1. #1
    big0mar
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    QUIZ: What does this mean????

    Updating my NFL push-probs...

    Visiting teams that are +7 push 4.6% of the time

    Visiting teams that are -7 push 1.6% of the time

    What does this mean?

  2. #2
    Stallion
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    Seems self explanatory to me.

  3. #3
    daringly
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    This means you might want to recheck your data, or look at more games. I would expect these to push much more often.

  4. #4
    The Kraken
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    According to your data it means teams that are favored by 7 push less than teams getting the 7. Further than that, what specifically are you asking?

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Visitors pushing -7 should be a lot higher. Then again data may be skewed by having far fewer visitors -7 than visitors +7 over identical time frame.

  6. #6
    Pancho sanza
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    Use pinnacle to establish push prob on the 7, too few games in pro football to rely on historical frequencies.

  7. #7
    wantitall4moi
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    Versus Pinnacle since 2000 ...4 of 72 games that closed VISITOR -7 (ANY vig) pushed. 5.5%. Can debate if -7 +110 is 'really' -7 if you like, or even -7 -120, but with the NUMBER being -7 those are the results.

    Visiting teams PLUS 7, again any vig, were 5 of 147, 3.4%.

  8. #8
    sportsbetwin
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    Buy 1/2 point when home fav is -7
    Don't buy when home dog is +7

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