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12-10-2007, 08:40 PM
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#1 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 07-31-06
Posts: 1,777
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Question for Ganch
You're considering an NFL game with the spread Pick, total 42.
What would be the fair price on a 1-team 5-point teaser for the first half? Assume the first half line is Pick/21.
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12-10-2007, 08:50 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
Posts: 1,870
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Obviously Ganchrow is the only person qualified to answer this.
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12-10-2007, 11:32 PM
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#3 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 07-31-06
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Ricky,
Anyone can answer it (you included). The "Ganch" tag was intended to get a mathematical response, but I'll take it from anyone.
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12-11-2007, 01:03 AM
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#4 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 08-28-05
Location: Forest Hills, NY, Home of the Blitzkrieg Bop
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin7
You're considering an NFL game with the spread Pick, total 42.
What would be the fair price on a 1-team 5-point teaser for the first half? Assume the first half line is Pick/21.
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I don't have half time data nor have I meaningfully modeled 1 st half scoring.
I suspect RickySteve's your man.
__________________
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12-11-2007, 01:32 AM
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#5 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
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I'd price it at ±222.8.
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12-11-2007, 04:47 AM
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#6 (permalink)
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SBR Wise Guy
Join Date: 08-30-05
Posts: 738
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Justin, What book/books let you tease 1st half spreads?
Thanks,
DM
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12-11-2007, 10:53 AM
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#7 (permalink)
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Moderator
Join Date: 07-31-06
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I made it about +/-260.
WagerWeb was allowing Dallas to do this at -110.
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12-11-2007, 11:23 AM
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#8 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 03-06-07
Posts: 2,842
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12-11-2007, 11:43 AM
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#9 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raiders72002
wrong
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Confidence in my answer just went way up. |
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12-11-2007, 11:46 AM
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#10 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 03-06-07
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Want to make a bet on it?
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12-11-2007, 11:49 AM
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#11 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Justin7
I made it about +/-260.
WagerWeb was allowing Dallas to do this at -110.
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What are you using for push %s on 0-5? |
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12-11-2007, 11:53 AM
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#12 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raiders72002
Want to make a bet on it?
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What are the terms of the bet, Hypatia? |
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12-11-2007, 11:55 AM
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#13 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 03-06-07
Posts: 2,842
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Data the last 5 years from covers.
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12-11-2007, 12:03 PM
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#14 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 03-06-07
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Where are you finding HT lines and scores? I have my own.
Last edited by raiders72002 : 12-11-2007 at 12:05 PM.
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12-11-2007, 12:04 PM
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#15 (permalink)
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Restricted User
Join Date: 07-20-05
Posts: 21,296
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I put my money on Raiders
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12-11-2007, 12:06 PM
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#16 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
Posts: 1,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raiders72002
Data the last 5 years from covers.
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Still waiting... |
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12-11-2007, 12:08 PM
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#17 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 01-31-06
Posts: 1,870
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjgold
I put my money on Raiders
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Confidence in my answer just went way up. |
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