[diogee]

Migrating my thread over here for randomly tracking my non-knowledge of the nhl.

I know nothing about the nhl except how to get buried.
I am simple and don't follow, watch, or look at any stats for the nhl. Bringing over updated record once other site is back up.


Hate overs.

Wings/Pred over 5.5 +112
Isle/Leaf over 6 +105
Blue/Bruin over 5 -119
Yote/Oils over 5.5 +103

[diogee]

Even yesterday.

by method:
15-24 c line move against 80%: 1-0 +1.49
25+ cent line move against 80%+: 1-0 +1.85
30+ cent line move against 60%+: 0-2 -2.00
20-29 cent line move against 60%+ 1-1 +.37
20-29 cent line move against 70%+ 2-2 +1.85
10+ cent line move against 70%+: 1-2 -.47
Random barking dogs 0-3 -3.00

overall 6-10 +.09



Totals

Overs after 3 game under streak 21-17-3 +5.63
Overs after 4 game under streak 6-10 -4.11
Overs after 5 game under streak 7-6 +1.49
Overs after 6 game under streak 2-4 -1.83

Overs: 36-37-3 +1.18

Unders after 3 game over streak 17-3 +14.65
Unders after 4 game over streak 8-1 +7.20
Unders after 5 game over streak 1-0 +1.09

Unders: 26-4 +22.94

totals overall 62-41-3 +24.12

[diogee]

Canadians (4u)/Jackets over 5.5 +110

[iceminers26]

for not knowing anything about the NHL, I see a lot of +

[diogee]

Thanks iceminer...I'm simple in my approach and it has worked last year as well as this year so far. I can name a couple players like Ovie and Crosby but that's about it.

[diogee]

1-0 +1.1

sides overall 6-10 +.09
Overs: 37-37-3 +2.28
Unders: 26-4 +22.94

overall 69-51-3 +25.31

[diogee]

Sens (3o)/Devil under 5 +115
Panther (3u)/Ranger over 5.5 +111
Wing (4u)/Thrash over 6 -110
Avs (3o)/Preds under 5.5 -125
Yote (5u1p)/Flame over 5.5 +115

[hels]

I know a system is a system and it must be followed but looking at the Sens/Devils past 10 games vs each other, not one game has had less than 5 goals scored.

Looking at either teams past 5 games, the Sens last 4 games have had 5 goals + and only 5 games ago were only 3 goals scored. The Devils last 5 games have had 5+ goals in each.

With all of this said, how is the OU at 5?????

edit/extra info. 6 of the last 8 games have gone Under between the 2 teams (all having 5 goals scored) so this is begging for a push if trends continue

[diogee]

Good stuff hels...would actually like to be able to look at those things someday but way too busy this time of the year with hoops and football both going.


nice 1-4 day yesterday...


Jacket (3o)/Sen under 5.5 +113


Happy Thanksgiving.

[diogee]

Pen (3u)/Isle over 5.5 -119
Duck (3u)/Hawk over 5.5 -110
Avs (4o)/Wild (3u) under 5.5 -120
Canes (3u)/Thrash over 6 -105
Wing (5u)/Flame over 5.5 -105
Panther (4u)/Leaf over 6 +105
Yote (6u)/Star over 5 -130

[diogee]

3-4 ...update tomorrow night. -3ish units over the last few days.


Flame (3u)/Jacket over 5.5 +108
Pen (4u)/Ranger over 5.5 -103
Wing (6u)/Blue over 5.5 +120
Light (3o)/Star under 5.5 -101
Av (5o)/Wild under 5.5 -122

[diogee]

Duck (4u)/Yote over 5.5 +126

[diogee]

Sides 6-10 +.09

Overs: 44-44-3 +2.27
Unders: 29-7 +22.76

overall 79-61-3 +25.12



Leaf (3o)/Sabre under 6 -105
Lightn (4o)/Avs under 5.5 -108
Star (3O)/Wing under 5.5 +100

[diogee]

Sides 6-10 +.09
Overs: 44-44-3 +2.27
Unders: 32-7 +25.76

overall 82-61-3 +28.12

[diogee]

Shark /Sens under 5.5 +100
King/Duck over 5.5 +112 2u

[diogee]

Nuck/Fly under 5.5 +103
Panth/Cap under 5.5 +120
Jacket/Leaf under 6 +112
Shark/Blue under 5.5 -110

[diogee]

split out last time

Panther/Thrash under 6 +101
Jacket/Av under 5.5 +115
Rangers/Sabre under 5.5 -115
Sen/Yote under 5.5 -125

[diogee]

4-0 last time out...update later tonight.

Devil/Sabre under 5 +117
Wild/Yote under 5 +118
King/Flame under 5.5 -112

[diogee]

3-0 tonight.

Sides: 6-10 +.09

Overs: 46-44-3 +4.51
Unders: 41-10 +32.30
Totals overall 87-54-3 +36.81

[diogee]

Star/Duck over 5.5 +105

[diogee]

Sides: 6-10 +.09

Overs: 47-44-3 +5.56
Unders: 41-10 +32.30
Totals overall 88-54-3 +37.86

[incomeraise]

hey diogee i like what i am seeing here, did u do just as good last season, and also please do u remember how many units u got from last season..
I am asking all thse questions because i am thinking about tailing you.

[diogee]

For last year my spreadsheet shows Net: 40.47u Win Percentage 55.51% | 126-101-8 for totals but some of those units were from mini 1-3 game chases. From mid Feb-early April I was documenting on another site and was 76-59-3 +20.03units with 1unit per game. Like anything else there are rough stretches (early Feb was a bad one for me) and win % will drop a bit by the end of the year.

[incomeraise]

For last year my spreadsheet shows Net: 40.47u Win Percentage 55.51% | 126-101-8 for totals but some of those units were from mini 1-3 game chases. From mid Feb-early April I was documenting on another site and was 76-59-3 +20.03units with 1unit per game. Like anything else there are rough stretches (early Feb was a bad one for me) and win % will drop a bit by the end of the year.

ok thanks.

u already at 37+ units which is really good, and also pretty much 3 units close from last year profit already.so i understand u saying that like anything else there are rough stretches, so i was wondering if there was still lot of profits left to make with the system.(i am sure u dont know because u can't predict the future) but i am just hoping i am not 2 late to join the party.

[diogee]

I do believe there is still profit to be made...just a hair over 50% profits with most of the lines being available at + money. I can't see myself getting hurt too bad if it doesn't but I pretty much stay with a base unit size throughout the year.

[diogee]

Oil/Lightning over 5.5 -103
Flame/Thrash over 6 +100
Leaf/Isle under 6 +105

[incomeraise]

thanks, well me tailing u is starting today!
best of luck to us then!!

[diogee]

1-2 losing day yesterday.

Yotes overs are the scariest of all overs being a massive under trending team

Bruins/Leafs under 6 -105
Pens/Canadian over 5.5 +103
Yotes/Kings over 5.5 +115

[Phillth]

what is the rationale for the bruins/leafs under?

[diogee]

Systematic Phillth...a lot of the plays go against normal rational and are a bit contrarian.





Bad 0-3 night with 4 in the 3rd and going over with :11 left empty netter.

[diogee]

Bad last 2 days...hopefully it turns back around tonight. Too many overs is a bit scary.

Panther (3u)/Devil over 5 -132
Hawk (3u)/Sabre (3u) over 5.5 +110 2u
Duck (3o)/Wing under 5.5 -110
Oiler (4u)/Blues over 5.5 +111
Flames (4u)/Wild over 5 -125
Lightning (4u2p)/Avs (4u) over 5.5 +120 2u

[BossE]

Goodluck Dio best of luck.

[diogee]

Need a winning day...lot of overs again.

Canadian/Thrash over 6 +115
Sabre /Ranger over 5.5 +1252u
Bruin /Isle under 5.5 -120
Pens /Panther over 5.5 -110
Preds /Wings under 5.5 -123 (personal preferance play...should pass)
Yotes/Sharks over 5.5 +130
Wild /Nuck over 5.5 +115

[diogee]

4 under machines...

Light (5u2p)/Hawk (4u) over 5.5 +120
Flames (5u)/Av (5u) over 5.5 +130