[ico2525]

Statfox has become really popular. There are many online books that link directly to Statfox match-ups. Is there any historical data as to the accuracy of their predictions especially when another team has an edge?

In basketball when one team is predicted to have an edge because the Statfox estimate is more than 5 points off from the line, a green star appears next to that team. Does anyone have any data about the accuracy of these predictions? If you just went through all the basketball games being played that day and bet only the ones where there is an edge, would you hit higher than 55%? You might not have a play every day, but some days you might have more than one play.

Even though I've been interested in Statfox analysis for a while, I have never done any long term review of their estimates. If there is evidence that out of the last 500 games Statfox showed an edge that 300 would have correct edges against the line, I'd be rich.

[Masu485]

to be honest i dont track it everyday, but on random days i'd go and see what the spread or ML for a game should be and whenever i check it always gets it right.

but i doubt it hits a good % or else everyone would just use that. and it's so popular as you said that books would all be under if it worked long term.

the green star games i recall a thread about it a while ago, i believe it was stated that it was very hot for a while, and that they EXPECTED it to eventually cool down and hit 50% again, although i dont recall anyone tracking every game daily.

this site has all the Green star edge games for a given day based on statfoxes data. http://www.sportsbook.com/statfeed/i...top-powerlines.
It just makes it easier to see them all if you plan to track.

[Dark Horse]

Originally Posted by ico2525

Statfox has become really popular. There are many online books that link directly to Statfox match-ups. Is there any historical data as to the accuracy of their predictions especially when another team has an edge?

In basketball when one team is predicted to have an edge because the Statfox estimate is more than 5 points off from the line, a green star appears next to that team. Does anyone have any data about the accuracy of these predictions? If you just went through all the basketball games being played that day and bet only the ones where there is an edge, would you hit higher than 55%? You might not have a play every day, but some days you might have more than one play.

Even though I've been interested in Statfox analysis for a while, I have never done any long term review of their estimates. If there is evidence that out of the last 500 games Statfox showed an edge that 300 would have correct edges against the line, I'd be rich.

They have some good cappers in their HOF forum, who actually discuss winning angles. Some years back statfox e-mailed bettors a free fox-sheet a week. I never saw much use for it, but others do. If I wanted to be critical I could say that they data mine, and use vague parameters (such as 'a good team' against 'an average team') to fit situations. But I wish them the best because I've met some very good people there.

[ico2525]

Just from what I've seen over time, I have to estimate those green stars = more than 50%. I'll do a long term review of it. I'll keep this thread updated.

[Hawk007]

Did you keep a record? Or does anyone know how the star rated plays perform?

[Masu485]

haha, i love that. the green star plays may be hitting at 80% or higher, but none of us care to track it becasue we assume it'll go 50%.

i bet if we found a winning strategy somewhere, we'd just assume it doesn't work or everyone would be using it haha.

[accuscoresucks]

i use them for about 40% of my handicapping[my own system] its a solid source,the platinum edition

[Facepunch]

I have a subscription to the platinum edition,
I have never relied on it to make decisions, but it is a good starting point at the beginning of the week to get thinking about the games. I disagree with their consensus about 40% of the time, and fade them a lot when they are all in agreement.