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Old 05-05-09, 09:30 AM   #1
Bluehorseshoe
 
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Default I can't make it work.

I can bet run line to total baseball parlays with two different books and I can't win doing it.


I don't get it.
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Old 05-05-09, 10:54 AM   #2
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How long have you been doing it? What is the sample size?
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Old 05-05-09, 11:18 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
I can bet run line to total baseball parlays with two different books and I can't win doing it.


I don't get it.
Most likely they allow you to bet only two combinations out of four possible ones and those two are loosing propositions.
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Old 05-05-09, 11:52 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Data View Post
Most likely they allow you to bet only two combinations out of four possible ones and those two are loosing propositions.
I can bet it anyway I want, I just keep splitting both parlays. It's ridiculous.
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Old 05-05-09, 12:28 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluehorseshoe View Post
I can bet it anyway I want
That sounds too good to be true. Kind of like free cheese. Are you sure those are not "deposit only" books?
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Old 05-05-09, 12:35 PM   #6
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I don't think it is a license to print money.
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Old 05-05-09, 12:46 PM   #7
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If you're sure majority of your bets have been +EV combinations and you have only played few hundred bets, it's very likely just short term variance. Bad luck in other words.

Check back after 2000 bets.
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Old 05-05-09, 12:49 PM   #8
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Quote:
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I don't think it is a license to print money.
Theoretically, it is. The only question is getting paid.
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Old 05-05-09, 01:10 PM   #9
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the edge is there, not great but its an edge.

He probably hasn't bet enough to be in the long run yet is my guess.
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Old 05-05-09, 08:54 PM   #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by juuso View Post
If you're sure majority of your bets have been +EV combinations and you have only played few hundred bets, it's very likely just short term variance. Bad luck in other words.

Check back after 2000 bets.

We'll see if I make it that far. More bad luck tonight.
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Old 05-05-09, 10:35 PM   #11
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give it up
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Old 05-05-09, 11:13 PM   #12
reno cool
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are you parlaying -1.5 with the over?
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Old 06-14-09, 05:12 PM   #13
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Quote:
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are you parlaying -1.5 with the over?
Yep, and another banner day today with Texas, Baltimore, Boston games going down. The Royals game was the only winner and it was on the short side of the equation.
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Old 06-15-09, 06:21 PM   #14
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A little knowledge is a dangerous thing.
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Old 06-16-09, 05:45 PM   #15
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pm me the book?
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Old 06-16-09, 05:52 PM   #16
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The long run is not 2 months of a baseball season, give it time.
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Old 06-16-09, 05:58 PM   #17
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Is it better to bet, say, the under and dog RL with totals 7.5 and under and Fav RL with the over with totals 10 and over for example. How are you choosing which sides to play?
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Old 06-16-09, 09:46 PM   #18
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I think totals of 7.5 and 9.5 will give you the biggest edge for these parlays.

7 and 9 total runs are definitely the most common outcome.
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