Specifically goalie pulls with 3 mins or less left in large deficit elimination games, like tonight.
By chance, I was looking at the box score for last year's gm7 BOs/Van, and saw there was an empty netter 3 mins left Bos leading 3-0. Typically a goalie is pulled at about 90 seconds(?). Pulling at least 3 mins is obviously a far bigger window for an empty netter
So tonight with the score 4-1 8 mins left, live was O5.5 -150. PL -3.5 was +135, but with 8 mins left, I took Over instead, looking for a Devils score or the early pull and empty netter. The EN was with 3:45 left. I go back on DVR and Brodeur was pulled with 4:02 left.
ESPN play-by-play does not say when goalies are pulled, making it difficult to tell how standard the early pull is looking at past results. If I knew for sure of the early pull, I'd have gone bigger.
This can be a big adv in the future that a lot of books will have no clue about (pinnacle had no lines at the time). Very clear the chances of 1 more goal with 8 mins left tonight were far > -150, assuming the early pull is coming
Could be a nice live system to use in elimination games with at least a 3 goal differential. If there's commercial for a live chance with about 4-5 mins left, the play would be the +money PL on the leading team. If it's earlier, like 8-12 mins, take the Over.
So, more savvy Hockey bettors, can you confirm the early pull in these games is definite?
Edit: I'm not overly familiar with the tendencies in exact situations that could result in different decisions. If it were only game 3, would there be a pull down 3-0? Is the white flag thrown in a 5-0 type game and the pull isn't bothered with? Would the ideal be a 2 or 3 goal deficit in an elimination game?