[muldoon]

(0-0 YTD)

Finally have my NHL database built and up to date, so hopefully I can find some angles of value

San Jose @ Winnipeg (8:30PM ET)
Both teams are around .500 for over/under 1.5 in the first period this year (SJ is 19-20 and WPG is 22-20)
San Jose has gone under 13 of their 16 road games this season and WPG has gone under at home 3 games in a row at home (and 6 of their last 10 overall)

$105 to win $100 at Pinnacle on the first period UNDER 1.5

[muldoon]

(1-0 YTD +$100)

01/13
9:30PM ET Anaheim @ Edmonton
Anaheim has gone under 1.5 in the first period 5 games in a row, and 8 of their last 10.
Edmonton has gone under in the first period 3 straight overall & 4 of their last 5 overall

$108 to win $100 at Pinnacle on the first period UNDER 1.5

[boondoggle]

I tailed last night and today. Thanks.

[muldoon]

(2-0 YTD +$200)

01/14
8:00pm ET Philadelphia @ Nashville
Flyers are 24-18 over 1.5 in the first period overall this year, and 14-10 over 1.5 on the road.
Nashville has gone over 1.5 in the first period 5 games in a row overall, 4 of their last 5 at home, and are on an 8-2 first period over 1.5 run.

$103 to win $100 at Pinnacle on the first period OVER 1.5 goals

[Robo9]

Keep up the good work. I enjoy the 1st period plays over and done with quick, and a chance to earn more at the intermission

(2-0 YTD +$200)

01/14
8:00pm ET Philadelphia @ Nashville
Flyers are 24-18 over 1.5 in the first period overall this year, and 14-10 over 1.5 on the road.
Nashville has gone over 1.5 in the first period 5 games in a row overall, 4 of their last 5 at home, and are on an 8-2 first period over 1.5 run.

$103 to win $100 at Pinnacle on the first period OVER 1.5 goals

[muldoon]

I won't get into too much commentary after a win or loss since I strongly believe that emotion is one of the big factors that prevents people from betting disciplined (they start second guessing themselves, chasing etc). With that being said, the NHL must have tweaked the interpretation of the "kicking motion" rule as the disallowed goal in the 1st period yesterday would have been called a goal as recently as last season imo. Either way, there were more than enough chances and the numbers were there, that I'd make the same bet every time the situation came up.

I looked at San Jose under 1.5 yesterday, as their first period road under has been pretty damn impressive so far this year. But with Columbus being one of the few solid "over" teams in the first period, I stayed away. Similar with the Leafs/Rangers. I was looking at the 1st period over as Toronto went into the game 6 over and 1 under in game 2 of back-to-backs, but the Rangers went into the game 28-13 Under in the first period this year, so again, I stayed off the game as I kind of had the 2 wash out.

With all that being said, 10 of the 11 games yesterday went under in the first period - so I'm going to take a look at previous Saturday and big card days to see if there's anything that jumps off the page numbers wise.

(2-1 YTD +$97)

01/15
7:00pm ET San Jose @ Chicago
Sharks have gone under 1.5 in the first period in 15 of their 18 road games (83.3%)
Chicago has gone under 1.5 in the first period in 60% of their home games (15-10) & 7 of their last 10 at home.
Both previous meetings this year (Nov 23 & Dec 11) went under 1.5 in the first period. (0-0 and 1-0)

$102 to win $100 at Pinnacle on the first period UNDER 1.5 goals

[boondoggle]

Tough lost yesterday. Any picks today?

[Legero]

LOL! I love these picks! Yesterday was a lame loss though, I thought we nailed it and got up to take a leak with 2 minutes left in the period, I came back, looked at the score and nearly soiled my trousers!

I am looking forward to the next pick, I really appreciate the effort you put in!

[muldoon]

(2-2 YTD -$5)

$121 to win $100 (Pinnacle)
Winnipeg/New Jersey UNDER 1.5 Goals First Period
Winnipeg has gone under 8 of their last 10 in the first period, and NJ has gone under 3 in a row and 65% of all their home games this year.

$106 to win $100 (Pinnacle)
Boston/Tampa OVER 1.5 Goals First period
Boston has gone over 1.5 in 3 straight and 7 of their last 10 overall.
Tampa has gone over 1.5 in 8 of their last 10 overall.

$100 to win $107 (Pinnacle)
Calgary/San Jose OVER 1.5 Goals First Period
San Jose has gone over 1.5 in 16 of their 23 at home, and 7 of their last 10 at home.
Calgary has gone over 1.5 in 2 of their last 3 road games, and 3 of their last 5 on the road.

[boondoggle]

thanks!

[muldoon]

Couple games that I won't bet because of the chalk or the opposing team doesn't matchup for numbers, but if you're looking for some trends.

NY Rangers have gone under 1.5 in 29 of their 43 games overall and 15 of their 19 at home.
LA Kings have gone under 1.5 in 7 of their last 10 on the road, and 14 of their 20 roads games so far this year.

[boondoggle]

I think your plays are the best due to the schedule and chalk tonight.

[nyplayer33]

great info, hope this trend continues

[muldoon]

I think your plays are the best due to the schedule and chalk tonight.

Hope so. The SJ/Chi loss was a bit a burn - but the season is filled with those. So while I'm hoping for 3-0 tonight, I won't go awol if the picks go 0-3.

GL tonight.

[muldoon]

(3-4 YTD -$112)

$137 to win $100 (Pinnacle)
Pittsburgh/NY Rangers 1st Period UNDER 1.5 Goals
As a road team, Pittsburgh has gone under 1.5 16 of 24 this year, an 7 of their last 10
As a home team, the Rangers are 80% under 1.5 goals (16-4) and have gone under 8 of their last 10 home games.

$127 to win $100 (Pinnacle)
Boston/New Jersey 1st Period UNDER 1.5 Goals
Boston has gone under in the first period 3 straight, and 4 of their last 5.
NJ has gone under in the first period in 14 of their 21 home games, and 3 in a row (4 of 5) heading into tonight

$121 to win $100 (Pinnacle)
Buffalo/Winnipeg 1st Period UNDER 1.5 Goals
Buffalo has gone under 1.5 in the first period in 15 of their 22 Road games, an 7 of their last 10 on the road
Winnipeg has gone under 1.5 in the first period 5 home games in a row, 8 of 10 overall, and 3 of their last 10 at home.

$100 to win $105 (Pinnacle)
Detroit/Phoenix 1st Period OVER 1.5 Goals
Detroit has gone over 1.5 in the first period 3 games in a row and 8 of their last 10 (4 of their last 5 on the road)
Phoenix has gone over 1.5 in the first period 3 games in a row, 4 of their last 5, 7 of their last 10 overall (4-1 last 5 at home)

[boondoggle]

3-1 is fine..as the 1 that lost was only $100 so $$$$$$$ for the night. Keep up the good work!

[csavoia]

nice picks today muldoon detroit first period should have gone over. it was the right pick many chances on both sides.

[muldoon]

Those 2 posts by Detroit haunted me for a while..but 4 team parlays aren't supposed to be easy I guess.

With that being said - I should have lost the WPG first period under if not for this insane save (assuming the other goal occurred as it had.)

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...&v=oTt-Cex63go

[FreddDS]

I've been following closely since you started this thread. Loving the stats write-up with picks, keep it up muldoon!

Any picks for tonight?

[muldoon]

(6-5 YTD +$92)

Washington/Carolina UNDER 1.5 Goals First Period ($114 to win $100 at Pinnacle)

Washington has gone under 1.5 in the first period 7 of their last 10 overall and 6 of their last 10 on the road.
Carolina has gone under 1.5 in the first period in 17 of their 25 home games (68%), 3 in a row at home, 4 of L5 at home, and 7 of their last 10 at home.
All 3 previous meetings this season went under 1.5 in the first period.

[muldoon]

(7-5 YTD +$192)

01/22
Colorado/Anaheim UNDER 1.5 Goals 1st Period ($106 to win $100 at Pinnacle)

Avalanche have gone under 1.5 in 60% of all their games this year, in 14 of their 24 on the road, in 2 of their last 3 and 6 of their last 10 on the road.
Anaheim has gone under 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 overall, 8 of their last 10 overall, 4 of their last 5 at home, and 7 of their last 10 at home.
Both previous meetings (Dec 31 & Jan 12) went under 1.5

[Legero]

Great pick!

[muldoon]

Great pick!

Thank you.

That early short handed goal didn't make it easy - but they came through.

[muldoon]

(8-5 YTD +$292)

1/23
Winnipeg/Carolina Under 1.5 Goals First Period ($114 to win $100 Pinnacle)

Winnipeg has gone under 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 overall (4 of L5 on the road as well), and 7 of their last 10 overall
Carolina has gone under 1.5 in 18 of 26 at home, 3 in a row at home, 4 of L5 at home and 7 of their last 10 at home.

[muldoon]

(8-6 YTD +$178)


1/24 Boston @ Washington
(Betting Under 1.5 Goals First period $115 to win $100 Pinnacle)
Boston has gone under 1.5 in 4 of their last 5 overall (and 4 of their last 5 on the road)
Washington has gone under 1.5 in 6 of their last 10 overall, 4 of their last 5 at home, and 7 of their last 10 at home.

Some other solid under 1.5 trends for the WPG/NYR and SJ/CGY, but the chalk is really steep.

[FreddDS]

I took all 3, just hoping to make a small profit by going 2-1 at least, but all 3 won! Couldn't be happier right now!

Thanks muldoon!

[boondoggle]

yes thanks! Keep up the good work!

[muldoon]

I took all 3, just hoping to make a small profit by going 2-1 at least, but all 3 won! Couldn't be happier right now!

Thanks muldoon!

Congrats. Friend of mine who follows these was chasing some losses and threw way more than he should have on a 3 team parlay at 365. Risky to bet like that, but once in a while it happens for the good.

[FreddDS]

Any plays today, muldoon?

I personally like MTL-BUF under 1.5 for the 1st period. Every time we face Buffalo, it's always a low scoring affair. Both times we faced them this year, 0 goals have been scored in the 1st period.

[muldoon]

First game back after the all-star break always seems to produce weird results, so I've put together some trends, but won't be betting these (outside of a couple small parlays with a few of these)

(First number is Over, second is Under)

NY Rangers / NJ Devils
Devils are 0-5 last 5 and 2-8 last 10 overall.
Devils at home ate 7-17 at home, 0-3 last 3, 0-5 last 5 and 3-7 last 10
Rangers are 14-33 on the year, 0-3 last 3, 1-4 last 5 and 3-7 last 10 overall.
Rangers are 10-15 on the road
Previous meeting (Dec 20) went under 1.5 in the first period
Numbers say: Take Under 1.5 in the first period

Ottawa / Boston
Senators are 23-29 on the season, and 0-3 their last 3 overall.
Senators are 3-7 last 10 on the road
Boston is 1-4 last 7 and 3-7 last 10 overall.
Numbers say: Take Under 1.5 in the first period

NY Islanders / Carolina
Islanders are 0-3 last 3, 0-5 last 5, and 2-8 last 10 overall
Islanders are 9-13 on the road this year, 0-3 last 3, 1-4 last 5 and 3-7 last 10 on the road
Carolina is 9-18 at home this year & 1-4 last 5 at home
Numbers say: Take Under 1.5 in the first period

Washington / Tampa
Washington is 2-1 Last 3 and 3-2 last 5 on the road
Tampa is 6-4 last 10 overall.
Tampa is 4-1 last 5 and 9-1 last 10 at home.
Both previous games this season have gone over in the first period
Numbers say: Take Over 1.5 in the first period

Columbus / San Jose
Columbus is 17-8 on the road
San Jose is 17-8 at home
Numbers say: Take Over 1.5 in the first period

[muldoon]

Any plays today, muldoon?

I personally like MTL-BUF under 1.5 for the 1st period. Every time we face Buffalo, it's always a low scoring affair. Both times we faced them this year, 0 goals have been scored in the 1st period.

Buffalo has been amazing on the road for betting the under (7-18). Both games this year were goose eggs in the first period.

Only reason I stayed off, was Montreal is on a 5-0 over run in the first period tonight.

Good luck if you bet it though - go 0-0!

[FreddDS]

Buffalo has been amazing on the road for betting the under (7-18). Both games this year were goose eggs in the first period.

Only reason I stayed off, was Montreal is on a 5-0 over run in the first period tonight.

Good luck if you bet it though - go 0-0!

1 goal, and 2 posts, but I survived! Winner!!!

[muldoon]

1 goal, and 2 posts, but I survived! Winner!!!

No room in the win/loss column for a story - way to go.

Nice when the breaks go the right way. Congrats

[FreddDS]

No room in the win/loss column for a story - way to go.

Nice when the breaks go the right way. Congrats

Thanks! Were doing well with your picks as well, 3-1 so far! Hopefully we can win the SJ-CBJ, would be nice to end the night 4-1!