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Old 11-17-09, 05:00 PM   #1
dimon
 
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Default NBA 2-3 point middle frequencies???

Is there any way to track down the frequencies of 2 and 3 point middle in NBA spreads? If so where can that be found.

Thanks

P.S I just track Nov games and saw about 15% of the games fall into this category...you think that is about right?

thanks

Last edited by dimon; 11-17-09 at 05:11 PM.
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Old 11-17-09, 06:54 PM   #2
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Big difference between a two point middle and a three point middle. Both are worth betting, unless they cross the "dead" number zero.
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Old 11-18-09, 04:34 AM   #3
20Four7
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Agree with peep here..... most people don't realize the non value of zero in the nba.....
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Old 11-18-09, 04:48 AM   #4
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I hate trying to middle at the half, if I can get a 2 and up pt difference prior to the start of the game, I will take it everytime.
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Old 12-06-09, 09:33 AM   #5
Fishhead
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Beginners should use 7 cents as the value of every half pt. for games with spreads of -10 or less.

What this means is, say you lay -6 and -7.5 and layed -110 on both sides........that is 20 cents total one is laying.

If the cost of each half pt. is 7 cents as stated above........anything under 21 cents layed is in all liklihood a +ev situation or very close to it for a 1.5 pt. middle(7 cents x 1.5 pts equals 21 cents).

After learning this basic concept, you can move on to more efficient strategy manuvers that will increase your profits.

The NBA is fantastic for middling/scalping numbers and one can grind a profit everyday after you master a few techniques.
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Old 12-06-09, 10:42 AM   #6
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dimon,

You can use the Half Point Calculator to get the ATS and O/U push frequencies. It's located here:
http://www.sbrforum.com/Betting+Tool...alculator.aspx
Otherwise, you'd need to build a database of scores and line histories to calculate the radii yourself.
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