[Justin7]

who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?

*sigh*

[dcbt]

Originally Posted by Justin7

who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?

*sigh*

you could just fade your model.

[gummo]

it all comes back to even.

[dwaechte]

No, mine was 82%.

JK. Tough break Justin.

[Data]

Originally Posted by Justin7

who comes up with a model that hits 80%, only to find out I reversed EVERY SINGLE SPREAD?

*sigh*

Once, I ran MOV regression in Excel and got R Square 0.99. That was VERY unexpected. I quickly realized I accidently set "Constant is Zero".

[MrX]

My MLB model was showing extremely exciting results for totals. It turned out a programming error was dropping the 1/2 runs from the past totals (9.5 turning into 9).

It was interesting how shockingly easy totals that were off by 1/2 run were to beat.

[Dark Horse]

I spent hours, not very long ago, setting up a motivational grid, congratulating myself in the process, only to realize I had been using the SU settings, instead of the ATS ones.

[Peep]

Yeah, on access when I played horses I used to always get the reverse of what I wanted in first, just to excite myself and create hope in the great wilderness.

On a sadder note, one year I lost 12K on RHE's because I added a year wrong in my model (which covers five years). This put my numbers off the books with certain totals. I was losing, over 300 bets, KNEW something was wrong, but the problem was well hidden in early computations of the data.......

That one still pisses me off four years later.

[Art Vandeleigh]

In the real world, they hold design reviews (such as PDR, CDR) before going to prototype and then production. No man is an island?