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Old 07-29-08, 01:44 PM   #1
Vision
 
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Default Profit Consistency VS. Stake Consistency

I'm wondering what's the best method for placing bets. Should my wagers all be the same, or should I aim for an equal amount of profit outcomes?
I bet underdogs and I pay matchbook 1% of my winnings. Surely betting for equal profit or equal wagers give me an edge.
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Old 07-29-08, 02:27 PM   #2
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Well, a Kelly bettor (see other threads for discussion of Kelly) would be for equal profit, given equivalent edges.
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Old 07-29-08, 03:49 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vision View Post
I'm wondering what's the best method for placing bets. Should my wagers all be the same, or should I aim for an equal amount of profit outcomes?
If your goal is maximum expected bankroll growth, you should be betting to win a percentage of your bankroll that is equivalent to your expected value of each bet.

This is assuming no simultaneous wagers when things get a little more complicated. See Ganchrow's tools for that scenario.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Vision View Post
I bet underdogs and I pay matchbook 1% of my winnings. Surely betting for equal profit or equal wagers give me an edge.
I see nothing in this sentence that assures a positive edge.
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