skew towards them. The Sharks also tend to start strong and falter down the line, usually in the playoffs but nevertheless it happens. I'd be more inclined to pick your spots with them than chase them every game.
__________________
Hartford Whalers
1972-1997
Long Live the Whale
2006 Stanley Cup Champions
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11-29-08, 07:41 PM
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#6
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On SJ. Gl to us!
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11-29-08, 08:22 PM
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#7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cobra_king
Blindly betting any team is never a good idea. I guess if you plan on doing this, the Sharks might be the team and now might be the time. However keep in mind that their schedule travel wise has been pretty good thus far, they have only played 3 times in 4 nights once this season (with tonight being the second time), and that historically as the season goes on teams that get off to this type of start never keep up the pace while the lines tend to skew towards them. The Sharks also tend to start strong and falter down the line, usually in the playoffs but nevertheless it happens. I'd be more inclined to pick your spots with them than chase them every game.
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Thanks cobra_king I appreciate your insight. I'll just track in this thread for fun and to prevent me from booking it with cash.
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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11-29-08, 11:31 PM
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#8
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SJ down 2-0 and come back to win 3-2 in regulation ... this team is good and lucky ... i was worried about my SJ -0.5 regulation pick after PHX scored those first 2 goals, especially after PHX had beaten the sharks 4-2 in their last meeting 3 weeks ago ...
the sharks are the real deal and the books are really gonna be adding even more chalk on them ... the best thing to do is either put them in a parlay or take the -0.5 regulation line to reduce the juice ...
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12-02-08, 05:31 PM
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#9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeFall
Sj -160
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1-0 +100
SJ -280 (5dimes)
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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12-02-08, 05:40 PM
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#10
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i wouldn't take them tonight!
they're on a 7 wins streak and just 2 games before that they had another 7w streak.
I mean c'mon let's be serious, this's gotta stop.
and if -280 is not so bad for you, then go for it.
toskala starting against nabokov
p.s. nabokov's on a 8game winning streak!
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12-02-08, 05:59 PM
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#11
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Just my two cents: I've noticed when a line favors a team by nearly double or more they tend to struggle and/or lose. You have to consider the Leafs will bring their A game against SJ because of who they are.
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12-04-08, 12:41 PM
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#12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeFall
1-0 +100
SJ -280 (5dimes)
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2-0 +200
SJ -280 (5dimes)
didnt think the lines would get this steep, but I'd like to see how this maps out over the year.
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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12-04-08, 01:02 PM
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#13
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well, i think tonight might be a good one to bet against SJ...just a thought.
i got mine in +298 for columbus
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12-04-08, 01:05 PM
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#14
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Why you liking the blue jackets? Sharks are a great team and the Jackets gave the game to the leafs a few nights ago, that makes me think SJ will have there way with them.
Probably still staying away from this one though..
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12-04-08, 01:08 PM
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#15
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freefall,
i think it's very interesting to see how taking SJ for the year will end up..!?
my opinion is they had a fantastic start! equaling the habs best start season in the 70's. i think SJ have amazing team chemistry but at some point they remain human, and this remains hockey! i'm thiking of betting against them a little from now on..
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12-04-08, 01:10 PM
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#16
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I like them because I feel that they are in the same division, blue jackets play teams tight when they are big time underdogs, and they outshot SJ 33 to 25 in SJ last time they played. that was my thinking behind it...
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12-04-08, 01:12 PM
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#17
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And they are at home tonight and have almost been unbeatable there
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12-04-08, 01:23 PM
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#18
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it's definitely a gustsy play  |
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12-04-08, 02:55 PM
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#19
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Steve Mason has been playing some sick hockey for CBJ you never know, I could see them pulling it off in OT or something tonight.
__________________
NHL Overall 39-25-1 (60.94%) +$1163.44
http://dennisgreen.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet
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12-06-08, 04:44 PM
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#20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeFall
2-0 +200
SJ -280 (5dimes)
didnt think the lines would get this steep, but I'd like to see how this maps out over the year.
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3-0 +300
SJ -275 (5dimes)
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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12-13-08, 03:32 AM
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#21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeFall
3-0 +300
SJ -275 (5dimes)
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4-1 +25
SJ -350
These lines are getting chalkier by the game. But time will tell.
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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12-15-08, 01:53 PM
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#22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FreeFall
4-1 +25
SJ -350
These lines are getting chalkier by the game. But time will tell.
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5-1 +125
SJ -180 (5dimes)
__________________
"If I could stand in an open airplane doorway two-and-a-half miles above the ground and will myself to step into empty space, then I could do anything." -DAVE STEIN
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