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Old 01-01-10, 04:20 PM   #1
the shadow
 
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Default 1 out of 50 games are worth betting?

All sports combined, how many games do you play per day?
I beleive that 2% of all games posted are legit wagers
i need feedback on the shot gun method or the 44 magnum
thanks!!
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Old 01-01-10, 04:22 PM   #2
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I play a lot.
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Old 01-01-10, 04:27 PM   #3
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I average about 15 plays per day, down from the 25 a day I averaged in the past. The month of January is my busiest month of the year with close to 1,000 plays made for the month due to the high volume of cbb plays.
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Old 01-01-10, 04:40 PM   #4
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10 plays per day on average for me. Only 15% or so are on US Sports, however.
At elite level (NFL/NBA) I would estimate 5 or 6 percent of games provide betting opportunites if looking only at sides/totals.
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Old 01-01-10, 04:41 PM   #5
the shadow
 
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I figure ice man you make 0.3% playing that many games?
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Old 01-01-10, 05:18 PM   #6
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I play 1 or 2 games a day, more on college FB Saturdays, and sometimes more on Sundays, but this is just a hobby for me.

You guys betting 25 and 15 games per day: are you making good money?

Seems like an awful lot of capping to me. 15 games a day, do you even research the games or are they strictly system plays??
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Old 01-01-10, 06:23 PM   #7
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Almost every line has value at some point in it's lifespan.

I bet almost 2/3rds of the MLB sides.
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Old 01-01-10, 06:36 PM   #8
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the more plays a day the better more bets a year more profit, but i dont have too much time to analise, so so i only bet the games that i realy know the teams, so only 2 or 3 bets a day wich i think is very low the ideal shoud be 5 to 8 bets a day
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Old 01-01-10, 06:39 PM   #9
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i been playing anywhere from 3-10 a day over the last month.
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Old 01-01-10, 07:37 PM   #10
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always depends on what day it is
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Old 01-01-10, 07:38 PM   #11
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tonight go with Florida.
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Old 01-01-10, 07:45 PM   #12
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Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
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Old 01-01-10, 07:47 PM   #13
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You should be playing whenever you have an edge on the book after comparing it to market price.
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Old 01-01-10, 07:57 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaug View Post
Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
Quote:
Originally Posted by goblue12 View Post
You should be playing whenever you have an edge on the book after comparing it to market price.
/thread
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Old 01-02-10, 12:30 AM   #15
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I only get in 1-3 games a day. If one of the daughters start talking endlessly, it can make my betting that day down to zero.
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Old 01-02-10, 05:11 AM   #16
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I've changed my strategy to only betting 1-4 games a day. Seems to have worked well.
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Old 01-02-10, 07:06 AM   #17
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With a lot of outs, you should be able to bet quite a few games especially if you're good at predicting line movements. College football is the sport in which I have the least knowledge and I've cut back my number of books fairly significantly since the offshore law changes since it's tough to tell which books are solid (I got burned by Cascade), yet I still end up with bets on close to have of the CFB games on any given Saturday.
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Old 01-03-10, 03:49 AM   #18
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For what its worth ,the most successful bookmaker I new he told me thats the key to winning you should only bet 1 game a day ,i have never follwed his lead i love to bet 4 to 6 games on SUNDAY,but Ithink the old man had a good point
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Old 01-03-10, 05:27 AM   #19
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1 game day that is to low only 365bets a year
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Old 01-03-10, 07:34 AM   #20
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always depends on the sport, currently approx 1 of 4 NBA sides has value with my methods, for example
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Old 01-03-10, 01:00 PM   #21
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Thanks for the input guys.
As ruif stated ,1 game a day is too little ,however a 5% profit over 365 games is the same as 1% over 1825 games.
Which is easier to hit?
Probably no real answer,but i prefer the 1 game a day avg. Losing streaks are less and i don't have to force plays just to get action.
Thanks!!
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Old 01-03-10, 02:56 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the shadow View Post
Thanks for the input guys. As ruif stated ,1 game a day is too little ,however a 5% profit over 365 games is the same as 1% over 1825 games. Which is easier to hit? Probably no real answer,but i prefer the 1 game a day avg. Losing streaks are less and i don't have to force plays just to get action. Thanks!!
The 2nd by far.
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Old 01-03-10, 06:45 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaug View Post
Play the games where you believe there is value. Putting a limit on number of games or % of games does not help you or your bankroll.
yea agreed limiting the number of games cant help if u see value on two games its like eating two birds with one stone
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Old 01-03-10, 10:06 PM   #24
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Honestly I play maybe 20-30 games per day. That is if the card is full.. I Scowler all sports and put together a card of mixed pro and college sports and aim to hit 60%. Only take even bets as well..
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Old 01-03-10, 10:19 PM   #25
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just bet as many as you have an edge on
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Old 01-03-10, 11:12 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by feltball View Post
just bet as many as you have an edge on
Exactly. If you have time to research 20 games and you feel you have an edge in 19 of them, then bet 19. But if you feel you only have an edge in 2, bet 2.
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Old 01-24-10, 04:47 AM   #27
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the old wise guys always taught us to bet only one game a week
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Old 01-24-10, 09:52 AM   #28
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with just one bet a week you dont know if you are getting value or are getting lucky, 2bets a day is a minimum, you cant be afraid of betting whem you are +EV, if you are afraid dont bet at all
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Old 01-24-10, 10:25 AM   #29
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I play too many. Probably 10 a day when I am in town and have time to look at the games.

I had good luck for a while this year trying to parse it out, i.e. 3 bets a day on ML dogs; 3 bets a day on spreads and 3 bets a day on totals. This did force me to be a little more disciplined....
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Old 01-24-10, 10:35 AM   #30
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I have a system but the number of plays that fit into that system varies. I guess I could tweak my system to lessen that number but I don't think that's necessary. I don't think its about the number of plays but having a system that works.
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Old 01-24-10, 10:57 AM   #31
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I wager on only my best bets of the day after handicaping. The amount of games depends on the card but, as an average I wager on 3-5 games a day.

I learned for an ole time gambeler back in the 70s that 1 -2 games a day can make you some heavy cash if you are a good handicapper. Hope that helps.
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