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  1. #1

    Default I think I am done with Over/Unders!

    Anyone else agree they are too unpredictable? I know its easy to say now after going 0 for 2 Tonight in O/U , and hitting both games that I laid chalk on. But it just seems to me that its a hell of a lot easier to pick a winner and lay some loot than pick the over unders. They seem like a crap shoot. Thoughts????

  2. #2

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    I don't see any surprise tonight

    Rangers = Never bet Under

    Islanders
    = Never bet Over

    Wild = Never bet Over

  3. #3
    DennisGreen's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-27-08
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    Sorry buddy I got mucked in the over/unders tonight. I find I usually get burned with ML bets because of all the juice. I find better value in over/under usually, but hey everyone has a different preference. Just stick to whatever you find suits your style the most
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  4. #4

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    its always a crap shoot everything ends up very close to the 50% mark. over and under.

  5. #5

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    I bet way, way, more totals in NHL than I do ML, for the reason DG stated - it can be harder to find value on the ML with the juice you are paying at times.

  6. #6

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    Yeah I´m done with them now. Just going to play underrated underdogs...

  7. #7

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    instead of laying juice on ML i usually just buy the -1 usually goes from for example -190 to -115 or some shit like that. anyhow yeah i hate o/u!

  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by DennisGreen View Post
    Sorry buddy I got mucked in the over/unders tonight. I find I usually get burned with ML bets because of all the juice. I find better value in over/under usually, but hey everyone has a different preference. Just stick to whatever you find suits your style the most
    Hey DG, just to clarify, my post wasnt directed towards you, I actually played one of yours (NYI,MTL which i actually liked a lot, too) and the other one was the under in the ANA/TOR. I was a little boozed, too, when I posted. (Booze and betting are not a good combo) HA!

    Was just frustrated laying 350 on the Rangers/Canadiens ML and then to lose 120 on the O/U's that I played, Neither one seemed to have a chance.

    I will continue tailing you since I am definitely up more than I am down when doing so.


  9. #9

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    I struggle on football O/U every time I bet 1 its the wrong Fricking side!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  10. #10

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    Playing Totals is tricky because they're much less intuitive than sides, and they require a lot more homework / number crunching. With the game log data from NHL.com and a couple of hours in Excel, you can model the totals decently. Once you see all the teams' game totals compiled and compared under different criteria, you get a much better feel for which way to lean on each matchup. The simple O-U stats available on a lot of sites don't give you a complete picture.

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