Is my perception skewed here.
Last night the Bulls a -1400 fav lost outright. These upsets occur with just enough frequency to make parlaying a handful of huge moneyline favorites a
-EV most of the time. (plus overpaying on the true win probability).
So my question is shouldn't a -300 MLB pitcher offer the same chance of winning as a -300 NBA game?
I think the answer should be yes, but it seems like alot more upsets in the NBA at that price point.
Given a choice of two bets, wouldn't most take the -300 MLB team over the
-300 NBA team?
What gives? :-)